Grain Markets and Other Stuff

Wheat Rallies on Possible Wind/Dust Damage + Weaker Soy Crush


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0:00 Wheat Rally
2:29 Poor Soybean Crush
5:06 China Meat Update
7:59 Brazil Crop Update
9:59 USTR
11:22 Grain Shipments

Wheat Futures Surge Amid Storm Concerns πŸŒΎπŸ’¨
Wheat futures climbed higher on Monday due to concerns over crop damage from severe windstorms and tornadoes in the Midwest and Plains. The full extent of the damage remains uncertain, but the intensity of the winds and dust is expected to impact the affected fields significantly. The rise in futures was further supported by Russia reducing its wheat export forecast and strong U.S. wheat export sales from last week. πŸŒͺοΈπŸ“ˆ

Soybean Crush Declines in February πŸ₯„πŸ“‰
The U.S. soybean crush hit its lowest level in five months, with NOPA members processing 177.9 million bushels in February. The crush was down 11.2% from January and fell short of trade expectations. Despite the lower crush, soybean oil stocks rose to an eight-month high, with stocks increasing by 18% from January. πŸ“ŠπŸ›’οΈ

China Renews Export Licenses for U.S. Pork & Poultry πŸ–πŸ”
China has renewed export licenses for U.S. pork and poultry facilities, allowing them to continue shipments for the next five years. However, the renewal for U.S. beef facilities is still pending. The Phase One trade agreement had expected automatic renewals, but trade tensions remain as retaliatory tariffs continue on U.S. agricultural products. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³πŸ’₯

Brazil’s Soybean Harvest on Track πŸ‡§πŸ‡·πŸŒ±
Brazil’s soybean harvest is progressing at its fastest rate in 14 years, with 70% of the crop harvested as of last Thursday. Despite the accelerated pace, there are concerns about yield losses in Rio Grande do Sul due to hot and dry conditions. AgRural also reported that Brazilian farmers had planted 97% of their second corn crop. 🌾🌞

Greer Aims to Smooth Tariff Implementation πŸ’Όβš–οΈ
U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer is working to ensure the smoother implementation of President Trump’s upcoming tariffs. Despite ongoing tariff-related confusion and market volatility, Greer is bringing back traditional processes, including public comments. While concerns over legal challenges persist, Trump remains firm on moving forward with the tariff plan. πŸ“‰πŸ“‘

U.S. Export Shipments Show Mixed Results πŸš’πŸ“‰
U.S. corn shipments declined slightly last week, but they remained strong, with 1.7 million metric tons inspected for export. Soybean shipments dropped by 24% compared to the prior week, while wheat shipments surged by 104%, surpassing expectations. The wheat shipment increase reflects strong demand despite ongoing tariff uncertainties. 🌽🌾

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Grain Markets and Other StuffBy Joe Vaclavik

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