Keep or Kut - Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (@ChadYoung) begin to dissect the mock Ottoneu auction that wrapped up on December 10. Going team by team, they break down their favorite values, thoughts on overpaid players, and much more. Let your prep for your Ottoneu auctions start here.

Finished mock results: https://www.couchmanagers.com/auctions/?auction_id=5

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Timestamps:

6:55 - The breakdown begins with Chad's team. Potential outfield woes, a deep dive on Alex Wood and Oneil Cruz, and a discussion about what to expect from Jeff McNeil.

28:02 - Analysis of Pete's team includes a discussion about Triston McKenzie and several prospects bought at bargain prices. Is $10 an ideal amount of money to be left with post-auction? And Pete plants his flag on DJ LeMahieu... he's all in.

45:52 - Friend of the show Mark McElroy's team. Is outfield sneaky thin? A conversation about the risk on a $32 George Springer unfolds and is followed up by a praising of a $17 Rhys Hoskins and $3 Trey Mancini.

58:28 - Adam Howe's team! Pete loves Alek Manoah, especially at $15. Is the floor of this bench too low? Chad is on the fence about Tyler O'Neill as a player but he loves the price that Adam got him at. Whit Merrifield isn't much of an Ottoneu points league player.

1:09:58 - Dave Swan's team... $52 leftover! Dave had an awesome, cheap middle infield headlined by Willy Adames, Kolten Wong, and Jonathan Schoop (total of those three: $19). What do we do with a $10 Tyler Glasnow?

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Keep or Kut - Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (@ChadYoung) dig deep on the Ottoneu mock auction that is currently taking place. Third base once again becomes a point of discussion, as does the seemingly top-heavy nature of the mock itself. Eventually, Pete and Chad get into a discussion about some of the early signings this offseason and their potential fantasy impacts.

Follow the mock here!: https://www.couchmanagers.com/auctions/?auction_id=5

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Timestamps:

1:10 - The best Thanksgiving side

4:40 - Introduction to the mock auction draft and how it has gone so far

12:03 - Pete's rationale for dropping so much money on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

13:59 - A discussion about Mike Trout - he went for over $60!

20:42 - Nolan Arenado for $18. A steal? A fair deal? Overpay? A discussion about 3B follows, including how Pete ended up with both Austin Riley and Manny Machado.

34:30 - Surprising prices on starting pitchers and how the bidding for pitchers has gone in the mock so far. Is a $38 Max Scherzer good value?

36:22 - Are we sleeping on Shane Bieber?

40:08 - $4 Marcus Stroman is a steal

44:03 - Justin Verlander is back with the Astros

49:51 - Steven Matz to the Cardinals. Does it matter?

52:21 - Anthony DeSclafani is back with the Giants. Was the breakout legit? Does losing Buster Posey matter?

56:25 - Noah Syndergaard goes west, off to the Angels. Seems risky, should we be interested?

1:02:05 - Another Angels signing! Aaron Loup... future closer?

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Keep or Kut - Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (@ChadYoung) talk a bit about how they plan their rosters for the off-season, dive into position scarcity, and look at some big names who might be on the move this off-season. Come for the complaining about the lack of 3B depth, stay for the complaining about the dearth of catchers.

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Timestamps:

1:03 - Pete's thoughts on his first go at Ottoneu Arbitration

4:17 - How do you tactically get started with roster planning?

8:57 - Using the Ottoneu Roster Organizer or setting a depth chart on a spreadsheet

12:30 - Third base is not pretty

20:10 - How aggressively should you trade to fill a weak position in the offseason?

26:06 - You thought 3B was bad? Check out 2B and C!

36:07 - Some big names are going to be changing homes and we take a look at a few, starting with Corey Seager (and Chris Taylor)

42:53 - Next up is Javy Baez

47:04 - Our first trade candidate is Matt Olson (and maybe Matt Chapman)

54:00 - We finish up with Kyle Schwarber

57:23 - Ottoneu Question of the Day: With catcher being so thin and Ottoneu being so deep, if you are in trouble at C and another team is deep, how do you approach that?

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Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung) is joined by Mark McElroy (@markmcelroybb), commissioner of the Pitcher List staff Ottoneu league, to discuss arbitration. They talk about why arbitration exists, how it works, and how you should think about arbitration for your league. Plus, they walk through live examples, as Mark discusses how he would allocate to one of Chad's teams, and Chad does the same for one of Mark's.

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Timestamps:

5:29 - The quirks of Mark and Chad's home leagues

10:34 - The basics of Ottoneu arbitration, including why it exists and how it works

17:04 - Before allocating money, look at teams (including your own), not players

31:24 - Once you know what teams you want to allocate to, it is time to look at which players are the best targets

39:40 - Should you allocate dollars to prospects?

44:36 - Does it make sense to allocate money to high-priced guys in order to force another manager to cut the player?

50:00 - Arb runs for a month, so when is the right time to do it?

53:28 - Is it fair game to discuss arbitration with other members of your league?

57:05 - Mark looks at the Hawken Hawks, Chad's team in league 13, and discusses his arbitration strategy

1:03:55 - Chad returns the favor, discussing his strategy for allocating to the Kram Fighters, Mark's team in league 1122.

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Keep or Kut - Last week, Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (@ChadYoung) jumped into a way-too-early Pitcher List mock draft for the 2022 season. In this episode, they are joined by two of the other draft participants - Scott Chu (@ifthechufits) and Christopher Weber (@shwebsi) - to talk about potential high-value keepers. By comparing 2021 ADP to where players were taken in the mock draft, Chad, Pete, Scott, and Shwebsi countdown the top 10 keeper values, and tease some late selections who could be exciting keepers next year.

