Grain Markets and Other Stuff

US/China Trade Deal Phase TWO?? Could You Imagine??


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0:00 19k Subs!
0:44 Another US/China Trade Deal?
3:38 Argentina Crop Problems
5:12 Wheat Exports and Russia
8:37 Farmer Sentiment Improves
9:45 More ADM Problems
10:46 Stock Market Bounces
11:51 Corn Flash

China May Revive Phase One Trade Deal with Trump ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
China could be looking to renegotiate the Phase One trade deal from 2020, which aimed to increase purchases of US agricultural products like corn and soybeans. Trumpโ€™s recent 10% tariff on Chinese imports has sparked speculation about a new deal, encouraging buying in the markets. China is expected to fulfill its commitment to increase US agricultural purchases if an agreement is reached. ๐ŸŒฝ

Argentinaโ€™s Crop Outlook Turns Bleaker ๐ŸŒพโ˜€๏ธ
Drought conditions in Argentina have caused concerns about corn and soybean crop yields. Forecasts have been reduced, with yields potentially falling to 40mmt if dry weather persists. Farmers remain hopeful for rain in the coming weeks, but the extent and timing are uncertain. ๐ŸŒง๏ธ

Sovecon Raises Russiaโ€™s Wheat Export Outlook ๐ŸŒพ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ
Sovecon has increased its forecast for Russia's wheat exports to 38.3mmt, a 5.2% rise from its previous estimate. Despite a mixed outlook on crop conditions, Russia's winter grains are performing better than expected after tough weather last year. โ„๏ธ

US Farmer Sentiment Improves Despite Trade Concerns ๐Ÿšœ๐Ÿ“ˆ
US farmer sentiment improved in January, with the Purdue/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer Index rising to 141. While concerns about trade wars remain, 42% of farmers believe trade policy will be crucial to their operations over the next five years. ๐ŸŒฑ

ADM Plans to Cut Costs After Profit Decline ๐Ÿ’ผ๐Ÿ“‰
Agricultural giant ADM is planning to cut costs by $750 million over the next three to five years, including job cuts and selling off underperforming sectors. This comes after a poor fourth-quarter profit and a financial scandal. ๐Ÿ’”

Stock Market Recovers After Tariff Suspension ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ’ต
The stock market bounced back, with the Dow Jones up 0.3%, the S&P 500 increasing 0.7%, and the Nasdaq rising 1.4%. The market was buoyed by Trumpโ€™s suspension of tariffs on Canada and Mexico, along with a strong performance from Palantir. ๐Ÿ“Š

USDA Reports Flash Sale of Corn ๐ŸŒฝ๐Ÿšข
US exporters sold 132,000mt of corn to South Korea, continuing strong export sales. Year-to-date corn sales are up 28% compared to last year. ๐Ÿšœ

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Grain Markets and Other StuffBy Joe Vaclavik

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