Bloomberg Surveillance

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Rebecca Patterson & Tina Fordham.

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- Danny Danon, Israel's Ambassador to the United Nations
- Robert Tipp, Chief Investment Strategist at PGIM Fixed Income
- Steven Cook, Senior Fellow: Middle East at Council on Foreign Relations
- Jim Farley, President & CEO at Ford Motor Co.

Danny Danon, Israel's Ambassador to the United Nations, discusses the latest developments in the Israeli airstrikes on Iran. Robert Tipp, Chief Investment Strategist at PGIM Fixed Income, joins to discuss the Treasury outlook after yesterday's auction and the spike in yields after Israel's strike on Iran. Steven Cook, Senior Fellow: Middle East at Council on Foreign Relations, joins to discuss the latest on Israeli strikes on Iran. Jim Farley, President & CEO at Ford Motor Co., talks about the latest updates from his company and how they're navigating a new geopolitical, tech, and economic environment.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 13th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, joins for a discussion on the reshaped geopolitical landscape after Israel's strike on Iran. The conflict could impact oil prices, with scenarios ranging from a moderate increase to $75 per barrel if Iran's oil facilities are attacked, to a more extreme scenario of $130 per barrel if the Strait of Hormuz is closed. The US's role in the conflict is uncertain, with possible scenarios including Tehran trying to keep the US out of the war, symbolic attacks against the US, or Iran targeting US positions in the region.
2) Mick Mulroy, co-founder of the Lobo Institute and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East, on Israel striking Iran and the consequences for the US and Middle East. The attacks risk plunging the Middle East into crisis, hitting the global economy, and escalating into a broader regional conflict, with the US and other nations calling for diplomatic de-escalation.
3) Rebecca Patterson, former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater Associates, discusses the potential for Treasuries and the Dollar becoming a safe haven amid Middle East tensions and whether US exceptionalism is fading. Treasuries rose due to escalating Israel-Iran tensions, strong auctions, and cooling inflation data, with yields falling 1-2 basis points across the curve.
4) Gautam Mukunda, Professor at Yale School of Management and Bloomberg Opinion columnist, discusses the US' role in the Israel-Iran conflict and how it could affect the upcoming Iran Nuclear Deal talks. President Trump urges Iran to accept a nuclear deal to avoid further attacks, after Israel bombed Iran's atomic facilities and killed top commanders. Israel struck around 100 targets across Iranian cities, causing oil prices to surge and investors to buy havens, and Iran responded with a wave of drones towards Israel.
5) Matt Luzzetti, Chief Economist at Deutsche Bank, talks about the changing US economic outlook amid rising Middle East tensions. Treasuries rose due to escalating Israel-Iran tensions, strong auctions, and cooling inflation data, with yields falling 1-2 basis points across the curve. duropean government bonds initially jumped but then reversed gains as focus turned to the impact of higher oil prices on inflation.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Frances Donald & Richard Clarida.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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- Lindsay Rosner, Head: Multi-Sector Investing at Goldman Sachs Asset Management
- Norman Roule, Senior Adviser at Center for Strategic & International Studies
- Frances Donald, Chief Economist at RBC
- Adam Posen, President at the Peterson Institute for International Economics

Lindsay Rosner, Head: Multi-Sector Investing at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, joins to react to PPI and discusses signals from the bond market. Norman Roule, Senior Adviser at Center for Strategic & International Studies, joins to discuss tensions in the Middle East as the US ordered some staff to leave its embassy in Baghdad after Iran threatened to strike American assets in the Middle East. Frances Donald, Chief Economist at RBC, discusses her outlook for the Fed and US economy. Adam Posen, President at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, talks about the economic impact of unilateral tariff rates.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 12th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Frances Donald, Chief Economist at RBC, joins for a discussion on CPI and the labor market and whether the Fed will be late to cut rates. The Federal Reserve is rewriting its strategy document to balance the lessons learned from low inflation before the pandemic and the painful high inflation that followed, aiming to maximize economic benefits for working Americans while controlling inflation.
2) Rich Clarida, Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO and former Fed Vice Chair, joins for an extended conversation on the Fed, rates, and the US economy. Today's 30-year Treasury auction is providing a fresh gauge of investor appetite for long-dated debt amid concerns over mounting deficits and their impact on demand.
3) Ian Lyngen, Head of US Rates at BMO Capital Markets, talks about the outlook for the 10-year-yield and brings us into PPI. President Trump's remarks on imposing unilateral tariffs on dozens of US trading partners and heightened tensions in the Middle East contributed to the risk-off tone across markets today.
4) Anton Posner, CEO at Mercury Resources, discusses how tariffs are affecting shipping and maritime industries and whether it will show up in the economic and consumer data and unilateral tariffs go into place. President Trump has threatened to impose higher duties on dozens of economies, but has only reached a trade framework with the UK and a tariff truce with China, which was recently threatened.

