Wall Street Wildlife Investing Podcast

Do you smell a bubble brewing?

Join Badger and Monkey in a lively market breakdown where we crack open the wild world of market bubbles. We'll teach you how to spot these dangerous inflations and protect your portfolio from a devastating pop. Are we in a semiconductor bubble? Is Nvidia riding toward a burst? Will Super Micro Computer share Cisco's fate? These are the burning questions we'll be tackling!

We also talk about the difference between GPUs and tulip mania, while turning a discerning eye toward upcoming Nvidia $NVDA earnings, and make some bold predictions about where the price will be on the day after, 2/22. Hint: one of us is wilder and more aggressive in his price target than the other. Can you guess who’s who? Much whiskey depends on this bet!

And what does Wall Street Wildlife make of Super Micro Computer’s $SMCI parabolic rise and 20% one-day-drop? Monkey says this is what a bubble looks like and wonders if the company is analogous to Cisco in the ‘00s during the internet market crash.

We examine The King of the Jungle Competition for insights into the strengths and weaknesses of Badger and Monkey’s approaches. Badger looks calm and steady and richer than Monkey; so is Monkey wrong in his approach? Or is the divergence more a function of market cycles?

And why does Monkey all of a sudden own three Bitcoin miners? $CIFR, $BITF, and $CLSK? Perhaps because he likes making 100%+ gains? But there’s a more fundamental reason for his bullish view on Bitcoin $BTC, and it has to do with the world’s most valuable asset, gold.

All this, plus a barrel of laughs from two investing pros, helping you get richer one jungle branch and episode at a time.

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Fed up with the stock market giving you a hard time?

- Discover the world's leading companies

- Sharpen your best investing practices and ditch the worst

- Learn how to start investing

- Essential investing principles to boost your returns

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Follow us on X at @7lukehallard and @7flyingplatypus

Last night’s Lyft $LYFT earnings included an extra zero where there wasn’t one and the market reaction was wild! Turns out there’s a big difference between 500 basis points and 50!

What are basis points? How do they differ from percentage points? We help you understand margins, and why thinking in basis points is an upgrade over percentages.

(Shares of Lyft $LYFT soared more than 60 per cent on Tuesday before falling back sharply, after an error in the ride-hailing company’s quarterly earnings release exaggerated the outlook for margin growth in 2024 by 10 times. The company reported that it would improve adjusted earnings margins by 500 basis points, or 5 percentage points, in 2024 compared with the previous year)

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Fed up with the stock market giving you a hard time?

- Discover the world's leading companies

- Sharpen your best investing practices and ditch the worst

- Learn how to start investing

- Essential investing principles to boost your returns

---

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Follow us on X at @7lukehallard and @7flyingplatypus

Post Super Bowl Sunday, Badger is hung over like a banshee but rolling in the dough nonetheless after making some choice bets. He also reports from the field about the most interesting things he saw and didn’t see in the commercials — Hint: where was crypto? (Monkey’s answer: nearing 50,000 per $BTC!)

Monkey wonders about the similarities and differences between gambling and investing. One difference: understanding the fundamentals is what all successful thinkers and investors need to do. Some key principles:

* Understand simple ideas deeply.

* Be brutally honest about what you know and don’t know

* Identify and let go of biases.

* Break down complex topics—like investing—into smaller components and practice deepening your understanding of each; over time, these components merge into an integrated whole.

Monkey meanwhile watched Oppenheimer and read The Maniac by Benjamin Labatut, about Johnny Von Neumann, who was called the smartest human of the 20th century, responsible for the birth of AI. But is a non-zero chance of the extinction of life worth the risk?

King of the Jungle Portfolio Challenge Update: Monkey buys more Eos $EOSE and contemplates buying Enovix $ENVX because batteries and energy will be in ever-increasing demand. But is this a sunk cost fallacy, Badger wonders…

All this and more from the front lines of the Investing Jungle!

Tickers mentioned: $NVDA, $CRWD, $EOSE, $ENVX, $BTC, $LINK, $ETH

Explicit content warning: Badger doesn’t restrain from telling Monkey how he really feels!

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You can find more episodes of the podcast at wallstreetwildlife.com, and you can follow us at:

X.com/7lukehallard

X.com/7flyingplatypus

Wall Street Wildlife is also on Instagram and Tiktok @wallstreetwildlife.

Fed up with the stock market giving you a hard time?

- Discover the world's leading companies

- Sharpen your best investing practices and ditch the worst

- Learn how to start investing

- Essential investing principles to boost your returns

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Are you tired of getting trampled in the stock market stampede?

Join us for a wild ride in this episode as Monkey bares all about his market-timing blunders and the hefty price tag they came with. Dive into his thought process to sidestep these common investing pitfalls yourself.

Meanwhile, Badger is snoozing soundly, his cave brimming with dollars, thanks to his steadfast belief in the "market-timing-is-impossible" mantra. Pay close attention to his philosophy for a stress-free investment journey.

Ever wondered how to inside-trade without crossing the legal line?

We delve into the murky waters of insider trading – a definite no-go – but then pivot to a curious observation: some elected officials seem to have a Midas touch in the market. Badger breaks down the do's and don'ts of shadowing these successful, yet legally compliant, market mavens.

And now for the thrilling King of the Jungle Portfolio Challenge Update:

Badger goes bullish on $IOT Samsara, revealing how their innovative software turbocharges business efficiency.

