Grain Markets and Other Stuff

Vessel Fee News: Are Grain Shipments at Risk? + 3-Month Weather Outlook


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Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

🚒 Trump Scales Back Ship Tariffs
The Trump administration has softened its stance on China-built ship fees. Instead of $1.5M per port call, vessels will now face fewer charges β€” and empty grain/coal ships are exempt! πŸŒΎβ›΄οΈ

🌧️ Rain in the Plains & Corn Belt
Big weekend rains hit parts of Oklahoma, Missouri & beyond. More on the way for the Southern Plains. NOAA’s 3-month outlook just dropped β€” maps inside! πŸ—ΊοΈ

🌽 Drought Monitor Update
Dry week for much of the Corn Belt. Drought eased in some parts of MN/WI but worsened in NE & KS.
πŸ”Ή Corn: 30%
πŸ”Ή Soybeans: 23%
πŸ”Ή Winter Wheat: 34%
πŸ”Ή Spring Wheat: 43%
πŸ”Ή Cattle: 38%

πŸ“ˆ Funds Go Long Soybeans
CFTC shows big fund buying β€” soybeans saw the largest net-long since Feb.! Corn and wheat also saw fresh buying. πŸ“Š

πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Trade Talks
Japan may boost soybean & rice imports. Corn trade steady. Trump presses on tariffs & ag exports β€” no deal yet, but β€œbig progress.” 🀝

πŸ›’οΈ Ethanol Exports Boom
U.S. ethanol exports already over 1 billion gallons this year. πŸš€
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada = top buyer
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EU = huge YOY increase

🚚 Corn & Soybean Export Sales Surge
Corn sales are up 99% on the week. πŸ“¦ Mexico leads. Soybeans are also strong. Wheat? Not so much.

πŸ„ Cattle on Feed Report
Slightly bearish tone β€” placements up, but still below the 5-year average. Neutral-to-bearish read overall. πŸ“‰πŸ“ˆ

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Grain Markets and Other StuffBy Joe Vaclavik

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