Keep or Kut - Chad (@ChadYoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) break down their own rosters, as well as the rosters of the top 3 teams in the Keep or Kut Ottoneu Listener League according to the Surplus Calculator.

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3:24 - Carlos Rodón is a San Francisco Giant

9:30 - Ottoneu 4x4 & Surplus Calculator explained

15:43 - Breaking down Pete's team. Why does the Surplus Calculator hate it?

21:34 - A dissection of Chad's roster turns into a conversation about the potential ace-status of Frankie Montas

32:43 - House of David's roster has lots of solid values

35:58 - Dansby Swanson's 2021... fluke or legit?

44:28 - The massive range of potential outcomes for Chrisb's roster turns into a conversation about two sluggers: Luke Voit & Jorge Soler

59:50 - The surplus calculator loved the Fighting Chihuahua's auction results. Is Miguel Sanó sneaky valuable?

1:10:27 - Best values from the auction

1:16:08 - Worst values from the auction

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Keep or Kut - Chad (@ChadYoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) finish up their positional previews with starting pitching. In addition to going through their top 20 SP for keeper leagues, they dive into their strategies for drafting pitching. Plus looks at Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer, Shohei Ohtani, and more.

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Timestamps:

0:42 - Bemoaning the lockout and potential 14-team playoffs

10:14 - How different are top-20 SP lists for keeper vs. redraft leagues?

13:37 - Chad and Pete's top 20s

15:50 - Debating number one, thoughts on Jacob deGrom, and Chad and Pete share their philosophy on keeper league pitching

31:30 - How far do we drop Max Scherzer, plus more on Pete thinking short-term while Chad claims the top 10 just don't have keeper value to him.

43:34 - Chad left Lucas Giolito off his list; Pete left Robbie Ray off his. Maybe they are both wrong?

57:38 - How does Shohei Ohtani stack up when you only look at his arm?

1:03:40 - A quick review of some Honorable Mentions, plus a look at Tyler Glasnow's value and the intriguing names in the mid-range of drafts.

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Keep or Kut - Chad (@ChadYoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) discuss their top 20 outfielders for keeper leagues. Although the tops of their lists are quite similar, a lot of different names appear on their back-10s. One of them even has a prospect in their top 20 and, spoiler alert, it isn't Chad!

Timestamps

2:06 – quick update on how the Keep or Kut listener league auction is going

5:30 – Chad provides both he and Pete’s top 20 at outfield

8:47 – The importance of tiers when doing rankings

17:45 – Where will Nick Castellanos end up?

23:25 – Fernando Tatís Jr. or Juan Soto? A conversation about Tatís Jr.’s shoulder follows.

28:48 – Cedric Mullins vs Tyler O’Neill. Mullins 2021 may have been a fluke, but that doesn’t make him bad!

36:15 – Pete feels pretty passionately about how great Aaron Judge is

42:00 – The risk of Christian Yelich, Cody Bellinger, Julio Rodríguez, and Jarred Kelenic

49:00 – Pete is not a fan of Randy Arozarena

58:12 – Some names Chad and Pete like that didn’t make their lists

1:06:28 – Jo Adell and what to make of him

1:14:51 – The issue with baseball and keeping talented, young players in the minors

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Keep or Kut - Using the soon-to-draft Keep or Kut listener leagues as an excuse, Chad (@ChadYoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) invite Adam Howe (@eightygrade) onto the show to talk league settings. What scoring do you want to use? How big should your rosters be? What about keepers? And a whole lot more.

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Timestamps

2:05 - Our guest, Adam Howe, tells us about his keeper leagues

8:48 - Welcome to the Keep or Kut Listener Leagues!

11:30 - Scoring and standings: There are pros and cons to season-long leagues vs. head-to-head; Chad tells you why points is checkers to roto chess; and we land on two different approaches for our two leagues.

32:15 - Draft vs. Auction? While there are great reasons to choose an auction, sometimes a draft is just simpler.

37:26 - Rosters and lineups vary quite a bit, just on the offensive side. We debate how many C and share a preference for deeper lineups.

42:27 - Pitching has fewer choices, but you still have to decide if you are splitting SP and RP or just using a pile of pitchers.

47:44 - Your bench size can't be determined in a vacuum, as roster construction, IL spots and other factors play a role.

54:01 - Both lineups and transactions can be daily, weekly, or anything in between. Plus the benefits of FAAB vs. Waivers or fastest finger.

1:04:09 - How should we include minor leaguers in these leagues?

1:10:41 - Last, but certainly not least, what about the keeper rules? How many players are kept? What do they cost? And more.

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Keep or Kut - Chad (@ChadYoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) go through many keeper and Ottoneu listener questions before providing a brief, but informative dissection of their thoughts on relief pitchers in keeper leagues.

Timestamps

4:20 - Keep or Kut?: Gavin Lux, Nate Pearson, Tyler Mahle

10:05 - Pete brought about change to ESPN's keeper settings

14:00 - A listener is trying to figure out who to keep among names such as Trea Turner, Corbin Burnes, and Lance Lynn

18:50 - Keep an expensive Nolan Arenado or a risky Max Muncy

22:10 - Tough keeper decisions. Give up your last pick for Jack Flaherty or surrender a 14th for Wander Franco?

