Bloomberg Surveillance

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Steve Chiavarone & Lori Calvasina.

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- Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities
- Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP
- Henrietta Treyz, co-founder and Managing Partner at Veda Partners
- David Ellison, Portfolio Manager at Hennessy Funds

Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities and ADP's Nela Richardson discuss the outlook for equities and potential for further market volatility amid uncertain tariff policy from the Trump administration. Henrietta Treyz, co-founder and Managing Partner at Veda Partners, discusses President Trump's tariffs and the GOP tax plan. David Ellison, Portfolio Manager at Hennessy Funds, reacts to Goldman Sachs earnings.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 14th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Lori Calvasina, Chief US Equity Strategist at RBC Capital Markets, joins for an extended discussion on the outlook for equities and where her S&P target stands. Stocks jumped once President Trump paused import duties on consumer electronics, boosting sentiment. Despite the reprieve, volatility in markets is expected to continue.
2) Gargi Chaudhuri, Chief Investment Strategist, Americas at BlackRock, discusses the outlook for equities, and whether there's a bull case in the market given the concern. While the Dollar has struggled, yen optimism is spreading and the euro is emerging as a prime beneficiary of greenback weakness as investors reassess the dollar’s role in the global financial system.
3) Penny Foley, Portfolio Manager for the TCW Emerging Markets Group, on what she expects from the emerging markets environment given uncertain US policy. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot index fell for a fifth day, touching the lowest levels since October, on concern over the Trump administration's tariff policy, and its effects are expected to ripple throughout emerging markets.
4) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss on again, off again tariffs and newfound urgency for the tax bill. President Trump is prioritizing extending the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act this year, with Republicans in Congress agreeing on a framework to make the cuts permanent.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including Dubai dethroning Heathrow as the world's busiest international airport and why there may be fewer outdoor dining spots in New York City this year.

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Investors are on edge as rapid tariff headlines inject unprecedented volatility across global markets. Bloomberg Surveillance hosts Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz set the stage for the week ahead with insight and commentary from some of the biggest names on Wall Street.

- Bob Michele, Global Head of Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management
- Libby Cantrill, Managing Director & Head of Public Policy at PIMCO
- Stuart Kaiser, Head of Equity Trading Strategy at Citigroup

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Savita Subramanian & Jordan Rochester.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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- Christopher Wright, US Energy Secretary
- Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Woods Capital Investors
- Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quantitative Strategy
- Tony Crescenzi, Exec VP and Generalist Portfolio Manager at PIMCO

US Energy Secretary Christopher Wright discusses the Trump administration's energy strategy amid a trade war with China and the outlook for energy and gas prices. Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Woods Capital Investors, discusses equity gyrations and if market volatility is set to continue amid a growing trade war with China. Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quantitative Strategy, talks about her S&P 500 outlook amid growing policy uncertainty. Tony Crescenzi, Exec VP and Generalist Portfolio Manager at PIMCO, talks about this week's bond market moves and if it's offering other warning signs today.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney April 11th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Macro Strategy EMEA at Mizuho, on rapid de-dollarization as the trade war with China heats up. China is raising tariffs on all US goods from 84% to 125% starting April 12, in response to the US's latest tariffs. The escalating trade war has led to a decline in global financial markets, with S&P 500 futures and European stocks falling, and the dollar extending its decline.
2) Kathy Jones, Chief Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab, joins to discuss the bond market's pushback this week and what it's signaling and President Trump pushes ahead with his trade war with China. Investors are flocking to bunds as a safe-haven asset after the US Treasuries' historically bad week, leaving German yields largely unchanged, while the rate on the US 10-year debt has surged more than 40 basis points.
3) Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quant Strategy at Bank of America, brings us into PPI and discusses the outlook for inflation and equities in the US amid a growing China trade war. The inflation slowdown reflected is yesterday's CPI showed a decline in energy costs, used vehicles, hotel stays, and airfares, with the cost of motor vehicle insurance also retreating. Some experts still warn that higher inflation may be coming due to tariffs, with the impact expected to be felt in the May CPI report.
4) Jennifer Lee, Senior Economist at BMO Capital Markets, joins to discuss why the Fed's breathing easier today, but why the market volatility isn't over yet. US-China trade tensions escalated, causing a slide in futures, the dollar, and oil, with investors rushing to assess the impact on companies and growth.
5) Erica Groshen, former Commissioner of the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics, on disruption in federal statistics, modernizing federal statistics, and preserving data integrity. A Labor Department report released in December showed the US Bureau of Labor Statistics needs to revamp its culture and improve how it disseminates key economic data.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Ian Lyngen & Anna Wong.

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- Russ Koesterich, Portfolio Manager at BlackRock
- Dr. Amrita Sen, founder and Director of Research at Energy Aspects
- Erika Najarian, Equity Research Analyst at UBS
- Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo

Russ Koesterich, Portfolio Manager at BlackRock, discusses the equity rebound following President Trump's tariff reversal and whether the market could continue its climb from here. Dr. Amrita Sen, founder and Director of Research at Energy Aspects, discusses the outlook for crude oil and energy prices as market concerns due to a US-China trade war persist. Erika Najarian with UBS previews big bank earnings and talks about the health of the financial sector. Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo, talks about the US economic outlook following extreme market gyrations from President Trump's tariff reversal.

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 10th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Patrick Armstrong, CIO at Plurimi Wealth, Tiffany Wilding, Economist: North America at PIMCO, and Greg Boutle, Head of US Equity & Derivative Strategy at BNP Paribas, react to CPI and discuss the outlook for bonds and equities following President Trump's tariff reversal. Strategists have warned investors against buying the dip in equities due to the risks ahead, with some advising caution amid extreme market volatility.
2) Ian Lyngen, Head of US Rates at BMO Capital Markets, joins to discuss signals from the bond market before and after President Trump's tariff reversal and the outlook for US rates amid the current US economic backdrop. Trump's tariff reversal decision was driven in part by the chaos in financial markets, as well as outreach from other countries making concessions, and he is now considering exemptions for companies facing severe consequences from tariffs.
3) Nancy Tengler, CEO & CIO at Laffer Tengler Investments, talks "amateur hour" at The White House and why markets need a better policy rollout to sustain a rally after Trump's tariff pause. After a frenetic meeting with economic aides, President Trump implemented a three-month pause on expanded tariffs on dozens of countries, excluding China, and raised tariffs on the world's second-largest economy. It comes after the president promised that his policies would "never" change.s
4) Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Macro Strategy at Mizuho, on the bond market signals to President Trump and market risks from here. The dollar weakened to begin Thursday as concern reemerges about potential longer-term damage to the global economy from conflict over trade.
5) Kona Haque, Head of Commodities Research at ED&F Man, on the commodity turnaround on Trump's tariff reversal and how softs will fare as trade deals are renegotiate. It comes as the flow of oil from the world’s biggest producer to its largest importer is set to thin to virtually zero as a trade war between the two powerhouse economies escalates.

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