Bloomberg Surveillance

Frances Donald, Manulife Asset Management Head of Macroeconomic Strategy, says we have not experienced a period of such heightened trade tensions since the 1930s. Barry Eichengreen, University of California Berkeley Economics Professor, says if there is to be progress on trade with China, it will have to be incremental. Shannon Cross, Cross Research Co-Founder, says the entire tech-hardware industry is moving toward service models, centered around recurring payments from consumers. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, says U.S. voters are still concerned about the economy but less so than during the recession. And Demian Flowers, Commerzbank Automotive Analyst, says in order to profit from autos, overall manufacturing costs must go down.

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Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist and Portfolio Manager, says a hawkish cut is a mistake in this environment. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy CEO & Founder, says Apple is an astonishingly resilient company. Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief U.S. Rates Strategist, says the Fed can sound more dovish than the market expects. And Therese Raphael, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says at the moment, this is Boris Johnson's election to lose.

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Russ Koesterich, BlackRock Global Allocation Fund Portfolio Manager, says as long as the consumer continues to grow at its current pace, we can be "reasonably confident" we're not on the cusp of a recession. Peter Dixon, Commerzbank Global Equities Economist, says the European economy looks very sluggish compared to the United States. Matthew Luzzetti, Deutsche Bank Chief U.S. Economist, explains why Jerome Powell will orchestrate a hawkish cut tomorrow. Cheryl Miller, AutoNation CEO, says the majority of vehicles are purchased on credit and she feels good about the consumer. And Jennifer Bartashus, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst, says Beyond Meat is more like a technology company than a food one.

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Michael Purves, Tallbacken Capital Advisors CEO, thinks that earnings season so far has been an important affirmation of what the bulls would like to see. Axel Christensen, BlackRock Chief Investment Strategist For Latin America, says Chile's President-elect Alberto Fernandez will have to negotiate deep structural changes in Argentina. Stephanie Kelly, Aberdeen Standard Senior Political Economist, says U.K. growth has been very weak relative to its potential. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says that heading into third quarter earnings, investors were very bearish. And Sameer Samana, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Senior Global Market Strategist, says macro events like trade uncertainty and Brexit affect levels of volatility, but the market is primarily driven by the Fed.

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Brian Levitt, Invesco Global Market Strategist, thinks the market is looking for the next catalyst to push higher. James Athey, Aberdeen Standard Investments Senior Investment Manager, says the Brexit "purgatory" is suiting no one. Brett Bruen, Global Situation Room Director and Former Global Engagement Director in the Obama White House, says President Trump's decision to pull out of the Iran Nuclear Deal makes a deal with North Korea much less likely. Nela Richardson, Edward Jones Investment Strategist, says earnings growth will continue to slow but still sees "bright lights" when it comes to the consumer.

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Kate Moore, BlackRock Global Allocation Investment Team Head of Thematic Strategy, explains why we haven't seen the worst of it, despite some signs of life in third-quarter earnings. Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, discusses Mario Draghi's legacy at the European Central Bank and the impact of a Lagarde presidency on the euro. Francesco Papadia, Former ECB Director General of Market Operations, explains why he thinks bank loans are the new asset the ECB is most likely to buy. Gertrude Tumpel-Gugerell, Former ECB Executive Board Member, says that the negative effects of low interest rates are visible in the economy.

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Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Editor, says Trump would like to unwind U.S. commitments in the Middle East. Catherine Barnard, The U.K. in a Changing Europe Senior Fellow, says, "the ball is currently in the EU's court" after Boris Johnson begrudgingly has asked for an extension on Brexit. Wei Li, BlackRock Head of iShares EMEA Investment Strategy, says the low rate environment is contagious. Scott Galloway, NYU Stern Professor, thinks that Softbank's $9.5B WeWork rescue will go down as the costliest exercise in saving face in the history of the private markets. And Michael Nathanson, Moffettnathanson Senior Research Analyst, says we are heading towards a "race to the bottom" in a pivotal time for the media industry.

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Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says about 80% of companies are beating expectations this Q3. Daniel Katzive, BNP Head of FX Strategy North America, says the immediate risk of a no-deal Brexit has been removed. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg News, says WeWork is gravitating towards SoftBank with the hopes it will be "more patient." Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says the trade war has taken a toll on manufacturing activity. And Sara Senatore, Sanford C Bernstein Consumer Analyst, says McDonald's is doing well in developed economies.

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Edward Evans, Bloomberg Opinion Managing Editor, thinks that we are in for intense Parliamentary warfare over the next few days. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy, thinks that Boris Johnson is within touching distance of getting the majority that he needs. Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Long Short Fund Senior Portfolio Manager, says there's no lack of worries in the global stock market. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, says the manufacturing sector is weak. And Frank Bennack, Hearst Executive Vice Chairman & “Leave Something on the Table” Author, says distribution is "King Kong."

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Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says anybody who is betting on the breakup of the euro is making a bad bet. Jacob Frenkel, JPMorgan Chase International Chairman, says monetary policy has been the only game in town and we are paying the price for it now. Mij Rahman, Eurasia Group Managing Director of Europe, says a hard Brexit remains a risk. Torsten Slok, Deutsche Bank Securities Chief Economist, says the trade war between the U.S. and China appears to be escalating rather than diminishing. And John Hudak, Brookings Senior Fellow in Governance Studies, underlines the parallels between the current impeachment inquiry and Richard Nixon's in 1974.

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