30:00 - Dominic Smith at $7 is a kut!

39:50 - What to do with Michael Conforto

1:00:32 - Are we making any changes to our line of thinking as it relates to keepers given that we are staring down a potential loss of games?

1:03:23 - Our Top 10 RPs for Keeper Leagues and general philosophy on closers in keeper leagues

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Keep or Kut - Chad (@ChadYoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) dive back into their top tens for keeper leagues with their 2B and SS rankings. With names like Fernando Tatis, Jr., Trea Turner, Brandon Lowe, and Bo Bichette at the top, plus youth like Wander Franco, Bobby Witt, Jr., and more coming along, MI is more exciting than ever.

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Timestamps

0:41 - There is just so much talent at these two spots

3:37 - Our top ten 2B

5:30 - Should Javier Báez be in the top ten?

11:16 - How aggressively do you want to go after Jazz Chisholm, Jr.? What about others in the bottom half of a top ten like Jonathan India or Jake Cronenworth?

19:14 - There is a pretty big game from the top three - Trea Turner, Brandon Lowe, and Ozzie Albies - to the rest of the list

25:32 - What to do with Max Muncy?

28:18 - A quick look at some sleepers and prospects at second base - Ty France, Luis Urías, Tommy Edman, Nolan Gorman, and Enrique Hernández

36:35 - Moving on to your top ten SS

37:45 - How do you rate Wander Franco, including a deeper look at Francisco Lindor and a comparison to Tim Anderson.

50:23 - The upside of Bobby Witt, Jr.

57:01 - Sleepers and prospects at shortstop, including Dansby Swanson, Eugenio Suarez, Brandon Crawford, Oneil Cruz, and Bryson Stott.

1:05:12 - Diving deeper into Tim Anderson

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Keep or Kut - With keeper deadlines approaching, Chad (@ChadYoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) take a quick break from the rankings to answer some listener questions. But then they get right back to it with their top 10 C for keeper leagues.

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Timestamps

1:03 - Keeper mailbag! Who would you rather lock in for three years? Pete Alonso or Aaron Nola?

5:14 - In an Ottoneu points league, are you keeping $60 Bryce Harper or $20 Max Muncy?

13:27 - Pick your ace: Shane Bieber or Sandy Alcantara?

17:19 - Share some thoughts on Trent Grisham.

20:47 - Can you keep a $31 Cody Bellinger in Ottoneu?

26:07 - What about Frank Schwindel in 5x5?

27:16 - The lightning round! $5 Cristian Javier, $5 Abraham Toro, $3 Josh Rojas, $4 Chad Green, $4 Andrew Kittredge, $6 Nick Senzel, $6 Noelvi Marte, $4 Cade Cavalli, $6 Jameson Taillon, $3 Marco Gonzales, $13 Dylan Carlson

30:25 - Trying to find six keepers in a league with a unique salary structure

39:02 - Chad and Pete share their top 10 C

40:42 - Alejandro Kirk was only on one of the two lists, but is there an interesting comparison between him and Adley Rutschman?

49:21 - How would these lists change for redraft?

51:15 - Comparing Joey Bart to other C prospects, including MJ Melendez and Daulton Varsho

59:10 - Sleepers and flyers such as Mitch Garver, Sean Murphy, Francisco Mejia, and Gary Sanchez

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Keep or Kut - It's time to make keeper decisions and get ready for drafts, so Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (@ChadYoung) are going position-by-position discussing their top ten lists for 5x5 keeper leagues. Today, they cover both CI spots.

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Timestamps

1:20 - How we think about these lists, knowing that every keeper league is unique.

8:11 - A quick look at our matching top four's - Vlad Guerrero Jr. at the top, Freddie Freeman a clear #2, and a deeper look at Matt Olson vs. Pete Alonso.

12:31 - Moving through the rest of the top 10, starting with Pete pushing Spencer Torkelson all the way up to #5.

22:53 - Pete and Chad settle their differences on Ryan Mountcastle, Trey Mancini, José Abreu, Andrew Vaughn, and Alex Kirilloff

31:56 - Running through some sleepers, flyers, and prospects, including Luke Voit, Brandon Belt, Yulieski Gurriel, Nick Pratto, and Triston Casas.

39:13 - We move over to 3B top 10, starting with the top five, where the top three are the top three, but what about Alex Bregman and Austin Riley in the next two spots?

44:12 - In the bottom half of the top ten, we're both excited about Ke'Bryan Hayes, but just how excited?

50:51 - Is it time to be out on Anthony Rendon?

55:15 - And is it too early to be in on Josh Jung as a top 10 option?

59:36 - What do you make of Adalberto Mondesi?

