The Knowledge Project with Shane Parrish

Daniel Kahneman: Algorithms Make Better Decisions Than You


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Daniel Kahneman won the Nobel Prize for proving we're not as rational as we think. In this timeless conversation we discuss how to think clearly in a world full of noise, the invisible forces that cloud our judgement, and why more information doesn't equal better thinking. Kahneman also reveals the mental model he discovered at 22 that still guides elite teams today. 

Approximate timestamps: 

(00:36) – Episode Introduction  

(05:37) – Daniel Kahneman on Childhood and Early Psychology  

(12:44) – Influences and Career Path  

(15:32) – Working with Amos Tversky  

(17:20) – Happiness vs. Life Satisfaction  

(21:04) – Changing Behavior: Myths and Realities  

(24:38) – Psychological Forces Behind Behavior  

(28:02) – Understanding Motivation and Situational Forces  

(30:45) – Situational Awareness and Clear Thinking  

(34:11) – Intuition, Judgment, and Algorithms  

(39:33) – Improving Decision-Making with Structured Processes  

(43:26) – Organizational Thinking and Dissent  

(46:00) – Judgment Quality and Biases  

(50:12) – Teaching Negotiation Through Understanding  

(52:14) – Procedures That Elevate Group Thinking  

(55:30) – Recording and Reviewing Decisions  

(57:58) – The Concept of Noise in Decision-Making  

(01:01:14) – Reducing Noise and Improving Accuracy  

(01:04:09) – Replication Crisis and Changing Beliefs  

(01:08:21) – Why Psychologists Overestimate Their Hypotheses  

(01:12:20) – Closing Thoughts and Gratitude

Thanks to MINT MOBILE for sponsoring this episode: Get this new customer offer and your 3-month Unlimited wireless plan for just 15 bucks a month at MINTMOBILE.com/KNOWLEDGEPROJECT.

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Photograph: Richard Saker/The Guardian

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The Knowledge Project with Shane ParrishBy Shane Parrish

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