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Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.
0:00 No Trade Deals, Markets Tumble
2:07 OBBB and Farmers
3:42 Tariff Deadlines
6:38 Drought/Weather Update
8:23 Record Corn Export Program Possible?
9:50 Russia Slashes Wheat Export Tax
10:57 Flash Sales
๐บ๐ธ President Trumpโs Rally in Iowa: โOne Big Beautiful Billโ Signed Into Law! ๐๐๐ฅ
President Trump took the stage in Des Moines on Thursday, celebrating the passage of his massive new tax and spending bill โ claiming it will โMake America Great Againโ ๐บ๐ธ๐ต. While no new trade deals were announced (despite trader hopes), he highlighted ๐ป egg prices, ๐ฅ US military action in Iran, and โฌ๏ธ border crossings. He also reassured farmers their labor force is safe, though details were thin. ๐ฝ๐ซ Corn & soybean futures are sharply lower this morning as trade rumors fizzled out.
๐ Whatโs in the โBig Beautiful Billโ?
โ
$68.3B in new farm program funding
โ
Higher PLC & ARC reference prices for this crop year
โ
Increased payment limits & lifted income caps
โ
Up to 30M new base acres allowed (2019โ2023 history)
โ
$6.3B for crop insurance over 10 years
โ
Expanded premium support for beginning farmers
โ
๐บ๐ธ US-only feedstock rule for biofuel tax credits (2026)
โ
๐ Extension of 45Z through 2029
โ
โ๏ธ SAF credit cut from $1.75 โก๏ธ $1.00/gal
โ
โฝ๏ธ Boost to biomass-based diesel
๐ Tariff Deadline Extended?
Originally set for July 9, the tariff deadline may be pushed to August 1 for countries still negotiating ๐ค. Sec. Bessent says talks with 18 major partners are ongoing โ with frameworks announced for ๐ฌ๐ง UK, ๐จ๐ณ China, and ๐ป๐ณ Vietnam. Still pending: ๐ฏ๐ต Japan, ๐ฎ๐ณ India, ๐ฐ๐ท South Korea, ๐ช๐บ EU.
๐ง๏ธ Drought Update: Big Improvement!
Thanks to recent rains, drought conditions dropped sharply across the ๐ฝ Corn Belt and ๐พ High Plains!
๐น Corn: 12% in drought
๐น Soybeans: 8%
๐น Winter wheat: 24%
๐น Spring wheat: 29%
๐น Cattle areas: 18%
๐ฆ Export Sales Recap:
๐น Corn: 532,700mt โก๏ธ โฌ๏ธ 28% vs. last week
๐น Soybeans: 462,400mt โก๏ธ โฌ๏ธ 15% vs. last week
๐น Wheat: 586,000mt โก๏ธ โฌ๏ธ strong sales led by ๐ต๐ญ Philippines
๐ข Flash Sales Alert:
โ๏ธ 150,000mt corn
โ๏ธ 226,000mt soybeans
โ๏ธ 195,000mt soymeal (spread across 24/25 & 25/26)
๐ Russia Cuts Wheat Export Tax to Zero!
๐ท๐บ In a surprise move, Russia slashed its wheat export tax to zero for July 9โ15 to boost weak overseas demand. June wheat exports were just 1.1mmt โ a fraction of last yearโs volume. Expect volatility in global wheat markets to continue.
๐ See all charts below & donโt miss todayโs premium breakdown with Paul Neiffer!
๐ Like, ๐ฌ comment, and ๐ subscribe for more critical ag market updates!
4.9
293293 ratings
Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com
Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links-
Apple Podcasts
Spotify
TikTok
YouTube
Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.
0:00 No Trade Deals, Markets Tumble
2:07 OBBB and Farmers
3:42 Tariff Deadlines
6:38 Drought/Weather Update
8:23 Record Corn Export Program Possible?
9:50 Russia Slashes Wheat Export Tax
10:57 Flash Sales
๐บ๐ธ President Trumpโs Rally in Iowa: โOne Big Beautiful Billโ Signed Into Law! ๐๐๐ฅ
President Trump took the stage in Des Moines on Thursday, celebrating the passage of his massive new tax and spending bill โ claiming it will โMake America Great Againโ ๐บ๐ธ๐ต. While no new trade deals were announced (despite trader hopes), he highlighted ๐ป egg prices, ๐ฅ US military action in Iran, and โฌ๏ธ border crossings. He also reassured farmers their labor force is safe, though details were thin. ๐ฝ๐ซ Corn & soybean futures are sharply lower this morning as trade rumors fizzled out.
๐ Whatโs in the โBig Beautiful Billโ?
โ
$68.3B in new farm program funding
โ
Higher PLC & ARC reference prices for this crop year
โ
Increased payment limits & lifted income caps
โ
Up to 30M new base acres allowed (2019โ2023 history)
โ
$6.3B for crop insurance over 10 years
โ
Expanded premium support for beginning farmers
โ
๐บ๐ธ US-only feedstock rule for biofuel tax credits (2026)
โ
๐ Extension of 45Z through 2029
โ
โ๏ธ SAF credit cut from $1.75 โก๏ธ $1.00/gal
โ
โฝ๏ธ Boost to biomass-based diesel
๐ Tariff Deadline Extended?
Originally set for July 9, the tariff deadline may be pushed to August 1 for countries still negotiating ๐ค. Sec. Bessent says talks with 18 major partners are ongoing โ with frameworks announced for ๐ฌ๐ง UK, ๐จ๐ณ China, and ๐ป๐ณ Vietnam. Still pending: ๐ฏ๐ต Japan, ๐ฎ๐ณ India, ๐ฐ๐ท South Korea, ๐ช๐บ EU.
๐ง๏ธ Drought Update: Big Improvement!
Thanks to recent rains, drought conditions dropped sharply across the ๐ฝ Corn Belt and ๐พ High Plains!
๐น Corn: 12% in drought
๐น Soybeans: 8%
๐น Winter wheat: 24%
๐น Spring wheat: 29%
๐น Cattle areas: 18%
๐ฆ Export Sales Recap:
๐น Corn: 532,700mt โก๏ธ โฌ๏ธ 28% vs. last week
๐น Soybeans: 462,400mt โก๏ธ โฌ๏ธ 15% vs. last week
๐น Wheat: 586,000mt โก๏ธ โฌ๏ธ strong sales led by ๐ต๐ญ Philippines
๐ข Flash Sales Alert:
โ๏ธ 150,000mt corn
โ๏ธ 226,000mt soybeans
โ๏ธ 195,000mt soymeal (spread across 24/25 & 25/26)
๐ Russia Cuts Wheat Export Tax to Zero!
๐ท๐บ In a surprise move, Russia slashed its wheat export tax to zero for July 9โ15 to boost weak overseas demand. June wheat exports were just 1.1mmt โ a fraction of last yearโs volume. Expect volatility in global wheat markets to continue.
๐ See all charts below & donโt miss todayโs premium breakdown with Paul Neiffer!
๐ Like, ๐ฌ comment, and ๐ subscribe for more critical ag market updates!
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