1:02:47 - Another set of sleepers, flyers and prospects featuring Eugenio Suarez, Jeimer Candelario, JD Davis, Cavan Biggio, and Jose Miranda

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Keep or Kut - Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (@ChadYoung) do a little mock draft, but with a twist. Rather than drafting to build the best team, this draft is focused on keeper value. In this eight-round draft, players are taken with their current NFBC ADP attached with Chad and Pete trying to identify players who will be good keepers for 2023. The result is a combination of sleepers, breakouts, and other players who we expect to cost a lot more in 2023 than they do in 2022. Draft them now and you'll be thrilled to keep them next year.

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Timestamps:

2:09 - The rules for the draft

5:34 - With the first overall pick, Pete bets on a bounceback from Alex Bregman, whose current ADP may be an overcorrection.

8:34 - Chad looks for a breakout with his first pick, taking Alejandro Kirk and his elite batted balls and solid plate discipline.

10:59 - Fantasy managers seem to be waiting for Jorge Polanco to prove his 2019 and 2021 are legit, but Chad is happy to take him with his second pick.

13:23 - Another MI off the board, as Pete grabs Gleyber Torres (still just 25 years old) with his second pick.

17:35 - More youth for Pete, as he fills first base with Alex Kirilloff, who underperformed his 2022 xStats.

19:57 - Finishing up the third, Chad takes Andrew Vaughn, who was solid if not spectacular despite making the leap from A-ball all the way to MLB.

23:36 - Kirilloff vs. Vaughn: Who ya got?

24:47 - Chad adds some power with Rhys Hoskins, who showed improvement in 2021 and could be primed for a breakout.

29:28 - Will Smith slots in behind the plate for Pete - could he be C1 this year?

34:38 - Pete just can't quit Brendan Rodgers, but there are real reasons for optimism.

38:19 - Fresh off a strong finish (pre-injury), Blake Snell is Chad's pick at SP.

41:17 - Chad finishes off his pitching staff with Ken Giles, who was elite when we last saw him and has a path to saves.

44:47 - Pete goes deep into ADP to take Trevor Larnach. Larnach is risky, but he's also basically free.

49:08 - At the other end of the spectrum, Sandy Alcantara is far from free, but there's still room for him to be a great keeper at this cost.

52:12 - He's been freed from Tropicana Field, but Willy Adames still comes cheap enough that Chad sees a lot of keeper value.

55:28 - Chad's last pick is Alec Bohm, whose 70 grade hit tool is too good to keep performing so poorly.

58:30 - Pete finishes up with Devin Williams, who may not be a closer immediately, but has elite skills and could be a big win for a patient manager.

1:01:44 - LIGHTNING ROUND! Chad and Pete offer quick thoughts on players who weren't taken in the draft, but could have been: Carson Kelly, Chris Taylor, Oneil Cruz, Trent Grisham, Frankie Montas, Camilo Doval, Trey Mancini

Keep or Kut - Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (@ChadYoung) continue their analysis of the mock Ottoneu auction that wrapped up on December 10. They covered five teams in the last episode and wrap up with the other seven today. Going team by team, they break down their favorite values, thoughts on overpaid players, and much more. Let your prep for your Ottoneu auctions start here.

Finished mock results: https://www.couchmanagers.com/auctions/?auction_id=5

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Timestamps:

2:57 - Ottoneu creator Niv Shah's OF attracted some attention, with a $25 Eloy Jiménez and a $23 J.D. Martinez.He got some love ($11 Ian Anderson) and some questions ($19 Eduardo Rodriguez) for his rotation, as well. Plus some credit for wisely spending on the positions where the money mattered most.

17:30 - Jake Mailhot of FanGraphs spent $31 on Wander Franco and Chad and Pete were split on how they feel about it. Alejandro Kirk and Tim Anderson also get some discussion on a team that Chad and Pete agrees looks awfully strong.

25:14 - Built buy two long-time Ottoneu players, the Sabrcatz had a plan and executed against it. As a result, they left with a ton of interesting long-term values, with conversations about everyone from Mike Trout and Ronald Acuńa, Jr., to Jo Adell and Joe Ryan, plus a nice bullpen.

32:11 - Ottoneu Slack Admin Mike Maude got some real nice old guy value, but are we still in on Germán Márquez? And is Walker Buehler a legit ace?

40:16 - The man behind the Ottoneu Surplus Calculator, Justin Vibber, got good values at the high end of the spectrum, but can a team with Yordan Alvarez, Giancarlo Stanton, Jacob Degrom, and others overcome a risky rotation?

47:23 - Eno Sarris of The Athletic got an underpriced ace in Charlie Morton, plus some fun values in Trent Grisham, Ian Happ, Tanner Houck, and Raisel Iglesias. Plus find out which SP Eno targeted, and why Chad is intrigued by them, even if he thinks Eno may have overpaid.

54:01 - The finalists in the inaugural Ottoneu Prestige Leauge joined forces to draft the team called Clondoves, and they nabbed one of Pete's favorite sleeper SP in Patrick Sandoval. They also loaded up on buy-lows, putting together a roster that is built well for OPL and includes a number of players we'll be targeting late in auctions.

59:17 - Before wrapping up, we hit on some overall takeaways: first-year auctions vs. established leagues; the importance of auction flow and order; why we are waiting on 1B (but not 3B); and the right balance of spending vs. saving.

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