Die ekonomie minuut

Die resultate van die kwartaallikse arbeidsmag-opname word vandag bekend gemaak en almal is bekommerd dat die werkloosheidkoers nog slegter gaan lyk. In die eerste kwartaal het dit volgens die eng definisie op 32,9% gestaan. Ek kan weer praat oor stadige ekonomie groei as gevolg van beurtkrag ens, maar net ʼn deel van Suid-Afrika se werkloosheidsprobleem is siklies. Die groter vraagstuk is die oorsake en oplossings vir die strukturele komponent van werkloosheid. ʼn Onlangse navorsingsartikel kyk juis na die onderbenutting van arbeid.

Hierdie episode word ondersteun deur die NWU Sakeskool.

Foute en weglatings is my eie.

The results of the quarterly labour force survey are released today and everyone is worried that the unemployment rate is going to look even worse. In the first quarter, according to the narrow definition, it stood at 32.9%. I can talk again about slow economic growth due to load shedding etc., but only part of South Africa's unemployment problem is cyclical. The bigger issue is the causes and solutions to the structural component of unemployment. A recent research article looks precisely at the underutilization of labour in South Africa.

This episode is supported by the NWU Business School.

Errors and omissions are my own.

Ek het verlede week gesels oor die ekonomiese vooruitsigte vir die res van hierdie jaar maar wat voorspel die land se ekonome? Die ou “Ekonoom van die jaar” kompetisie staan deesdae bekend as die BMR konsensus voorspelling en Juliemaand se voorspellings is onlangs bekend gemaak.

Hierdie episode word ondersteun deur die Buro vir Ekonomiese Ondersoek in Stellenbosch en NWU Sakeskool.

Foute en weglatings is my eie.

Last week I talked about the economic outlook for the rest of this year but what do the country's economists predict? The old "Economist of the Year" competition is nowadays known as the BMR consensus forecast. and the July forecasts were announced last week

This episode is supported by the Bureau for Economic Research in Stellenbosch and NWU Business School.

Errors and omissions are my own.

Gister het statistieke Suid-Afrika syfers bekend gemaak oor Juniemaand mynbouproduksie en -verkope en ook vervaardigingsproduksie en -verkope. Dit lyk soos data om versigtig optimisties oor te raak.

Hierdie episode word ondersteun deur die NWU Sakeskool.

Foute en weglatings is my eie.

Yesterday Statistics South Africa released June figures for mining production and sales and also manufacturing production and sales. This looks like data one can be cautiously optimistic about.

This episode is supported by the NWU Business School.

Errors and omissions are my own,.

Ek lewer vanoggend ʼn praatjie oor hoe dit met die ekonomie gaan en dink toe dit sal lekker wees om dit in 2 minute te probeer op som.

Hierdie episode word ondersteun deur die NWU Sakeskool.

Foute en weglatings is my eie.

Later today I'm giving a talk about how the economy is doing and I thought it would be nice to try to sum it up in 2 minutes.

This episode is supported by the NWU Business School.

Errors and omissions are my own.

Met die dat ek gister oor die wisselkoers en koopkragpariëteitsteorie gesels het en die rand asem ophou vir ʼn Amerikaanse rentekoers verhoging is dit ʼn lekker tyd om ander perspektiewe by te trek. Codera Analytics se Daan Steenkamp het onlangs twee interessante blog inskrywings oor die wisselkoers gemaak.

Hierdie episode word ondersteun deur Economic Research Southern Africa en die NWU Sakeskool.

Foute en weglatings is my eie.

Because I talked about the exchange rate and purchasing power parity theory yesterday and the rand is holding its breath for another US interest rate increase, it is a good time to bring in other perspectives. Codera Analytics' Daan Steenkamp recently made two interesting blog entries about the exchange rate.

This episode is supported by Economic Research Southern Africa and the NWU Business School.

Errors and omissions are my own.