Bloomberg Surveillance

Roger Bootle, Capital Economics Founder & Chairman, says the U.K.'s Conservative Party has been inching toward the center of the political spectrum. Camilla Cavendish, Former Head of Policy for U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron, says the Tories are aspiring to be the voice of the working class. Lale Topcuoglu, JOHCM Senior Fund Manager, says Chairman Powell has been very clear he does not see us at QE. Wendy J. Schiller, Brown University Chair of Political Science, discusses the history of impeachment in the House and Senate. And David Blanchflower, Author & Dartmouth Professor of Economics, says employment rates are still below where they were a decade ago.

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Seema Shah, Principal Global Investors Chief Strategist, expects equities to rise next year, giving "vertigo" discomfort to investors. Jonathan Fenby, TS Lombard European Politics Managing Director & China Chairman, says the silence between the U.S. and China shows negotiations are very serious. Jean-Claude Trichet, Former President of the European Central Bank, says the positive effects of negative interest rates outweigh the negative. David Kostin, Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says economic activity in the United States is still strong. Matt Winkler, Bloomberg Editor-In-Chief Emeritus, discusses his latest Bloomberg Opinion piece. And Emily Wilkins, Bloomberg Government Congressional Reporter, wraps the impeachment news of day.

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Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments Head of Macro Strategies, says many global positive-yielding bonds could be zombies. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, sees an uptick in inflation expectations for 2020. Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs International Global Head of Commodities Research, says the U.S.-China trade war is exacerbating structural issues in the oil market, not causing them. And Constance Hunter, KPMG Chief Economist and NABE President, thinks the chances for a phase one trade deal are slim.

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In this Surveillance Special, Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney remember the life and legacy of Paul Volcker, Former Chair of the Federal Reserve. We hear from Bloomberg's Bob Moon, Former SEC Chair Arthur Levitt, Bloomberg's Michael McKee, Grant Thornton's Diane Swonk and RDQ Economics' John Ryding.

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Julia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives President and Founder, says Europe does not have an engine of growth. Jim Glassman, JPMorgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, and Michael Collins, PGIM Fixed Income Senior Portfolio Manager, react to the massive jobs report surprise. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO U.S. Economist, says the United States economy and job creation is accelerating. And Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says the U.S. cannot permit unfair trading practices from our allies or non-allies.

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Roger Diwan, IHS Markit Vice President of Financial Services, says it is not clear how much ability other OPEC countries will have to follow Saudi Arabia's oil supply cuts. Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School Finance Professor, discusses the fundamental difference between climate change and climate risk for banking. Anat Admati, Stanford Finance Professor, says problems plaguing democracy and capitalism are rooted between corporations and governments. And Ted Alden, CFR Senior Fellow, says we have gone "far down" a unilateral trade road with this administration.

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Savita Subramanian, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of U.S. Equity & Quantitative Strategy, thinks cyclicals could see a strong rally on a skinny trade deal. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Head of U.S. & Americas Programme, says the vast majority of Americans still want to be in NATO. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, thinks U.K.-EU trade talks could bring back a no-deal Brexit risk next year. James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says he is concerned about Turkey’s direction and their willingness to partner so closely with Russia in Syria. And Brian Wieser, Group M Global President of Business Intelligence, discusses the changing nature of ad breaks.

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Troy Gayeski, SkyBridge Capital Co-Chief Investment Officer, thinks the U.S. dollar has finally topped out. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, believes the pressure on the administration not to impose tariffs is stronger than it has ever been. Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter Editor and Publisher, shares memories of his iconic newsletter ahead of its planned last edition on Dec. 31. Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, thinks mid-single digit returns may be the best-case scenario for 2020.

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Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Founder & Chief Economist, doesn't see an end to the industrial recession as long as inventories are rising. Oliver Chen, Cowen Senior Equity Research Analyst, details research which suggests a niche area of apparel is growing double digits, despite weakness in the broad sector. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says consumers are showing signs of weakness just as businesses are finally showing signs of life. Bill Smead, Smead Capital Chief Investment Officer & Founder, expects millennials to double their use of gasoline in the next 10 years. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg Finance Reporter, previews what's in store in the next decade for Goldman Sachs.

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John Authers, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says populist politicians have played their hands poorly in 2019. Joseph Abboud, Clothing Designer & Tailored Brands Creative Director, says Black Friday matters more for accessories and sportswear than custom suits. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO & Chief Research Officer, teases the item poised to become the “fashion must-have” of the 2019 holiday season! And Elaine Sciolino, Former NYT Correspondent & Author of “The Seine," details the famous river.

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