Defense & Aerospace Report

Richard Aboulafia and Dr. Kevin Michaels of the AeroDynamic Advisory consultancy join Defense & Aerospace Report Editor Vago Muradian to discuss the economic impacts of the Iran war and their new book on the history of business aviation, “Time Machines: Business Aviation’s Dynamic Journey.”:

Dr. “Rocket” Ron Epstein of Bank of America Securities joins Defense & Aerospace Report Editor Vago Muradian on the sidelines of the commercial edition of Joanna Speed’s Aerospace Event in Los Angeles to discuss the market impacts of the US-Israel war on Iran, the limits of surging production of complex weapons, role of new entrants to deliver capability more quickly like the Low-Cost ‌Uncrewed Combat Attack Syste by Arizona startup SpektreWorks, and outlook for defense spending including the resumption of supplemental funding to cover the growing costs of operations worldwide over the past year; and John Cofrancesco of American AI Logistics discusses the Trump administration’s decision to blacklist Anthropic, the implications for industry, and how to craft an AI strategy to delivers breakthrough capabilities in line with the nation’s values.

On today’s Look Ahead program, sponsored by HII, Byron Callan of the independent Washington research firm Capital Alpha Partners and former Pentagon comptroller Dr. Dov Zakheim of the Center for Strategic and International Studies join Defense & Aerospace Report Editor Vago Muradian to discuss US-Israel military operations against Iran, Tehran’s attacks on nations across the region, and possible scenarios as Washington says operations will continue for weeks even as America’s allies recommend off ramps; impact of a protracted campaign on depleting US attack and defensive weaponry as well as wear and tear on aging equipment and personnel exhausted after back-to-back military operations over the past; what regime change in Tehran would mean for regional security and defense investment given Iran’s role as regional provocateur; key themes from L3Harris Technology’s investor day; takeaways from the International Institute for Strategic Studies’ latest Military Balance; and a look ahead to the big events of the coming in Washington and beyond.

On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Business Roundtable, sponsored by Bell, Dr. “Rocket” Ron Epstein of Bank of America Securities, Sash Tusa of the independent equity research firm Agency Partners and Richard Aboulafia of the AeroDynamic advisory consultancy join host Vago Muradian to discuss Wall Street’s worst day of 2026 on AI worries and lower than expected new US jobs creation; Israel and the United States attack Iran, killing the country’s top leaders as Tehran retaliates against Israel, Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE; worries that a prolonged conflict will take a toll on already depleted US weapons stocks, aging weapons and personnel; the conflict sends energy prices soaring; the Trump administration’s blacklisting of Anthropic from doing business with the US government and threat to seize its technology after the company expresses concerns over the use of it’s Claude model for autonomous weapons and mass surveillance as OpenAI strikes a deal with the Pentagon; the spat between Britain’s Treasury and Defense Ministries spills into the open as UK firms work to position themselves for growth; Ukraine’s desire to help produce the Patriot missiles it depends on to counter Russian attacks; BWXT, Heico, Hensoldt, Leonardo, MTU, and Rolls-Royce earnings as L3Harris holds its investor day; takeaways from the Air and Space Forces Association’s Warfare Symposium last week in Denver including plan to accelerate production of Northrop Grumman’s B-21 bomber; updates on the Collaborative Combat Aircraft programs including engines to power a new generation of unmanned aircraft; the White House’s decision to back the US Navy’s FA-XX to develop a next generation carrier aircraft; and what to expect at commercial edition of Joanna Speed’s Aerospace Event next week at the Beverly Wilshire in LA.

