Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you 5 major stories from the world of business.

It's Monday, May 19th, 2025. This is Nelson John.

1. Q4 Earnings Storm: Over 660 Companies Line UpIt’s a blockbuster week on Dalal Street as over 660 companies, including market giants like Power Grid, ONGC, Hindalco, and ITC, prepare to report Q4 results. The Nifty 500 has already surprised positively with 10.5% earnings growth, signaling a mid-cap revival. Investors will closely track results starting Monday from firms like DLF and Pfizer, followed by Hindalco, Dixon, and Max Healthcare on Tuesday. Wednesday belongs to ONGC, IndiGo, and Mankind Pharma. By Friday, the likes of JSW Steel and Reliance Infra will cap off what could be a defining week for FY25 sentiment. Even Saturday will see earnings action from JK Cement and Indigo Paints. The momentum here could shape the market’s next big move.

2. IMF’s 11-Point Lifeline to PakistanPakistan has secured a fresh $1 billion from the IMF—but with 11 strict conditions. The total disbursed now stands at $2.1 billion. Key demands include passing a ₹17.6 trillion budget, implementing agricultural income tax, raising energy tariffs, and phasing out tech zone incentives by 2035. Failure to meet these could jeopardize further aid. Adding to the pressure, the IMF has flagged rising India-Pakistan tensions as a potential risk to the reform path. As Pakistan stares at a tough fiscal balancing act, the road to economic stability is paved with policy overhauls and public patience.

3. India Hits Bangladesh with Trade CurbsIndia has restricted port access for Bangladeshi goods worth $770 million, impacting nearly 42% of Dhaka’s exports into India. The move blocks key items like garments and processed foods from land routes, now limiting them to Kolkata and Nhava Sheva ports. While India hasn’t cited geopolitical reasons, the restrictions follow Dhaka’s curbs on Indian yarn and rice exports and a transit fee on Indian cargo. Experts say India is using economic tools to push back against Bangladesh’s growing tilt towards China, which recently signed $2.1 billion worth of deals with Dhaka. With trade ties fraying, the two neighbors are veering from collaboration toward confrontation.

4. Adani’s Deep-Sea Defence PlayAdani Defence & Aerospace has signed a major partnership with US-based Sparton to localize anti-submarine warfare tech in India. This makes Adani the first private Indian firm to offer indigenised sonobuoy systems—critical for undersea detection and naval security. The tie-up aligns with India’s ‘Aatmanirbhar Bharat’ vision and is poised to boost Indian Navy capabilities. Jeet Adani called it a step toward securing sovereignty amid rising maritime threats. Sparton CEO Donnelly Bohan said the collaboration will help build high-tech jobs and localized defence manufacturing. India’s push to be a global player in undersea warfare just got a sonar-powered boost.

5. Ola’s Gigafactory Ambitions Hit DelayOla Electric’s grand gigafactory plan has hit a snag. Despite raising ₹5,500 crore last year, the company has not utilized the ₹1,227 crore earmarked for expanding battery cell capacity to 6.4 GWh by April 2025. Phase 1b and Phase 2 are delayed, with commercial production now pushed to FY26. This could endanger Ola’s eligibility for incentives under the ₹18,100 crore PLI scheme. The company, already facing mounting losses—₹564 crore in Q3 FY25—is under scrutiny for delayed execution and missed milestones. Analysts warn that unless Ola speeds up or outsources, its dream of a 20GWh facility by 2026 may remain on paper.

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