The Sources Podcast hosts come together for a special New Year 2026 UK politics preview, analysing what could be the most volatile year in British politics for a generation.

With local elections in England, Scottish Parliament elections, Senedd elections in Wales, and mounting pressure on the Northern Ireland Executive, this episode explores how the rise of Reform UK, growing voter fragmentation, and Labour’s governing challenges could reshape the UK’s political map.

🎙️ Featuring voices from:

Whitehall Sources

Holyrood Sources

Stormont Sources

Senedd Sources

🔍 In this episode:

Is Reform UK becoming a permanent force in British politics?

Can Keir Starmer’s Labour government survive a brutal May election?

Why the Greens and Gaza independents are threatening Labour in cities

Will SNP dominance in Scotland finally crack — and if so, who replaces them?

Could Plaid Cymru lead Wales for the first time?

How stable is Stormont, and could it collapse again before 2027?

What a fragmented UK means for the future of the Union

This is essential listening for anyone trying to understand UK elections 2026, Nigel Farage’s influence, Labour’s political future, and the growing instability across Britain’s devolved governments.

📌 Subscribe for weekly insider analysis from Westminster, Holyrood, Stormont and the Senedd.

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Whitehall Sources is a podcast which takes you behind the door of Number 10 Downing Street. Senior advisers to our most recent Prime Ministers share their experiences and analyse current events.

Top advisers to our significant political leaders analyse the successes and failures of today's politics, sharing their experiences of working in Whitehall. Kirsty Buchanan worked with Theresa May as PM, and Liz Truss when she was Secretary of State. Jo Tanner is a political adviser and strategist who's worked with politicians from all parties. Journalist and broadcaster Calum Macdonald manages their in-tray of talking points, U-turns and crises. From parties in Westminster to the tactics of SpAds, this is your exclusive insight into how politics is done and how politicians work. We welcome insiders and analysts to join the conversation each week.

Listen here: https://podfollow.com/1649210131

Follow us on Twitter, Instagram and TikTok: search for Whitehall Sources

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British politics is entering a new and unstable era.

In this Whitehall Sources New Year special, we're joined by Luke Tryl of More in Common.

Calum Macdonald, political strategist Jo Tanner and former No.10 adviser Kirsty Buchanan, to break down the biggest polling stories of 2025 and what they mean for 2026’s critical elections.

🔍 In this episode:

• Why Reform UK is leading the polls – and whether Nigel Farage has peaked
• Labour’s historic collapse in support under Keir Starmer
• The unexpected rise of the Green Party and Zach Polanski
• Kemi Badenoch’s recovery and the Conservatives’ fight for survival
• How TikTok, digital media and the attention economy are reshaping politics
• What the Scottish, Welsh and English local elections could deliver
• Is the UK heading for US-style midterm politics and permanent fragmentation?

Luke Tryl explains why voters are abandoning the status quo, why challenger parties are thriving, and whether Britain’s traditional two-party system can survive the decade.

🎙️ Essential listening for anyone following UK polling, elections, Reform UK, Labour, the Conservatives, the Greens, and the future of British democracy.

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The Whitehall Sources Christmas Special takes a hard look back at one of the most turbulent years in British and global politics — and asks what comes next.

Calum Macdonald, former No.10 adviser Kirsty Buchanan and political strategist Jo Tanner unpack the defining moments of 2025:

• The Labour welfare rebellion that exposed Keir Starmer’s leadership weaknesses
• Rachel Reeves’ emotional Commons moment and what it revealed about pressure at the top
• Angela Rayner, reshuffles, and why Starmer is being labelled an “unlucky general”
• Europe, Trump, Putin and the Alaska summit — and why the UK and EU look powerless on Ukraine
• Has anything really changed in global politics despite the noise?

Plus:

🎙️ Our favourite Whitehall Sources moments of the year

🔮 Bold predictions for 2026, including Keir Starmer’s future and Nigel Farage’s leadership of Reform UK

🎄 Festive politics, candid debate, and unfiltered analysis

If you want insider political analysis without the Westminster spin, this episode is essential listening.

📩 Send us your 2026 predictions:

WhatsApp: 0333 404 6507

Email: [email protected]

🎧 New episodes every week — including throughout Christmas and New Year.

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Is Keir Starmer heading for another reset in January — and will it work?

In this episode of Whitehall Sources, Calum Macdonald, former No.10 special adviser Kirsty Buchanan and political strategist Jo Tanner examine the growing pressure on the Labour leadership as 2026 looms.

