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Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management Chairman, Portfolio Manager & CEO, thinks the deep market pessimism of the summer is returning to normal. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Chief Strategist, says cyclical sectors are beginning to show signs of life even as data remains somewhat soft. Terry Haines, Pangaea Policy Advisory Founder, says the U.S. is ultimately pursuing for an "enforceable" deal with China. Karen Leigh, Bloomberg Greater China Government Editor, reports retail and travel have taken a hit in recent months in Hong Kong. And Chris Rupkey, Chief Financial Economist at MUFG Union Bank, says it sounds like President Trump is still taking a hard line on trade with China.
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Diana Amoa, JPMorgan Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says a lot of the concerns about global growth that were weighing on sentiment have been priced out of the market. Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Group Chief Economist, says we are in a new era of structurally weaker growth in emerging and developed markets. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says America's energy boom has boosted U.S. immunity to the trade war with China. And Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence U.S. Media Analyst, says Disney+ is the linchpin for Disney's direct-to-consumer strategy.
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George Bory, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Fixed Income Research, says the current, positively-sloped U.S. yield curve is a good indicator for future economic growth. Yvonne Man, Bloomberg Daybreak Asia Anchor, says riot police are still in the streets in Hong Kong. Saira Malik, Nuveen Global Equities CIO, says China's economy will rebound if trade talks continue to make progress. Stephen Schork, Schork Group President, sees global oil demand peaking well before 2035. And Lakshman Achuthan, ECRI Co-Founder, says disruptive tech innovations can change the contour of the business cycle.
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Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Securities Chief Economist, says that the bulk of the damage done to the U.S. economy is due to uncertainty from trade rather than tariffs themselves. Miranda Carr, Haitong International Senior Macro Strategist, says the trade war is hurting, but not destroying China’s economy. Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence Media Analyst, says Disney is firing on all cylinders with a 'streaming first' mentality. Raphael Bostic, Atlanta Federal Reserve President & CEO, says the Fed is 'slightly accommodative.'
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Guy Johnson, Bloomberg Markets European Close Anchor, recaps the Bank of England's decision to leave rates unchanged. Max Kettner, HSBC Multi Asset Strategist, says if yields continue to spike, financial conditions will tighten. Bipan Rai, CIBC Capital Markets Senior Macro Strategist, says the trade risk between the U.S. & the EU is currently underappreciated by markets. Shira Ovide, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says Uber would benefit if it disclosed cash-in and cash-out figures. And Max Chafkin, Bloomberg Businessweek Columnist, discusses Sheryl Sandberg's comments on Facebook's anti-trust issues.
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Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, thinks it would take significant deterioration for the Fed to make additional cuts next year. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy CEO & Founder, thinks that SoftBank's Masayoshi Son has positively contributed to the idea that digital technology can transform global economies. Geoff Yu, UBS Wealth Management Head of U.K. Investment Office, says the U.K. still has a long way to go before establishing its long-term relationship with the EU. And Esther Law, Amundi Asset Management Emerging Markets Debt Senior Investment Manager, says monetary policy on a global level has made EM look very attractive.
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Charles Evans, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President & CEO, sits down with Tom Keene at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York. They discuss inflation expectations, negative rates, and where the Fed is headed.
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Brian Weinstein, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Head of Global Fixed Income, says that the promise of lower yields is driving people into equity markets. Phoenix Kalen, Societe Generale Director of EM Strategy, says China's slowdown has intricately impacted regions like Germany, exposing manufacturing troubles. Joseph Ricketts, TD Ameritrade Founder and Author of "The Harder You Work the Luckier You Get," says if the U.S. does not retain a free enterprise system, the country will be negatively impacted. And Lale Topcuoglu, JOHCM USA Senior Fund Manager, says there are sectors of the credit market that are greatly mispriced.
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Mike Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, thinks the U.S. economic outlook has reached a "soft landing" point, as the consumer continues to carry the economy. Seema Shah, Principal Global Advisors Chief Strategist, says emerging markets are starting to look very attractive. Sara Senatore, Sanford Bernstein Senior Research Analyst, says McDonald's is still in a pretty good place despite firing their CEO. And Bloomberg's David Westin shares a clip of his interview with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.
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Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, expects to see business investment improve before the consumer cracks. Jeffrey Rosenberg, BlackRock Financial Senior Portfolio Manager, says a stronger than expected jobs report eases concerns of manufacturing uncertainty. Richard Clarida, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman, says the economy is in the trend of range growth. And Lawrence Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says phase one trade talks are not complete but are going well.
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