ESPN's recent prediction of a mere seven wins for Iowa State football appears remarkably out of touch with the program's trajectory under Matt Campbell. The foundation of their argument, heavily leaning on "missing production" from the previous season, inadvertently exposes a deeper, more concerning undercurrent: a distinct lack of faith in Campbell's ability to consistently elevate and maintain a winning culture.

To base a projection primarily on roster turnover rather than the proven track record of a coaching staff is to fundamentally misunderstand the essence of sustainable program building. Matt Campbell has repeatedly demonstrated an uncanny ability to develop talent, integrate new players, and adapt schemes to suit the strengths of his squad, often exceeding expectations set by external observers fixated on individual statistics.

The Cyclones, under Campbell, have defied the odds year after year, transforming a perennial Big 12 cellar-dweller into a respectable, competitive force. Their success has rarely been about superstar individuals but rather a cohesive unit, meticulous coaching, and a formidable identity built on toughness and discipline. Dismissing this proven resilience and development pipeline by simply tallying up lost starters suggests ESPN views Campbell's previous achievements as flukes, rather than the byproduct of a genuinely successful system. This oversight not only undervalues Campbell's impact but also underestimates the collective strength and continuity that defines Iowa State football.

Gametime
Today's episode is brought to you by Gametime. Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDONCOLLEGEfor $20 off your first purchase. Terms and conditions apply. 

Monarch Money
Take control of your finances with Monarch Money. Use code LOCKEDONCOLLEGE at monarchmoney.com for 50% off your first year.

FanDuel
Right now, new customers can get TWO HUNDRED DOLLARS in BONUS BETS when your first FIVE DOLLAR BET WINS! Download the app or head to FANDUEL.COM to get started. Bet with FanDuel—Official Partner of the NBA.

FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)