Bloomberg Surveillance

Betsy Duke, Former Wells Fargo Chair & Former Fed Governor, says the Fed has to be careful not to signal any movement toward this rate cut that this market is expecting. Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist and Head of Global Economic Research, says the case for the Fed to ease "is not that strong." David Chiaverini, Wedbush Securities Equity Research Director, says he could see the Fed pivoting away from their inflation focus and cutting rates if a "domino effect" occurs in the banking crisis. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Co-Founder & Head of Research, says we're seeing fear of uncertainty reflected in oil prices. John Lawler, Ford CFO, says EV demand is strong but sees more competition and pricing pressure with its electric crossover models. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance 

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Anna Han, Wells Fargo Securities Equity Strategist, says earnings contraction is already occurring. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Bank Equity Strategy & Large Cap Bank Analyst, discusses JPMorgan's acquisition of First Republic. Thierry Wizman, Macquarie Global Interest Rates and Currencies Strategist, says the debt ceiling might "come down to the wire." Mike Krack, Aston Martin F1 Team Principal, discusses the team's strong start to the 2023 season and the Miami Grand Prix coming up this weekend. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Economic Policy Research Director, discusses Biden's debt limit meeting. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance 

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Chris Marinac of Janney Montgomery Scott says First Republic Bank was caught in the 'friendly fire' from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. Kathy Jones, Chief Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab says "it's hard to divorce the Fed's actions from what's happening in the banking sector". Mayra Rodriguez Valladares, Managing Principal at MRV Associates, does not agree with JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon's assessment that we're 'getting near the end of it' on bank failures. Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, says "it's remarkable the resilience we've seen" in the banking sector. Joe LaVorgna, Chief Economist at SMBC Group, says "it was Fed policy itself that caused this crisis." Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance 

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Seema Shah, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Asset Management says "stagflation by far is the worst case scenario." Phil Orlando, Chief Equity Market Strategist at Federated Hermes says they're "expecting negative GDP prints in the third and fourth quarter of this year." Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President reveals why, just this week, he moved back into a net short position, drawing witty parallels between the market and the New York Yankees. Bob Sulentic, President & CEO of CBRE says there will be some antiquated office buildings that can't be converted to residential. Jurrien Timmer, Global Macro Director at Fidelity Investments discusses next week's Fed rate decision and the ongoing battle with inflation. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance 

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Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says the US is losing momentum, but is still resilient following the latest GDP print. Michael Nathanson, SVB MoffettNathanson Senior Research Analyst, says Meta is a $300 stock. Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Senior Portfolio Manager, expects the market will end the year higher than 4,200. Bob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments CIO, says a slowdown is still upon us. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Bank Equity Strategy & Large Cap Bank Analyst, says the "monetary policy to stimulate the economy right now obviously is not there because [the Fed] has to fight inflation."

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Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist & Strategist, says "basically every traditional leading indicator of recession is flashing red." Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says we're in a slow bleed into recession. Christopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott Director of Research, says First Republic needs "a solution and they need one very quickly." Rep. French Hill, (R) Arkansas, discusses McCarthy's debt limit bill. Timothy Horan, Oppenheimer Senior Analyst, discusses Microsoft earnings and says the company is taking the lead on AI. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance 

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Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Economic Policy Research Director, discusses President Joe Biden's 2024 reelection bid. Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Long Short Fund and Large Cap Growth Fund Senior Portfolio Manager, says Microsoft, Google, Amazon and Meta are all well positioned to win when it comes to AI. Christopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott Director of Research, discusses First Republic earnings. Rishi Jaluria, RBC Capital Markets Software Equity Analyst, previews Microsoft earnings. Paul Jacobson, General Motors CFO, says GM won't resort to layoffs to cut costs. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance 

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Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO and MarketReader Founder & CEO says the combination of "too high inflation and growth that's actually getting better means it's very, very hard for the ECB to relax." Margie Patel, Allspring Global Investments Sr. Portfolio Manager, still likes the tech sector. Dana Peterson, The Conference Board Chief Economist, expects between 1.5-2% growth on the month in the US. Richard Greenfield, Lightshed Partners Media and Technology Analyst and Partner, discusses upcoming tech earnings. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance 

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Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Rates Strategy, says we don't know the Fed's pain threshold and the market is going to grapple with that for the rest of the year. Daniel Ives, Wedbush Senior Equity Analyst, discusses Tesla and upcoming big tech earnings. Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research Head of US Economic Research, says a "cliff dive moment" in the second quarter is not happening. Mayra Rodriguez Valladares, MRV Associates Managing Principal, says the regional banks are preparing "at worst, for the beginning of a recession or at best, for a softening of the economy." Daniel Tannebaum, Oliver Wyman Global Anti-Financial Crime Practice Leader & Atlantic Council Senior Fellow, discuss Biden's plans to limit investment in China. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance 

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Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley Global Chief Economist, doesn't expect the Fed to cut to zero "even if we did get a mild recession." Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist, sees banking pressures lingering for longer as they undergo an "unwind" process from fiscal and monetary expansion. Christopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott Director of Research, discusses regional bank earnings. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, says some investors see the political risk of investing in China increasing. Jonathan Gray, Blackstone President & COO, discusses the firm's first-quarter performance. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance 

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