The Answer Is Transaction Costs

Hereditary Monarchy: At Least You Know Which Idiot Is Next


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Hereditary monarchy seems like a ridiculous way to pick a leader, yet it dominates most of human political history. We argue the reason is transaction costs: succession systems survive when they settle “who rules next” cheaply enough to prevent recurring civil war. 
• Why hereditary monarchy is historically prevalent compared with democracy and universal suffrage 
• Why “divine right” stories often rationalize a choice people already find tolerable 
• Thomas Paine’s critique of hereditary succession and what it misses 
• Hobbes on the state of nature as what happens when sovereignty is contested 
• Succession as the master coordination problem of political order 
• Transaction costs applied to elections, enforcement, legitimacy, and rent seeking 
• Why elective monarchy can become an armed auction for total power 
• Bright line rules versus discretionary selection and why speed can beat “better” 
• How constitutional design lowers the cost of leadership transition when it works 
• The legitimacy problem and why dynasties converge on endogamy 
• The genetic consequences of endogamy and the Habsburg cautionary tale 
• Twedges, book recommendation, and a listener letter on board game “math trades” 


LINKS:

Thomas Paine, Common Sense, February 1776

Michael Munger, The Ugly Pig, 20224

A.P. Martinich, Thomas Hobbes:  A Biography, 1999.

Thomas Hobbes, Leviathan, 1651.

Neal Schultz, Suicide Kings: Hereditary Monarchy, 2025

Tbadel Barter App

Cosmos Institute, Coasian Bargaining at Scale, 2025

UPDATE: An interesting, and more clearly articulated, application of the reasoning here.... https://aminga.substack.com/p/how-transaction-cost-economics-explains

If you have questions or comments, or want to suggest a future topic, email the show at [email protected] !


You can follow Mike Munger on Twitter at @mungowitz 


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The Answer Is Transaction CostsBy Michael Munger

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