On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Washington Roundtable, Dr. Patrick Cronin of the Hudson Institute think tank, Michael Herson of American Defense International, former DoD Europe chief Jim Townsend of the Center for a New American Security, and Pentagon comptroller Dr. Dov Zakheim of the Center for Strategic and International Studies join Defense & Aerospace Report Editor Vago Muradian to discuss President Trump’s new tariffs after the Supreme Court’s ruling last week and Republican efforts to adopt new tariff legislation; takeaways from the president’s longest ever state of the union address; efforts to restore full Department of Homeland Security funding and update on Reconciliation 2.0; whether the president will get the $1.5 trillion defense budget he wants for 2027 as consensus settles on a more modest boost of around $1.1 trillion to $1.2 trillion; US-Iran talks continue in Geneva as Washington masses more forces in the region and prepares to evacuate US personnel from Israel to press Tehran into a nuclear deal; tensions between the president and military leadership as Trump says his chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. Dan Caine, thinks a war with Iran would be easy as news reports indicate military leaders are concerned about the impact of a protracted and unpredictable conflict on weapons stocks, equipment and personnel; Ukraine’s allies shape another 106 billion euro aid package that Hungary has threatened to derail; as former US Army Europe chief retired Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges tells reporters his train was attacked, one of five suspected Russian attacks on Europe that day; the Pentagon’s threat to seize Anthropic’s Claude AI model and blacklist the company unless it allows its technology to be used for autonomous weapons and mass surveillance; after two months as Joint Staff Director Vice Adm. Fred Kacher will leave his job and return to the Navy; Beijing again cuts rare earth shipments to Japan; Kim Jong Un teases a summit with Trump amid US-Korea strategy strains; an escalating conflict between Pakistan and Afghanistan; Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Israel; and Washington’s decision to open a pop-up consulate for Israeli settlers in the West Bank town of Efrat.

We attended the Air and Space Forces Association Warfare Symposium so you didn’t have to. General Atomics Aeronautical Systems president Dave Alexander gives us the latest on a slew of programs. We review the event and Air and Space Forces magazine editor Tobias Naegele and Mitchell Institute Dean David Deptula add their views. Plus a headline or two. All powered by GE!

Mesh Feigenbaum, a managing partner at Engineered Metal Tech who is one of the world’s leading experts on the gigantic forging presses that are critical for the worldwide aerospace and defense supply chain, joins Defense & Aerospace Report Editor Vago Muradian to discuss an updated version of his 2018 benchmark study of global industrial capacity that rings alarm bells for major commercial and military programs; the importance of forging facilities; the problematic nature of depending on gigantic pieces of equipment that are aging and when they fail are out of action for years, derailing supply chains; China’s strategic approach of investing in sovereign capacity and capability; why the business is so challenging commercially one without government support; and the investment necessary for the United States to revitalize a critical industry.

On today’s Strategy Series program, sponsored by General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, Sam Bendett of the Center for Naval Analyses and Dr. Eugene Rumer, the director of the Russia and Eurasia program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, join Defense & Aerospace Report Editor Vago Muradian to discuss an assessment of Russia’s war Ukraine as the conflict enters its fifth year; update on the fighting and impact of SpaceX’s decision to suspend Russian access to StarLink data; whether Vladimir Putin as more vulnerable as the war takes its toll on Russia’s finances and economy; what will convince Moscow to back off its maximalist demands; key transformations in warfighting over the past four years as both sides have struggled to gain advantage; prospect an economic deal with Moscow that would see US industry rebuild Russia would convince Russian leaders to turn away from Beijing; whether it’s reasonable to expect Ukraine to hold elections in May as demanded by President Trump; and what to expect in year five of the conflict.

On today’s Look Ahead program, sponsored by HII, Byron Callan of the independent Washington research firm Capital Alpha Partners joins Defense & Aerospace Report Editor Vago Muradian to discuss defense industrial implications of the Supreme Court’s rulings against most of President Trump’s tariffs and his reaction to impose an additional 15 percent tariff across the board; prospect the administration will retaliate against European nations that shift rapidly increasing spending away from US weapons in favor of domestic ones; Canada’s new defense strategy; consequences of a possible Iran attack and Britain’s decision to deny US forces use of bases in UK and Diego Garcia; analysis of Russia’s war on Ukraine as the conflict enters its fifth year; a changing competitive US defense industrial landscape; and a look at the week ahead.

On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Business Roundtable, sponsored by Bell, Dr. “Rocket” Ron Epstein of Bank of America Securities, Sash Tusa of the independent equity research firm Agency Partners and Richard Aboulafia of the AeroDynamic advisory consultancy join host Vago Muradian to discuss an up week on Wall Street on the Supreme Court’s decision that some of President Trump’s tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act were illegal; what’s next for nearly $200 billion in tariff revenue collected over the past year as the president imposes new tariffs under other legislation; US threat of retaliation if Europe shifts away from buying American systems in favor of domestic weaponry; India’s Rafale order including 31 naval variants of the Dassault fighter; Canada’s new National Defense Strategy; Northrop Grumman partnership with Embraer to help market the KC-390 tanker-transport in the United States; impact on Leonardo’s C-27 production line after Saudi Arabia’s ordered for four of the transports in a maritime patrol configuration for delivery in 2029; Airbus earnings including frustrations with Pratt & Whitney; and BAE Systems’ investors call.