Bloomberg Surveillance

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Geoffrey Yu & Huw van Steenis.

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- Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary
- Russ Koesterich, Portfolio Manager at BlackRock
- Meera Pandit, Global Market Strategist at JPMorgan Investment Management
- Seth Carpenter, Chief Global Economist at Morgan Stanley

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent joins to discuss the US and China will temporarily lowering tariffs on each other's products and his weekend negotiations. Russ Koesterich, Portfolio Manager at BlackRock, talks about how equities are responding positively to easing tensions between the US and China on trade. Meera Pandit, Global Market Strategist at JPMorgan Investment Management, talks about the global outlook for equities amid US-China trade negotiations. Seth Carpenter, Chief Global Economist at Morgan Stanley, talks about whether an agreement between the US and China on trade lessens the odds of a US recession.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 12th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Geoffrey Yu, Senior Strategist: EMEA at BNY, talks about the market reaction to the US-China trade agreement and why the worst-case scenarios for markets are now a thing of the past. Investors rushed back into US assets, powering a 3% surge in S&P 500 futures, after China and the US agreed to cut tariffs and de-escalate their trade war.
2) Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Macro Strategy EMEA at Mizuho, on the "Sell America" narrative getting squeezed as the US dollar strengthens. The dollar topped a one-month high on the US-China trade talks, while gold fell more than 3% and the 10-year Treasury yield climbed five basis points to 4.42%.
3) Lori Calvasina, Chief US Equity Strategist at RBC Capital Markets, joins for an extended discussion on equity relief post-US-China trade talks and whether she expects further choppiness. Every S&P 500 sector has advanced since President Trump's April 9 pause on his harshest tariffs, with gains led by information technology, industrials, and consumer discretionary segments.
4) Huw van Steenis, Vice Chair at Oliver Wyman, on how international investors will re-balance their portfolios in reaction to US-China trade talks. Market breadth indicators, such as the 40-Week Technique Indicator and the S&P 500's cumulative advance-decline line, are signaling optimism and strength in the market, with some strategists boosting their allocation to stocks.
5) Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities, talks about why the result from Treasury Secretary Bessent's negotiations are the "best case scenario" for tech. Nvidia, Apple, Amazon, and Tesla took off in premarket trading following the announcement on trade.

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- Peter Navarro, Senior Counselor: Trade & Manufacturing at the White House
- Alicia Levine, Head: Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY Wealth
- Sarah Bianchi, Senior Managing Director at Evercore ISI
- Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities

Peter Navarro, Senior Counselor: Trade & Manufacturing at the White House, joins for a discussion on the US_UK trade deal and other potential trade agreements. Alicia Levine, Head: Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY Wealth, discusses the outlook for the S&P 500 and equities as the US reaches a trade deal with the UK and continues negotiations with other countries. Sarah Bianchi, Senior Managing Director at Evercore ISI, talks about the latest on US trade policy. Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities, talks Big Tech and how US giants will continue to fare through 2025.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 9th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Sarah Ponczek, Portfolio Manager at UBS, on company paralysis and whether market sentiment is really changing after the single trade deal with the UK. Investors nvestors are focused on the outcome of the weekend trade talks between China and the US, as the Trump administration is considering a significant tariff reduction in talks with China to ease economic pain and de-escalate tensions.
2) Shana Sissel, founder & CEO of Banrion Capital Management, brings us into the market open and talks about caution and opportunity in AI & tech. It comes as the S&P 500 briefly topped its April 2 high, led by economically-sensitive sectors, while Treasury yields surged as traders pared bets on interest-rate cuts.
3) Joanna Gallegos, co-Founder at BondBloxx, talks about why fixed income needs to be a bigger part of investor portfolios, as long as investors are precise in their pickings, and talks about risks being signaled in the bond market. The market could be pricing in de-escalation at this weekend’s US-China talks. If there’s no such positive message, global markets could be hit hard Monday.
4) Ankur Daga, CEO and founder at Angara, discusses US/India tariffs implications for the diamond market and how CEOs are strategizing amid tariff uncertainty. It comes as US Secretary Howard Lutnick mentioned a potential future tarde agreement with India, but noted that it will require a lot of work, with around 7,000 lines of tariffs to be changed or modified.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on a Soviet spacecraft falling back to Earth and Bloomberg's report on Costco monthly payment plans.Eric Mollo

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature a conversation with Professor Richard Portes.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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- Nouriel Roubini, Professor Emeritus of Economics at NYU
- Esther George, former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
- Kelsey Berro, Executive Director: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Investment Management
- Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors

Nouriel Roubini, Professor Emeritus of Economics at NYU, reacts to yesterday's Fed decision and explains why he believes the US economy could soon thrive. Esther George, former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, on Wednesday's Fed decision and whether there will be rate cuts in 2025. Kelsey Berro, Executive Director: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Investment Management, talks about the risk signals from the bond market about the US economy. Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, reacts to yesterday's Fed decision and discusses the risks to the US labor market.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 8th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Nouriel Roubini, Professor Emeritus of Economics at NYU and chairman of Roubini Global Economics, joins to discuss the Fed decision and a recent op-ed on why he believes the US economy will survive the Trump shock and thrive. It comes as Fed Chair Jay Powell says he won't lower borrowing costs until there's more certainty on the direction of trade policy, which will have to come from the White House.
2) Ken Shinoda, Portfolio Manager at DoubleLine Capital, talks growth and inflation, signals from the bond market, and pressures in MBS market. Bond investors continue to search for clarity after Chair Powell suggested the Fed will wait for conviction on whether the next move is a cut based on the economy moving towards a recession or whether it's a move towards more restrictive policy due to high inflation becoming entrenched into the economy.
3) Richard Portes, professor at London Business School, joins in studio to talk tariffs and the dollar exchange rate, risks of a financial crisis, and a potential US-UK trade deal. The announcement is expected to boost the UK economy and markets, but investors will closely examine the extent to which Trump is willing to backtrack from his sweeping tariffs imposed on April 2.
4) Michael Nathanson, founding partner and Senior Research Analyst at Moffettnathanson, discusses his note on The Beginning of the End for Search in reaction to Apple's VP of Services comments. Apple is considering revamping Safari to focus on AI-powered search engines, potentially ending its longtime partnership with Google. Eddy Cue, Apple's senior vice president of services, believes AI search providers will eventually replace standard search engines like Google and that Apple will bring those options to Safari in the future.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on REAL ID Day and a NYT story on Agatha Christie, who died in 1976, teaching a class in AI.

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Bloomberg's Tom Keene, Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz discuss remarks from Fed Chair Jay Powell following the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said officials are not in a hurry to adjust interest rates, adding tariffs could lead to higher inflation and unemployment. “If the large increases in tariffs that have been announced or sustained, they’re likely to generate a rise in inflation, a slowdown in economic growth and an increase in unemployment,” Powell said Wednesday at the conclusion of a two-day meeting in Washington. “The effects on inflation could be short lived, reflecting a one time shift in the price level,” he said. But it’s “also possible that the inflationary effects could instead be more persistent.”

Officials voted unanimously to keep the benchmark federal funds rate in a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, where it has been since December. In a statement, policymakers said they see a growing risk of both higher inflation and rising unemployment. “Uncertainty about the economic outlook has increased further,” the Federal Open Market Committee said in a statement. They added, “the risks of higher unemployment and higher inflation have risen.”

The S&P 500 index of US stocks and Treasury yields fell following the announcement, while the dollar pared gains.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Mike Green & Frances Donald.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.