Asia Centric by Bloomberg Intelligence

China has long relied on massive infrastructure spending and an unstoppable export engine, leading to a record $1.2 trillion trade surplus last year. However, this investment-heavy strategy is testing its limits as global trading partners increasingly push back, making Beijing's transition toward a consumption-based economy more critical than ever.

But how achievable is this transition, and how long will it take? Hao Hong, Chief Economist and Chief Investment Officer at Lotus Asset Management, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast to weigh in. He also breaks down the current regime shift in raw materials, explaining why the global economy is entering a new commodity supercycle driven by Western supply chain investments, AI infrastructure demands and a decade of severe industry underinvestment.

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Opportunities in fixed income are the best in over a decade, according to BlackRock. Investors can now build a 6% yielding portfolio without taking on the substantial credit or long-duration risks required in the past. Meanwhile, central bank policies have become desynchronized globally, creating a unique environment where Asian local bonds are negatively correlated to US debt. This wide dispersion in rates is creating unprecedented opportunities for investors to diversify portfolios and differentiate returns.

Navin Saigal, head of global fixed income, Asia Pacific at BlackRock, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. He discusses how the AI and tech revolution is driving productivity gains and high GDP growth alongside a net-negative job environment — a dynamic that could put a dampener on global inflation. Saigal also explains why Asian local bonds remain among the most compelling, yet under-owned, diversification opportunities in the market today.

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The US dollar is under pressure again as shifting geopolitical risks – from uncertain tariff policies to the Greenland controversy – drive a renewed case for currency diversification and weigh heavily on the greenback. This is being compounded by a widening global policy rift: the Federal Reserve remains on track for multiple rate cuts this year, while other central banks, including Australia and Japan, move in the opposite direction.

Is the 15-year dollar bull market officially over? Audrey Childe-Freeman, Chief FX Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast to unpack the dollar’s recent trajectory. She also discusses why the Swiss franc, euro, Australian dollar, and gold have strong tailwinds in 2026.

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After hitting a nine-year low in early 2025, Hong Kong's residential property market is showing concrete signs of a turnaround. Home prices have rebounded 9% from their recent trough, fueled by the removal of all property cooling measures and a surge in transaction volumes. Even the commercial sector - still beset by high office vacancy rates - is seeing green shoots, driven by a resurgence in financial services and IPO activity.

Can Hong Kong truly decouple from the ongoing property crisis in mainland China? And with the US Federal Reserve entering an easing cycle, will lower borrowing costs be enough to sustain this recovery?

Rosanna Tang, Head of Research at Cushman & Wakefield, and Patrick Wong, senior property analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, join host John Lee to crunch the numbers. Together, they unpack the "wealth effect" driven by a rebounding stock market, the impact of a 270,000-strong influx of talent on the leasing sector, and why it's now often cheaper to buy than to rent in the world’s most expensive housing market.

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A surprising new bottleneck has emerged in the global AI infrastructure build-out: memory chips. Major manufacturers including SK Hynix, Micron and Samsung Electronics have effectively run out of capacity, sparking a scramble among customers to secure supply.

Contract prices for certain DRAM chips surged 78% in the fourth quarter alone, with another 50% jump forecast by March. This price shock is creating a squeeze — especially for makers of smartphones, PCs and automobiles — as memory suppliers prioritize high-margin AI chips over "legacy" components. The result is a widening supply gap that threatens to leave consumer electronics companies struggling to secure essential parts through 2027.

MS Hwang, research director at Counterpoint Research, joins John Lee and Bloomberg News technology editor Vlad Savov on the Asia Centric podcast. They unpack the dynamics of the shortage and how Chinese upstarts are racing to fill the void.

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Global military budgets are surging at a pace unseen since the Cold War, fueling a defense-spending supercycle. NATO allies are aiming to spend up to 5% of GDP on defense by 2035, while Asian powers such as Japan and South Korea are also boosting spending. This environment has been a boon for defense stocks, with South Korea's Hanwha Aerospace rising a spectacular 2,600% since the start of the Russia-Ukraine War, even eclipsing Rheinmetall's 1,700% run.

Is the defense spending supercycle sustainable? And which companies and countries stand to benefit from this surge? Wayne Sanders, senior defense analyst and retired US army colonel, and Eric Zhu, aerospace and defense analyst – both at Bloomberg Intelligence – join John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. They also discuss the evolving roles of air defense, hypersonics and space in future conflicts.

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Humanoid robots have become one of the hottest investment themes, with a basket of Asian-related stocks rising more than 70% over the past year. The technology stole the show at CES 2026 with eye-opening demos from Boston Dynamics and Unitree, while expectations for Tesla's Optimus are increasing as the company races toward production this year.

Yet, expectations may be outpacing commercial reality. While some street estimates project revenue in the hundreds of billions, Bloomberg Intelligence takes a more measured view, forecasting a $5 billion total addressable market for automotive assembly by 2035.

Takeshi Kitaura, senior industrials analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, joins host John Lee to dissect the sector's outlook. They explore the emergence of “physical AI”, the viability of replacing human labor on factory floors, and whether the US or China holds the advantage in this evolving race.

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India's stock market has seen an explosion in retail participation, skyrocketing to more than 125 million registered investors from 20 million pre-pandemic. While 70% of these new investors are under 30, the boom is broad based: female participation has surged to nearly a quarter of the market, and half of all accounts now hail from rural areas. However, this new cohort's desire for "instant gratification" has fueled a speculative frenzy in derivatives, prompting regulator SEBI to step in with new rules to cool the market.

Jayprakash Gupta, founder of online trading platform Dhan, joins John Lee to explain how wide-ranging digitization efforts – from banking access to mobile penetration – laid the foundation for this growth. He discusses the impact of SEBI's recent crackdown on trading volumes and explains why he remains bullish on India's financial markets, pointing to low penetration rates, strong mutual fund inflows and a robust pipeline of IPOs.

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Launching a multi-strategy hedge fund has never been tougher. Giants such as Millennium, Point72 and Citadel dominate the space, while spiraling pay and a fierce "war for talent" have pushed entry barriers higher than ever. So why leave a top role at one of the world’s biggest funds to start a rival?

Jonathan Xiong, CEO & CIO of Arrowpoint Investment Partners and former co-CEO of Millennium in Asia, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast to answer that question. With more than $1.5 billion in assets and growing, Arrowpoint is one of the most significant launches out of the region in recent years. Xiong discusses the difficulties of starting a multi-strategy fund, the hidden dangers of the "cost pass-through" model, and how he stood out from the crowd by identifying a unique gap in the Asian market.

This episode was recorded in December 2025.

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Geopolitical risk is often seen as a market threat, yet the rivalry between Washington and Beijing is driving a wave of investment opportunities. The US push for re-industrialization is boosting demand for Asian exports in sectors such as shipbuilding, power generation and semiconductors while China’s investment in "new productive forces" accelerates its high-end manufacturing upgrade.

Timothy Moe, chief Asia-Pacific equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. Moe explains why technology will remain a dominant theme in 2026 and why the firm is overweight Asia ex-Japan, forecasting the region will outperform the US and Europe. He also details why South Korea remains his top pick, citing 35% projected earnings growth and reasonable valuations, and outlines the rationale for his recent upgrade of India.

This will also be our last episode for 2025 and we will re-commence on January 8 with a new line up of exciting speakers.

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