Grain Markets and Other Stuff

Trump CONFIRMS Tariff Plans: Soybean Prices at Risk??


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Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

0:00 Intro
1:01 Tariff Plans
4:58 Brazil and Argentina Update
8:43 Shipment Update
9:39 Flash Sale
10:25 Tyson Earnings and Cattle

Former President Trump has hinted at imposing substantial tariffs on Chinese goods if he is reelected, specifically mentioning tariffs of 60% or more during a recent Fox News interview. Trump believes that such tariffs are necessary because he perceives that China has taken advantage of the United States. During his previous term, Trump's administration implemented tariffs on a wide range of Chinese imports, amounting to a significant tax increase. These tariffs led to retaliatory measures from China, affecting US exports such as poultry, wheat, and soybeans. It's important to note that discussions around potential policy changes can impact markets, and we aim to provide objective information without taking a political stance. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡³πŸ›’πŸ“ˆ

Meanwhile, Brazil's soybean harvest continues to progress, with 16% of the crop harvested as reported by AgRural. The group projects this season's soybean crop to reach 150.1 million tons. Additionally, 27% of Brazil's second corn crop in the south-central region has been planted, marking a notably swift planting pace, according to AgRural.

US soybean shipments showed improvement last week, with 1.4 million metric tons (52 million bushels) inspected for export during the week ending February 1. This figure exceeded expectations and marked a 56% increase compared to the previous week. However, it was still down by 25% compared to the same week last year. Conversely, corn shipments fell below pre-report estimates, declining by 32% compared to the prior week at 624,295 metric tons (25 million bushels). Wheat shipments were soft, down 6.2% compared to the previous week and 55% lower than the same week last year, totaling 266,269 metric tons (10 million bushels).

Tyson Foods' stock surged by 2% on Monday following the company's fiscal first-quarter results, which exceeded profit projections. Tyson reported sales of $13.32 billion, up from $13.26 billion the previous year. Beef sales rose to $5 billion, although the beef sector faced an adjusted operating loss of $117 million, primarily attributed to the rapid deterioration of cattle futures during the quarter. Tyson's CEO also noted a lack of significant heifer retention for rebuilding the US cattle herd. πŸ”πŸ₯©πŸ“ŠπŸ“ˆ

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Grain Markets and Other StuffBy Joe Vaclavik

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