Bloomberg Surveillance

- Kate Moore, CIO at Citi Wealth
- Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University
- Jim Caron, CIO: Cross Asset Solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management
- Molly Brooks, US Rates Strategist at TD Securities

Kate Moore, CIO at Citi Wealth, offers her outlook for equities in 2025 as trade tensions heighten while good jobs data reinforces a rally. Jim Caron, CIO: Cross Asset Solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, discusses continued warning signs about the US economy coming from the bond market and talks about how momentum factors into investment strategies. Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University, talks about the latest trade tensions with China and other priorities of the Trump administration. Molly Brooks, US Rates Strategist at TD Securities, talks about whether the US could see multiple rate cuts by the end of 2025.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 4th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Robert Kaplan, Vice Chairman of Goldman Sachs, joins to discuss the Fed, interest rates, and resiliency of the US economy. US stock futures hold onto two days of gains as investors await labor market data, which has so far held up better than expected amid the Trump administration's trade war.
2) Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at the Yale Budget Lab, discusses his recent findings on the impact of tariffs on US companies and the US economy. Investors will follow services data and ADP's report on private-sector employment for updated information on the strength of the US economy, ahead of Friday's nonfarm payrolls report, as the market continues to climb on healthy eco data and in spite of tariffs.
3) Sassan Ghahramani, President and CEO at SGH Macro Advisors, joins to discuss President Trump's social media post upending US-China trade sentiment. President Trump called Xi Jinping "VERY TOUGH, AND EXTREMELY HARD TO MAKE A DEAL WITH" in a late-night social media post, raising questions about the fragile economic truce between the US and China. Tensions between the two countries are increasing, with the US recently barring the shipping of critical jet engine parts to China and seeking to slap fresh curbs on Huawei= chips, among other measures.
4) Sheila Kahyaoglu, Managing Director: Equity Research at Jeffries, talks about the air traffic controller concern for airlines and offers her analyst recommendations for US airlines.
5) Eric Rosen, author at The Rosen Report and former head of credit trading at UBS, talks about the dollar's position on the globe and how deficits and debt could weigh on it. While some economists fear a notable weakening in US employment in coming months under the weight of tariffs, that hasn’t shown up in the data yet.

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-Leland Miller, co-founder and CEO of China Beige Book
-Matt Wood, Global and US Commercial Technology & Innovation Officer, PwC
-Rep. Andy Barr (R-KY) 

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Tom Porcelli and Tony Capuano

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & David GuraJune 3nd, 2025
Featuring:
1) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, on how geopolitics are never 'going back to normal'
2) Chris Harvey, Chief US Equity Strategist at Wells Fargo, on markets. Stock futures are lower after the weekend brought more tariff drama, with China and the US accusing each other of violating a trade deal concluded just a few weeks ago. There’s also bearish comments on the dollar: Morgan Stanley expects the currency to slump 9% by mid-2026.
3) Tom Porcelli, Chief US Economist at PGIM Fixed Income on how the Fed is on the sidelines, for now. But as economic activity slows this year, we expect the Fed will ease in H2.
4) Evan Osnos, author and New Yorker staff writer, on his new book "The Haves and Have-Yachts"

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Jordan Rochester & Sharon Miller.

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- Brandon Farris, Vice President: Energy & Resources Policy at the Steel Manufacturers Association
- Kate Kalutkiewicz, Senior Managing Director: Trade Practice & McLarty Inbound at McLarty Associates
- Aditya Bhave, Senior US Economist at Bank of America
- Victoria Fernandez, Chief Market Strategist at Crossmark Global Investments

Brandon Farris, Vice President: Energy & Resources Policy at the Steel Manufacturers Association, joins to discuss President Trump saying he will double steel tariffs and how that could affect consumers and businesses. Kate Kalutkiewicz, Senior Managing Director: Trade Practice & McLarty Inbound at McLarty Associates, discusses the latest on the US-led trade war and whether talks with China are stalling. Aditya Bhave, Senior US Economist at Bank of America, offers his outlook for the US economy and potential for a recession in 2025. Victoria Fernandez, Chief Market Strategist at Crossmark Global Investments, discusses her outlook for equities in 2025 and whether there could be more choppiness in the summer months.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 2nd, 2025
Featuring:
1) Stephen Stanley, Chief Economist at Santander, joins for an extended conversation on the outlook for the US economy, lower consumer spending, and potential for a shallow recession in the US. Global stocks started the new month under pressure due to a flare-up in global trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty. Gold is heading for its biggest gain in almost four weeks as geopolitical and trade tensions revived demand for haven assets.
2) Kathy Jones, Chief Investment Strategist, Fixed Income at Charles Schwab, discusses bond market warnings and why the Fed won't be coming to the rescue any time soon. The dollar fell 0.5%, extending a streak of five monthly losses, while Treasury yields rose across the curve, with the 10-year rate up four basis points to 4.44% in the early part of the morning as risk appetite dissipates.
3) Maya MacGuineas, President of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, talks about the House bill "debt fiasco" and why markets haven't fully awaken to the debt and deficit problem in the US. It comes as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the US "is never going to default" as the deadline for increasing the federal debt ceiling approaches. Bessent declines to specify an "X date" for when the Treasury will run out of cash, but says the goal is to bring the deficit down over the next four years.
4) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, talks about President Trump threatening an increase to steel and aluminum tariffs, how the tax bill could be transformed in the Senate, and other DC headlines. Uncertainty prompted by President Donald Trump’s trade agenda picked up after China and the US accused each other of violating a trade deal concluded last month. Trump also said he would double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Meanwhile, Ukraine staged a dramatic series of strikes across Russia, deploying drones hidden in trucks deep inside the country to hit strategic airfields.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including an NYT story on Gen Z's interest in chain restaurants and a Business Insider story on AI already taking human jobs.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Seema Shah & Greg Boutle.

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- Lindsey Piegza, Chief Economist at Stifel
- Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research
- Dana Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board
- Andrew Nocella, Chief Commercial Officer at United Airlines

Lindsey Piegza, Chief Economist at Stifel, reacts to PCE and discusses her outlook for markets and the US economy. Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research, discusses the potential for more rate cuts than are currently being priced into the market. Dana Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board, talks about recent findings on the outlook of CEOs for business in the US and overall sentiment about the economy. Andrew Nocella, Chief Commercial Officer at United Airlines, talks about his outlook for the company and industry this year.

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