The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Yellen Almost Admits Fed Not Ready to Raise Rates


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Today was the expected day for expected rate hikes, indicating economic "lift-off"
The June rate hike is off the table and everyone is focusing attention on September
The prepared remarks are just a smokescreen to maintain the pretense that the economy can withstand a rate hike
The Q&A session after the the prepared remarks were more revealing
Janet Yellen ducked the question of why people who recommend postponing the rate hike to 2016 are wrong
Yellen stated that the "dots" used to forecast rates are based on mere projections
The FOMC is always too optimistic about the economy, so if they are wrong again, the dots are meaningless
Yellen tacitly admits she is hiding behind the data, stating that even if rates to rise, it will be a nominal amount
Yellen's response to CNBC's Steve Liesman question regarding what labor milestone would justify a rate hike was especially telling
She said she needs to see further improvement in the Labor Market before she begins to raise rates
How much improvement does Yellen expect in the labor market over the next three months?
There is a good chance that the labor market will not be as strong in the next three months
She is letting the cat out of the bag; saying that rate hike is not likely in September, either
Yellen questioned the "obsession" about when rate hikes start because the first rate hike will not necessarily indicate normalization
She is indicating that a rate hike may be symbolic
The highly stimulative rate of zero to .25 is only necessary when trying to sustain a bubble
In response to a question about the Federal Reserve under Greenspan, Yellen indicated that it was a mistake for him to raise rates slowly and methodically
I was vocal Greenspan's decisions at that time, arguing that his actions were creating the real estate bubble
Yellen is now moving interest rates even more slowly over a period of 7 years
I may not be the only person who noticed how dovish Yellen's statements are
The knee-jerk reaction on the Fed's statement was to buy the dollar, but quickly turned into a selloff, and it intensified during the Q&A session
The dollar was on the lows of the day as it gets closer to the time rates were expected to raise
My video blogs are always available on schiffradio.com and on YouTube
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