The panel breaks down:

• Why Labour MPs are rebelling over proposals to restrict jury trials
• Whether Starmer has lost his political narrative — and public trust
• What the Bank of England’s interest rate cut to 3.75% really means for households and businesses
• Why the courts backlog, assisted dying, and constitutional reform are becoming political flashpoints
• And whether Labour is drifting away from its manifesto promises

With sharp analysis, blunt criticism, and a few festive laughs, this episode asks a simple question:

Does Keir Starmer still know what he stands for — and does anyone else?

🎧 New episodes of Whitehall Sources drop weekly throughout the festive period.

📌 Subscribe for insider political analysis from Westminster.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Brexit is back on the agenda — and this week’s Whitehall Sources dives deep. Former No10 adviser Kirsty Buchanan, political strategist Jo Tanner, and Calum Macdonald break down whether Keir Starmer is quietly preparing the UK for a new customs arrangement with the EU – and what that actually means.

We analyse:

🔹 Starmer’s recent speeches hinting at closer EU ties

🔹 Whether Labour is shifting towards a customs union

🔹 How “the” vs “a” customs union could decide Britain’s economic direction

🔹 What the EU actually wants from any renegotiation

🔹 The political danger from Reform UK and Nigel Farage

🔹 Why Brexit sentiment could explode again if this returns to the headlines

PLUS: We take on David Lammy’s proposal to scrap jury trials for many serious offences to tackle the justice backlog. Jo brings her personal experience as a juror — including a shocking story about racism inside the jury room.

Also on the pod: Christmas trees, Caribbean holidays, political communications failures, and the enduring madness of Brexit semantics.

Subscribe for more insider Westminster analysis from Whitehall Sources.

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Two days after Rachel Reeves delivered her first budget, Calum Macdonald and former No.10 special adviser Kirsty Buchanan break down what really happened — from the OBR leak, to the tax rises, to the political strategy behind one of the most controversial fiscal events in years.

Economist Simon French (Panmure Liberum) joins to assess:

• Why the markets didn’t panic

• Whether this budget really “clobbers working people”

• Why business rates may spike for pubs & hospitality

• Whether inflation could now fall faster

• If the tax pain scheduled for 2027–2029 is even credible

We also examine the biggest brewing storm:

A £6 billion black hole in Special Educational Needs (SEND) funding and the government’s unclear plan to fill it.

✨ Including discussion of welfare spending, Labour strategy, the markets, business rates, and parents’ fury over potential education cuts.

If you enjoy behind-the-scenes Westminster insights and real economic analysis, subscribe to Whitehall Sources.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Calum and Kirsty are joined by James Chapman, who was an adviser to Chancellor George Osborne; and Karim Palant who was an adviser to Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls, to take you behind the scenes of budget day. James tells us how the budget is even decided - including one measure that was kept secret from the Cabinet - they only found out about it when it was announced to the Commons. Plus, he discusses leaks that caused headaches for the government. Karim tells us about the room that opposition aides gather in to assemble messages and memos to run to the floor of the Commons chamber for the opposition response to be updated in real time. Kirsty wears her Number 10 hat - telling us that budget day is pretty relaxed for the Prime Minister - and wears her journalist hat to discuss the media briefing immediately after the budget. All of our guests were recorded independently - and every one of them mentioned the infamous pasty tax. Hear what they have to say about how budgets unravel. Email us anytime: [email protected].

First published 2023

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Join us live from central London for an unmissable deep-dive into Rachel Reeves’ upcoming Budget — with business leaders, MPs and political strategists unpacking what’s really happening behind the scenes.

Recorded at the Make UK headquarters and sponsored by Rud Pedersen, this Whitehall Sources Live special brings together an expert panel to explore the most turbulent pre-budget period in years.

🔥 What we cover in this episode:

– Why business and consumer confidence is collapsing

– Why over half of UK companies have paused investment

– The £25 billion tax question hanging over Rachel Reeves

– Will Labour target businesses again after last year’s NI and wage rises?

– The three types of political budgets explained (Reforming, Narrative & Survival)

– Is the UK economy stuck in a “doom loop”?

– Public sector productivity, NHS pressures & welfare reform

– What business leaders want from the Budget (consistency, clarity & stability)

🎙 Featuring:

• Chris Curtis MP – Labour MP for Milton Keynes North

• Dame Harriet Baldwin MP – Conservative MP & Shadow Business Minister

• Ruth Sunderland – Award-winning business journalist

• Lord Richard Harrington – Chair of Make UK

The panel debates everything from tax rises to foreign investment, business confidence, national insurance, public spending, and the political realities facing the Chancellor next week.

If you care about the UK economy, manufacturing, tax policy, or the political dynamics defining Britain’s future — this episode is essential viewing.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.