The Real Investment Show Podcast

5-20-25 Are Markets Too Complacent?


Listen Later

Are investors dangerously ignoring risk? Despite signs of slowing economic growth, elevated valuations, and geopolitical uncertainty, markets continue to trend higher with remarkably low volatility. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn address whether or not markets too complacent, remembering wedding anniversaries, and whether the ratings agencies are to be believed: Why even rate Treasuries at all? A look at bad headlines (If it bleeds, it leads), and whether now is a terrible time to retire; the reality that markets don't really care about anything but forward earnings guidance. We’ll explore why investor sentiment appears disconnected from fundamentals, what past periods of complacency have taught us, and how to identify the early warning signs of risk being mispriced. If you're concerned about market bubbles, overconfidence, or “this time is different” thinking, this episode offers important context — and caution. SEG-1: Moody Downgrade, CBO Projections, & Buy the Dip SEG-2a: Happy Anniversary - Tomorrow SEG-2b: Why Have Ratings on Treasuries? SEG-3a: Retirement Income Empowerment tease (registration link below) SEG-3b: Bad Headlines, Retirement Timing, & AC/DC-Squirrel! SEG-4: All Markets Care About is Forward Earnings Guidance Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N8MpeSQZeRs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1309s ------- Articles mention in this show: "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody’s Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Patience, Grasshopper," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HEQXlux8Yfg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Moody’s Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UP8yVn_65v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestorPatience #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #RetirementPlanning #RetireSmart #InflationAndRetirement #FinancialFreedom #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

The Real Investment Show PodcastBy Lance Roberts

  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8

4.8

45 ratings


More shows like The Real Investment Show Podcast

View all
Top Traders Unplugged by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Top Traders Unplugged

586 Listeners

Macro Voices by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

Macro Voices

3,072 Listeners

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing by The Idea Farm

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

932 Listeners

Hedgeye Podcasts by Hedgeye Risk Management

Hedgeye Podcasts

200 Listeners

The Market Huddle by Patrick Ceresna & Kevin Muir

The Market Huddle

361 Listeners

Rebel Capitalist News by George Gammon

Rebel Capitalist News

1,031 Listeners

Eurodollar University by Jeff Snider

Eurodollar University

459 Listeners

The Grant Williams Podcast by Grant Williams

The Grant Williams Podcast

1,358 Listeners

Wealthion - Be Financially Resilient by Wealthion

Wealthion - Be Financially Resilient

378 Listeners

Forward Guidance by Blockworks

Forward Guidance

273 Listeners

The Macro Trading Floor by Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly

The Macro Trading Floor

214 Listeners

The Julia La Roche Show by Julia La Roche

The Julia La Roche Show

54 Listeners

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart by Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

363 Listeners

The David Lin Report by The David Lin Report

The David Lin Report

36 Listeners

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley by Jack Farley

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

91 Listeners