80,000 Hours Podcast

#233 – James Smith on how to prevent a mirror life catastrophe


Listen Later

When James Smith first heard about mirror bacteria, he was sceptical. But within two weeks, he’d dropped everything to work on it full time, considering it the worst biothreat that he’d seen described. What convinced him?

Mirror bacteria would be constructed entirely from molecules that are the mirror images of their naturally occurring counterparts. This seemingly trivial difference creates a fundamental break in the tree of life. For billions of years, the mechanisms underlying immune systems and keeping natural populations of microorganisms in check have evolved to recognise threats by their molecular shape — like a hand fitting into a matching glove.

Learn more, video, and full transcript: https://80k.info/js26

Mirror bacteria would upend that assumption, creating two enormous problems:

  1. Many critical immune pathways would likely fail to activate, creating risks of fatal infection across many species.
  2. Mirror bacteria could have substantial resistance to natural predators: for example, they would be essentially immune to the viruses that currently keep bacteria populations in check. That could help them spread and become irreversibly entrenched across diverse ecosystems.

Unlike ordinary pathogens, which are typically species-specific, mirror bacteria’s reversed molecular structure means they could potentially infect humans, livestock, wildlife, and plants simultaneously. The same fundamental problem — reversed molecular structure breaking immune recognition — could affect most immune systems across the tree of life. People, animals, and plants could be infected from any contaminated soil, dust, or species.

The discovery of these risks came as a surprise. The December 2024 Science paper that brought international attention to mirror life was coauthored by 38 leading scientists, including two Nobel Prize winners and several who had previously wanted to create mirror organisms.

James is now the director of the Mirror Biology Dialogues Fund, which supports conversations among scientists and other experts about how these risks might be addressed. Scientists tracking the field think that mirror bacteria might be feasible in 10–30 years, or possibly sooner. But scientists have already created substantial components of the cellular machinery needed for mirror life. We can regulate precursor technologies to mirror life before they become technically feasible — but only if we act before the research crosses critical thresholds. Once certain capabilities exist, we can’t undo that knowledge.

Addressing these risks could actually be very tractable: unlike other technologies where massive potential benefits accompany catastrophic risks, mirror life appears to offer minimal advantages beyond academic interest.

Nonetheless, James notes that fewer than 10 people currently work full-time on mirror life risks and governance. This is an extraordinary opportunity for researchers in biosecurity, synthetic biology, immunology, policy, and many other fields to help solve an entirely preventable catastrophe — James even believes the issue is on par with AI safety as a priority for some people, depending on their skill set.

The Mirror Biology Dialogues Fund is hiring!

  • Deputy director: https://80k.info/mbdfdd
  • Operations lead: https://80k.info/mbdfops
  • Expression of interest for other roles: https://80k.info/mbdfeoi

This episode was recorded on November 5-6, 2025.

Chapters:

  • Cold open (00:00:00)
  • Who's James Smith? (00:00:49)
  • Why is mirror life so dangerous? (00:01:12)
  • Mirror life and the human immune system (00:15:40)
  • Nonhuman animals will also be at risk (00:28:25)
  • Will plants be susceptible to mirror bacteria? (00:34:57)
  • Mirror bacteria's effect on ecosystems (00:39:34)
  • How close are we to making mirror bacteria? (00:52:16)
  • Policies for governing mirror life research (01:06:39)
  • Countermeasures if mirror bacteria are released into the world (01:22:06)
  • Why hasn't mirror life evolved on its own? (01:28:37)
  • Why wouldn't antibodies or antibiotics save us from mirror bacteria? (01:31:52)
  • Will the environment be toxic to mirror life? (01:39:21)
  • Are there too many uncertainties to act now? (01:44:18)
  • The potential benefits of mirror molecules and mirror life (01:46:55)
  • Might we encounter mirror life in space? (01:52:44)
  • Sounding the alarms about mirror life: the backstory (01:54:55)
  • How to get involved (02:02:44)

Video and audio editing: Dominic Armstrong, Milo McGuire, Luke Monsour, and Simon Monsour
Music: CORBIT
Camera operators: Jeremy Chevillotte and Alex Miles
Coordination, transcripts, and web: Katy Moore

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

80,000 Hours PodcastBy Rob, Luisa, and the 80000 Hours team

  • 4.7
  • 4.7
  • 4.7
  • 4.7
  • 4.7

4.7

304 ratings


More shows like 80,000 Hours Podcast

View all
Making Sense with Sam Harris by Sam Harris

Making Sense with Sam Harris

26,334 Listeners

Conversations with Tyler by Mercatus Center at George Mason University

Conversations with Tyler

2,472 Listeners

The a16z Show by Andreessen Horowitz

The a16z Show

1,100 Listeners

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View by Azeem Azhar

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View

616 Listeners

The Joe Walker Podcast by Joe Walker

The Joe Walker Podcast

139 Listeners

ChinaTalk by Jordan Schneider

ChinaTalk

293 Listeners

Your Undivided Attention by The Center for Humane Technology, Tristan Harris, Daniel Barcay and Aza Raskin

Your Undivided Attention

1,623 Listeners

Google DeepMind: The Podcast by Hannah Fry

Google DeepMind: The Podcast

200 Listeners

Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST) by Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST)

Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST)

98 Listeners

Dwarkesh Podcast by Dwarkesh Patel

Dwarkesh Podcast

517 Listeners

Big Technology Podcast by Alex Kantrowitz

Big Technology Podcast

513 Listeners

Hard Fork by The New York Times

Hard Fork

5,538 Listeners

No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups by Conviction

No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups

140 Listeners

"Econ 102" with Noah Smith and Erik Torenberg by Turpentine

"Econ 102" with Noah Smith and Erik Torenberg

154 Listeners

The Marginal Revolution Podcast by Mercatus Center at George Mason University

The Marginal Revolution Podcast

92 Listeners