The Property Trio (formerly The Property Planner, Buyer and Professor)

#90: Property prices - what causes values to fall & how to tackle a rising market


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https://propertyplanning.com.au/propertyplannerbuyerprofessor/ In this week's episode #72, the Property Planner, Buyer and Professor Podcast team discuss "Property prices - what causes values to fall & how to tackle a rapidly rising market", as Dave, Cate and Pete take you through: 1. On the flip side Many of the facets we discussed in the previous episode #71 "Capital growth - what increases property values" have an adverse impact on property values if the opposite occurs so for this episode, we covered some different topics. 2. Macro prudential regulation We now have a track record that macro prudential measures have the ability to influence property prices. APRA slammed on the breaks by putting caps on investment lending, LVR's and interest only loans in an effort to dampen the market and it worked! 3. Higher and new property taxes New policy and government announcements do affect buyer behaviour and the beauty is that policy makers can target particular segments of buyers, such as investors, foreign buyers, first home buyers, and so on, (to name a few). The trio touch on some of the changes we have seen and could see in the future. 4. Negative gearing Tying in with taxes, the abolition of negative gearing is still on the Labor party agenda. Whether it happens in the 3 years or 10 years is anyone's guess and the extent of any reduction of negative gearing to a certain number of property V total abolition. The Property Planner share how Labor have not taking this off the table yet and makes his predictions that they will roll it out in some down the track. 5. Global and political unrest Our international trade relationships have a large impact on the economic well-being of our nation, and therefore, can directly impact jobs, employment, wages growth and inflation - which all have a bearing on property prices. The Property Planner explores challenges and an example of a left tail or black swan risk that could cause future conflict and severely impact the Australian economy. It wasn't that long ago a pandemic was scoffed at as a left tail risk! 6. Natural, environmental or health disasters As we all understand much more clearly now following the Covid-19 pandemic, these events are significant set-backs for any economy that must manage through these disasters. They often come with a huge cost to governments and can spell increases in unemployment. This event has also increased the willingness for business and consumers to better perceive the risks of climate events also. 7. Fear of... The trio explain how fear can either be a driver of property values or a wet blanket. During 2020, even people who were stable and confident in their employment chose to wait on the sidelines of the property market, for fear of the unknown. Fast forward to 2021 and the trend playing out now is fear of missing out, causing a feeding frenzy in the property market. Fear plays a large part when it comes to price movement and Cate drills into this, and the immediate affect it can have on local markets. 8. Doomsday media One thing living through a pandemic has taught us among many, is take what you read in the media with a grain of salt. The Property Buyer explains how the media can irresponsibly skew consumer confidence, creating self-fulfilling prophecies. 9. Too many renters Owner occupiers have a greater ability to drive property prices, as they're willing to pay extra to get into that lifestyle property they've always dreamed of. Where the rati...
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The Property Trio (formerly The Property Planner, Buyer and Professor)By Cate Bakos, David Johnston and Mike Mortlock

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