Bloomberg Surveillance

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester says Fed officials will need to raise interest rates "a little bit higher" and then hold them there for some time to bring inflation back toward their goal. Claudia Sahm, Former Federal Reserve Economist & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says the Fed's tools could cause a lot of pain. Gargi Chaudhuri, BlackRock Head of iShares Investment Strategy Americas calls this a "generational opportunity" for high quality income from fixed income. Michael Zeldin, Former Federal Prosecutor, discusses Donald Trump's legal troubles.

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Gregory Peters, PGIM Fixed Income Co-CIO, says central banks have to be viewed as inflation fighters in order to get rates lower over time. Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research Head of US Economic Research, says the US economy is not collapsing. Barbara Reinhard, Voya Investment Management Head of Asset Allocation, says the Fed is likely first to pause and cut. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President & "The Bill of Obligations: The Ten Habits of Good Citizens" Author, discusses Finland joining NATO and the indictment of former US President Donald Trump. Stephen Pagliuca, Bain Capital Senior Advisor, discusses Bloomberg's 'Brackets for a Cause' as well as the private credit market following SVB's collapse. 

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James Bullard, St. Louis Fed President, says OPEC's decision to cut output came as a "surprise," but it's not clear what higher oil prices will mean for US monetary policy. John Ryding, Brean Capital Chief Economic Advisor, says the response to the bank turmoil has been swift and strong. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, still expects 4,100 on the S&P 500 by year-end. Ed Morse, Citi Research Global Head of Commodities, sees a "scenario" for $100 oil but says we're not "anywhere near there yet." 

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Susan Collins, Boston Fed President, says history shows the Fed must stay the course on inflation. Michael Zeldin, Former Federal Prosecutor & American University Washington College of Law Adjunct Professor, discusses former President Donald Trump's indictment. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research Founder & President, says the Fed "is not thinking pause right now" unless there is a significant slowdown in credit. Matthew Luzzetti, Deutsche Bank Chief US Economist, says inflation is still too high for the Fed's liking. Daniel Ives, Wedbush Senior Equity Analyst, says there is another 10-15% upside in tech.

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Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief US Economist, says we could see a Fed funds rate as high as 5.75%. Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says the Nasdaq rally has been overdone. Mayra Rodriguez Valladares, MRV Associates Managing Principal, discusses the US bank hearings. Stephen Pagliuca, Bain Capital Senior Advisor & Boston Celtics Co-Owner, says there's still plenty of opportunities in tech. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, details his view on the banking crisis and also why he moved into a market neutral position, this morning. 

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Tom Michaud, KBW CEO, says the banking crisis is behind us, "barring any other major shocks." Ed Al-Hussainy, Columbia Threadneedle Investments Senior Interest Rates Strategist, says the Fed will prioritize inflation. Geoffrey Yu, BNY Mellon Senior Market Strategist, says central banks will keep rates higher for longer. Wendy Schiller, Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy Director at Brown University, discusses the hearings on the collapse of SVB and Signature Bank. David Rubenstein, "The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations" Host and Carlyle Group Co-Chairman & Co-Founder, says the banking system is in "reasonably good shape."  

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Brad Rogoff, Barclays Head of FICC Research, says Fed rate cuts can come in 2024, but expects one more hike this summer. Katrina Dudley, Franklin Mutual Series Portfolio Manager, is not in the camp of Fed rate cuts this year. Christopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott Director of Research, says we are "on the road to recovery" from the banking turmoil. Victoria Fernandez, Crossmark Global Chief Market Strategist, doesn't expect rates to continue to fall. Stephen Engle, Bloomberg News, discusses Alibaba's plans to split its $220 billion empire into six units. 

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Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief US Equity Strategist & CIO, says risk for the equity market is elevated now more than it's been for the last six or twelve months. Lisa Hornby, Schroders Head of US Multi-Sector Fixed Income, doesn't think banks are out of the woods yet. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Bank Equity Strategy and Large Cap Bank Analyst, says banks are moving in the right direction. Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management Chief Economist, says this banking crisis is not like a normal banking crisis. Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President, says we need a new trade policy in the US. 

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 Dana Peterson, The Conference Board Chief Economist, doesn't anticipate the Fed cutting rates this year, even if there is a mild recession. Patrick Armstrong, Plurimi Wealth Chief Investment Officer, says the US is set to fall into a technical recession. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Research, discusses a potential TikTok ban. Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-Chief Investment Officer, says the market isn't "sleepwalking" through the recent banking turmoil.  

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Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist & Strategist, says the markets may need to price in more cuts from the Fed. Alessio de Longis, Invesco Senior Portfolio Manager and Head of GTAA Solutions, says the Fed is looking at "marginal increases" going forward, whereas the ECB, BOE "have more to go." John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist, says the Fed's credibility is still on the line. Sen. Mark Warner, (D) Virginia, previews the TikTok hearing by the House of Representatives' Energy and Commerce Committee. 

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