The KE Report

Dave Erfle - Gold’s Parabolic Move, Copper’s Quiet Breakout, and Portfolio Positioning


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Dave Erfle, Editor of the Junior Miner Junky joins me to break down the broad rally in precious metals and copper, with gold now holding above $3,000, silver over $34, and copper quietly pushing above $5.20/lb. We highlight gold’s parabolic breakout, noting it has risen in 14 of the last 18 months, and warns that technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest the market is getting long in the tooth - even as momentum remains strong.

 

We discuss the potential for a healthy consolidation versus a blow-off move, driven by catalysts like Friday’s PCE inflation data or next week’s tariff decisions. Dave also outlines how AI and Bitcoin are fading as capital rotates into the gold sector, with miners outperforming the metal and quality juniors beginning to break out.

 

On copper, Dave links the recent price spike to tariff-related demand and highlights Arizona Sonoran as a standout name. While cautious about chasing, he’s adding selective copper exposure.

 

Dave explains he’s still in “be right, sit tight” mode but monitoring key levels like $43 on GDX and $55 on Newmont for signs of broader institutional interest. He’s also evaluating positions where share structures have weakened, preparing to shift into under-the-radar names with better upside potential.

 

Click here to visit the Junior Miner Junky website to learn more about Dave’s investment letter. 

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