Bloomberg Surveillance

Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Chief Economist, says the last mile to get us back to 2% inflation on a sustained basis is tough. David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, still sees inflation coming down. Elliot Ackerman, Former White House Fellow, US Marine Corps Veteran & Co-Author of 2034: A Novel of the Next World War, discusses the Israel-Hamas war. Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management CEO, sees some sort of yield curve control being brought into the US. Sheila Kahyaoglu, Jefferies Senior Equity Research Analyst, discusses Delta earnings.
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Daleep Singh, PGIM Fixed Income Chief Global Economist, says there's been a flight to quality as markets wade through the "fog of war." Julie Norman, UCL Centre On US Politics Co-director, says Israel faces a challenging path forward as they respond to the attacks by Hamas. Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management Chief Economist, says the Fed is succeeding with their tightening and that the economy is moving towards a faster slowdown. Savita Subramanian, BofA Global Research Head of US Equity & Quantitative Strategy, says markets can rip from here and sees a 4,600 S&P by year-end. Alix Steel, Bloomberg News and Julian Lee, Bloomberg News, discuss Exxon to buy Pioneer for $60B.
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John Kirby, National Security Council Coordinator for Strategic Communications, says there's no policy decision on re-freezing Iranian money. Tzipi Hotovely, Ambassador of Israel to the United Kingdom, says "Israelis are united now... I'm sure that a unity government will happen and it will be the reality." Stuart Kaiser, Citi Head of US Equity Trading Strategy, says banks have been a particularly tricky sector. Steven Cook, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow for the Middle East and Africa studies, says "Iran is playing the role of the agent of chaos in the region." Rep. French Hill (R) Arkansas, sees the speaker chaos in Washington potentially threatening future aid and support to Israel.
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Ron Dermer, Israel Minister of Strategic Affairs, says Israel has a clear goal to cripple the capabilities of Hamas. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow & Author of "Saudi Inc.", discusses oil surging after Hamas' attack on Israel. Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, says if you start to see any terrorist activity in non-Middle Eastern countries, that is something that could shake confidence in the world. Norman Roule, Center for Strategic & International Studies Senior Adviser for the Transnational Threats Project, says Iran was unlikely to have played a "robust, active role in planning attacks" on Israel but they do enable proxies
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Julie Su, United States Acting Secretary of Labor, discusses US payrolls growth blowing past estimates. Randy Kroszner, University of Chicago Booth School Professor of Economics & Former Fed Governor, says it's possible that we could have a Goldilocks scenario with a strong labor market and not-too-high wage growth. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says this is a much stronger labor market. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Co-Founder and Head of Research, maintains her call of $100 oil by Halloween despite the recent price slump in oil.
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Kelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says the economy is not going to be able to handle these rates, but the Fed will be the last to admit that. Sarah Hunt, Alpine Saxon Woods Chief Market Strategist, says there's room for fixed income in portfolios. Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, sees concern as people question the trajectory of treasuries. Kevin Tynan, Bloomberg Intelligence, discusses the latest in the EV market, as well as UAW strikes. Rep. Bill Huizenga, (R) Michigan, expects "real trouble" if bond rates continue to go up, as the US govt faces a potential shutdown on November 17th.
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Rep. French Hill, (R) Arkansas, says GOP principals remain intact but the party has lost their way tactically as Kevin McCarthy was ousted as House Speaker. Gene Tannuzzo, Columbia Threadneedle Global Head of Fixed Income, says we have seen a steepening that should give investors pause. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief US Economist, says the fact that 10-year yields are higher is probably consistent with what the Fed is trying to achieve. Chris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott Director of Research, doesn't expect any big bank failures to happen this year. Jennifer Flitton, Invesco Head of US Government Affairs, says a US government shutdown on November 17th is possible.
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Chris Harvey, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Equity Strategy, discusses Wells Fargo's call for 4420 on the S&P 500 year-end. Robert Tipp, PGIM Fixed Income Chief Investment Strategist, says 5% or 6% on the 10-year could be possible. Sheila Kahyaoglu, Jefferies Senior Equity Research Analyst, says United airlines could save $80M a year if the average passenger weight falls by 10 pounds. Dana Peterson, The Conference Board Chief Economist, says the consumer will face a number of hurdles. Gov. Ned Lamont, (D) Connecticut, says Connecticut is not currently facing a migrant crisis but he's watching the situation carefully.
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 Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, says she saw concern, not fear, in markets as the US faced a potential government shutdown. Jordan Rochester, Nomura G-10 FX Strategist, says EUR-USD towards parity is possible. Mike Darda, Roth MKM Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, says yield trades can be unwound over the course of the year if we see softer data. Rep. French Hill (R) Arkansas, discusses congress averting a US government shutdown.
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Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist, says it's time to buy equities. Veronica Clark, Citi Economist, discusses US economic data including Personal Income and Spending. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, says the BOJ is trying to straddle a fine line. Patrick Anderson, Anderson Economic Group Founder & CEO, discusses the UAW strikes and says says there's no base case for success in the terms of the electric vehicle transition.
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