Monkey, on the other hand, waves goodbye to $AEHR AEHR Test Systems. Why? Disappointing guidance in electric vehicle orders. Hear him out as he uses technical analysis to justify his exit strategy, resisting the urge to double down at lower prices. Instead, he ups the ante on $KRE puts, betting against the stability of regional banks.

But what happens when you break free from the sunk-cost fallacy? Badger puts this to Monkey, leading to a fascinating turn: Monkey's potential reinvestment in $TSLA, eyeing it as a prime example of a top-tier company with a fairly reasonable valuation.

Don't miss out on these electrifying insights and strategies – it's a jungle out there, but we're here to guide you through!

"I think that there's a whole swath of current people investing that are going to get wiped out. They will get wiped out because they have never experienced emotionally, psychologically down markets. It is absolutely brutal to wake up, look at your screen and see red day after day after day after week.

I don't think most investors today have any idea what that feels like." ~MrNotAdvice

We do not want to scare our listeners, but being a savvy investor requires being aware of the risks and not turning away from the data, for better or worse. And we have plenty of data to share with you.

Our resident vulture, MrNotAdvice, walks us down memory lane, recalling what caused the 2008 financial crisis, and the reasons why the current economic crises -- or dominoes -- or doomsday scenarios-- might trigger an even more brutal market downturn.

On the back of Episode 10's overview of the commercial real estate crisis and Japan's dire economic situation which won't bode well for US treasury values and the impact those will have on interest rates, we also discuss a lack of growth outside of federal stimulus.

The expanding war in the Middle East and increasing geopolitical risks.

Since timing matters, and timing the market is hard, how should investors assess their risk profiles? What ought we do in the face of several highly impactful economic scenarios like these?

One answer is to raise cash and treat it as a position, a strategy MrNotAdvice explores in greater depth.

And did we mention aliens... The aliens are coming! The aliens are coming! 👽

And you thought investing was nothing but spreadsheets!

@7lukehallard

@7flyingplatypus

@MrNotAdvice

Bitcoin #BTC — aka digital gold — was approved last week to be traded as ETFs, causing much celebration from investors who now have an easier time owning it.

But all that glitters might not be gold, says our guest Vulture, aka @MrNotAdvice. If you care about free markets, their manipulation, and are concerned about Bitcoin losing some of its purity and philosophical principles, this episode is for you.

Life in the investing jungle can be red in tooth and claw! So we also asked Mr. Not Advice to elaborate on his most likely and impactful doomsday scenarios which, if they came to pass, would be devastating to the stock market.

Warning: this episode is not for the easily spooked investor, but for those who can handle looking at high-risk scenarios!

Hint: commercial real estate is not looking so hot, and the banks who own lots of those loans are in trouble. But with Japan as our ally, they’ll continue to buy US debt, helping to keep interest rates from rising again, right? Oh boy, if Doom is what you want, this Doomsday Episode is what you need.

Oh - and if you want to know how to protect yourself from the coming financial apocalypse, we share a bunch of preventative measures you can take to avoid the worst of the potential collapse.

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You can find more episodes of the podcast at wallstreetwildlife.com, and you can follow us at:

X.com/7lukehallard

X.com/7flyingplatypus

Wall Street Wildlife is also on Instagram and Tiktok @wallstreetwildlife.

Fed up with the stock market giving you a hard time?

- Discover the world's leading companies

- Sharpen your best investing practices and ditch the worst

- Learn how to start investing

- Essential investing principles to boost your returns

---

#BTC Why is the #bitcoinETF approval such a big deal? Do you worry about inflation? Does it matter to you that the biggest barriers to investing in bitcoin are now removed? And that it does gold’s job, but better?

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You can find more episodes of the podcast at wallstreetwildlife.com, and you can follow us at:

X.com/7lukehallard

X.com/7flyingplatypus

Wall Street Wildlife is also on Instagram and Tiktok @wallstreetwildlife.

Fed up with the stock market giving you a hard time?

- Discover the world's leading companies

- Sharpen your best investing practices and ditch the worst

- Learn how to start investing

- Essential investing principles to boost your returns

---

$RKLB Monkey loves @RocketLab as the best alternative to investing in SpaceX .So for the King of the Jungle Investing Challenge he bought some Feb '24 $7 call options.

Was this a reckless bet?

Can Luke maintain his composure in the face of Monkey's shenanigans, like the Badger ninja he is?

There's also an extremely important lesson here about ODTE options. Hint: DON'T.

The new year is an opportunity to weed out old habits that prevent us from being the best beastly versions of ourselves and the best investors we can be — the two are often intertwined!

Badger starts his resolutions by committing himself to increasing the concentration of his portfolio while Monkey aims to undertake fewer projects and to go deeper into the ones he’s most excited about.

Slowing down, and doing less is often more, both in life and in investing, so we both commit to being more like turtles. 🐢

Monkey feels distracted by too much screen time, a problem Badger is familiar with — though the thought of less technology gives him the howling fantods it seems!

Simplify! Simplify! Simplify! This is the order of the day, both for short and long-term investors. How simple can you make your own processes?

And of course, Monkey speaks some philosophy, and his renewed commitment to saying “is that so?”, an old Zen saying that comes in handy, especially when everyone around you is often wrong and knuckleheaded.

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You can find more episodes of the podcast at wallstreetwildlife.com, and you can follow us at:

X.com/7lukehallard

X.com/7flyingplatypus

Wall Street Wildlife is also on Instagram and Tiktok @wallstreetwildlife.

Fed up with the stock market giving you a hard time?

- Discover the world's leading companies

- Sharpen your best investing practices and ditch the worst

- Learn how to start investing

- Essential investing principles to boost your returns

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