The Real Investment Show Podcast

1-14-25 Tactically Bearish As Risks Increase


Listen Later

PPI & CPI Preview: Earnings season is about to commence, followed by the opening of the Buy Back window. Higher yields (and term premiums) are weighing on markets. Term premiums are just a measure of sentiment; watch what companies say, impacted by higher yields. Markets rally to just above the 100-DMA. Lance reviews investor sentiment, credit spreads, and market valuation (which charts). Noting the (limited) impact of taffis on a service-oriented economy. Being “tactically bearish” does NOT mean we are expecting a bear market or a severe market crash. Regarding portfolio management, the difference between being “tactically bullish” or “tactically bearish” is the level of equity risk we take in client portfolios. Over the last two years, we have been “tactically bullish” and have held more significant weightings in equities that have benefitted from market momentum and investor sentiment. However, shifting toward a “tactically bearish” position would suggest rebalancing exposure to more fundamental, value-oriented, dividend-paying companies that will reduce overall portfolio volatility. It also may mean owning less equity exposure and increasing cash levels. Lance & Jonathan review how parents have failed Gen-Z in preparing them for the rigors of life, like changing light bulbs. Lance & Jonathan discuss portfolio strategies. SEG-1: PPI, CPI Previews SEG-2: Investor Sentiment, Credit Spreads, & Market Valuations SEG-3: Gen-Z DIY'ers, Mowing the Lawn, & Building Wealth SEG-4: Highwater Marks & Portfolio Compartmentalization Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cob96R2cIfw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consolidation Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ "Investor Resolutions For 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "PPI Disappoints," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QSS21fO4Pho&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Investor Resolutions for 2025," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVOZkx7iz8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearishMarket #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategies #MarketVolatility #FinancialInsights  #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InvestorResolutions2025 #SmartInvesting #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #MoneyGoals2025 #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

The Real Investment Show PodcastBy Lance Roberts

  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8

4.8

45 ratings


More shows like The Real Investment Show Podcast

View all
Top Traders Unplugged by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Top Traders Unplugged

583 Listeners

Macro Voices by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

Macro Voices

3,069 Listeners

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing by The Idea Farm

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

932 Listeners

Hedgeye Podcasts by Hedgeye Risk Management

Hedgeye Podcasts

202 Listeners

The Market Huddle by Patrick Ceresna & Kevin Muir

The Market Huddle

356 Listeners

Rebel Capitalist News by George Gammon

Rebel Capitalist News

1,033 Listeners

Eurodollar University by Jeff Snider

Eurodollar University

463 Listeners

The Grant Williams Podcast by Grant Williams

The Grant Williams Podcast

1,348 Listeners

Wealthion - Be Financially Resilient by Wealthion

Wealthion - Be Financially Resilient

384 Listeners

Forward Guidance by Blockworks

Forward Guidance

274 Listeners

The Macro Trading Floor by Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly

The Macro Trading Floor

213 Listeners

The Julia La Roche Show by Julia La Roche

The Julia La Roche Show

55 Listeners

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart by Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

362 Listeners

The David Lin Report by The David Lin Report

The David Lin Report

35 Listeners

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley by Jack Farley

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

94 Listeners