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A Boeing Co. 787 Dreamliner aircraft operated by Air India that was bound for London crashed shortly after taking off in Ahmedabad, in what stands to be the worst accident involving the US planemaker’s most advanced widebody airliner. 
Flight AI171 was carrying 242 passengers and crew. Video footage shared on social media showed a giant plume of smoke engulfing the crash site, with no reports of survivors. 
The aircraft entered a slow descent shortly after taking off, with its landing gear still extended before exploding into a huge fireball upon impact. The crash took place in a residential area, which could mean a higher death toll. The twin-engine plane had reached an altitude of 625 feet (190.5 meters) at a speed of 174 knots, according to data from Flightradar24. 
The accident extends a series of serious and fatal incidents in the civil aviation industry this year, including a mid-air collision in Washington early in 2025 between a military helicopter and an aircraft. Air India is in the middle of a strategic turnaround that includes a huge aircraft order as it seeks to tap growing demand from a rising Indian middle class. 
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi said the accident is “heartbreaking beyond words,” according to a statement, adding that he’s been in touch with ministers and authorities assisting the salvage operation.
Boeing shares fell 7% in premarket US trading. The 787 is the company’s most advanced in-service aircraft and is popular with airlines because it is more fuel efficient thanks to its use of lightweight composite materials. Boeing said it’s “aware of initial reports and are working to gather more information.”

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- Bob Diamond, CEO at Atlas Merchant Capital
- Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo
- Seth Carpenter, Chief Global Economist at Morgan Stanley
- David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management

Bob Diamond, CEO at Atlas Merchant Capital, joins for a discussion on markets and talks about the outlook for US equities and the US economy. Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo, talks about the potential for a credit crunch and US slowdown. Seth Carpenter, Chief Global Economist at Morgan Stanley and David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, react to CPI.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 11th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Mona Mahajan, Senior Investment Strategist at Edward Jones, Gina Martin Adams, Chief US Equity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Winnie Cisar, Global Head: Strategy at CreditInsights, react to CPI. While the CPI reading remains important as an indicator of the path of US inflation, traders are waiting to get clarification on what the real trade story is and how much global growth will be impacted.
2) Virginie Maisonneuve, Global CIO Equity at Allianz, joins to discuss the global equity outlook and how inflation could play a role in US and global investments. Financial markets are closely watching whether the US and China could tamp down tensions that economists say have tipped the global economy into a downturn. After some 20 hours of negotiations in London, US officials said both sides had established a framework to revive the flow of sensitive goods, even though the plan still needs sign-off from Trump and Xi Jinping.
3) Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, talks about her S&P 500 target and how that could be changed by today's inflation reading. Investors have been shifting to under-owned, riskier pockets of the market like small caps and high-beta stocks, with Nomura strategist Charlie McElligott citing a “right-tail” risk.
4) Karen Manna, Vice President at Federated Hermes, joins to discuss warnings signs from the bond market and opportunities for bond investors. Bond vigilantes remain focused on the US debt and deficit as uncertainty over tariffs and inflation continue.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including an NYT story on an AI company looking to take white collar jobs and a story in The Times on parents valuing baby girls over boys.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Isabelle Mateos y Lago & Francisco Blanch.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.