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Timestamps:

3:08 - Scott and Shwebsi tell us a bit about their favorite keeper leagues, including a contract-based pair of AL- and NL-only, and a team named Howard the Duck

9:35 - High-level thoughts on the draft we just finished, including the folly of drafting in October.

14:41 - We dive into our top ten countdown of the players with the greatest difference between their 2021 ADP and their pick in this draft, starting with Freddy Peralta.

20:57 - After making huge strides in 2021, Dylan Cease checks in at number nine.

25:46 - Jorge Polanco may not repeat his 2021, but that won't stop him from being number eight on our list, and a great keeper.

31:57 - With first-round production this year, Cedric Mullins is a clear keeper in any format.

38:14 - It's a full-on lovefest for number six Wander Franco.

45:28 - Chad takes a victory lap as we discuss number five Austin Riley.

52:06 - Number four Robbie Ray and the amazing ability to just decide to be better.

56:51 - There were two Shohei Ohtani's in this draft, but only one made it to number three on our list.

1:02:46 - Tyler O'Neill demonstrates the challenges of drafting this early in the off-season.

1:09:12 - Despite the rough pre-season, no one rose further from 2021 to this draft than Chris Sale

1:17:11 - Six guys who went after pick 200 in the draft that we think could be keepers in 2023

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Keep or Kut - After Pete (@PeteBBaseball) went solo last week to talk about his 2021 takeaways, this weekend you get a special bonus episode of Keep or Kut, as Chad (@ChadYoung) rolls solo to give you his takeaways.

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Timestamps:

3:42 - Chad looks back at Pete's takeaways and shares his thoughts

12:17 - Chad starts his takeaways by talking about the importance of knowing your style and sticking to it.

21:14 - Expecting too much from Dominic Smith didn't sink Chad; but assuming he could rely on elite production rather than viewing that as upside was a problem. Don't be overly reliant on your guys.

28:29 - Don't be afraid to make a big move. Even if that means trading a long-term keeper like Mookie Betts.

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Keep or Kut - Pete (@PeteBBaseball) is without Chad (@ChadYoung) for this short episode as he discusses his fantasy baseball takeaways from the 2021 season.

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Timestamps:

1:59 - Maybe time to stop putting such little attention on the catcher position

6:11 - The idea of getting a draft discount on a player because he is injured is tantalizing but recent setbacks have Pete thinking twice about drafting injured players

10:15 - Reaching for prospects or paying too much FAAB for them lowers the floor of your roster and for most people, especially the last two years, this strategy isn't working

15:26 - Stolen bases are at an all-time low. Pete's thinking about just not focusing on them at all in his 2022 drafts.

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Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (@ChadYoung) try to figure out what went wrong for some players who we thought were fantasy studs going into the season. They also discuss how much strength of schedule should be considered, particularly for starting pitchers, when constructing your roster.

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Timestamps:

0:25 - DOGS!

4:03 - Trying to figure out Aaron Nola and his odd GB%

16:58 - Will the Dodgers trade Cody Bellinger? What is going on with him?

25:05 - Christian Yelich… selling out for contact now?

35:15 - Trent Grisham’s season has not gone to plan after a hot start

40:16 - Giovanny Gallegos is really good and Pete just wants you to know that

41:40 - Should any weight be put into September, particularly late September, strength of schedule when constructing your roster?

57:00 - OQOTD: Who is a good player to buy low on now to avoid the potential of the market picking up on them by auction time?

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Chad (@ChadYoung) takes you through a list of hitters whose overall season wOBA is at least .020 points better or worse than what they have done since May 1. For some of these guys, a rough April is hiding a pretty solid season; for others, a great April (or even a great 10 days) is making an unimpressive season look good. Either way, you'll want to think twice about how you interpret the season-long lines from J.D. Martinez, Avisail Garcia, Ryan Mountcastle, and others.

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Timestamps

2:58 - The ten players whose wOBA since May 1 is the furthest below their season-long line.

4:22 - The decline of Nick Solak

7:37 - He makes this list, but that's no reason to worry about with Ronald Acuna, Jr.

8:16 - Carson Kelly is being carried by a hot start

10:50 - 10 Great Days and a Season of Mediocrity: The J.D. Martinez Story

15:45 - Fading Jazz Chisholm

18:56 - What do we make of Omar Narvaez?

20:45 - A few others in the top 20 - Kris Bryant, Brandon Nimmo, Buster Posey, Ketel Marte

21:34 - The 14 hitters whose season-long line is dragged down the most by a bad April

23:20 - Willy Adames escapes Tampa

24:41 - Looking for opportunities to buy low on Ryan Mountcastle

27:10 - Platoon catcher gold in Elias Diaz

29:03 - Paul Goldschmidt is still a star

31:34 - Jorge Polanco breaks out again

33:32 - A big season from Kyle Schwarber is even better than his season-long line suggests

33:50 - Chad waited too long to admit that Avisail Garcia is good

34:48 - Is it time to bail on Rowdy Tellez?

36:55 - Is it time to buy back in on Gavin Lux?

38:58 - Ian Happ turns his season around

41:35 - A few others who you won't want to ignore - Josh Bell, Francisco Lindor, Lourdes Gurriel, Jr., Marcus Semien

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Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (@ChadYoung) cover how to approach the final days of your keeper leagues, regardless of where you are in the standings. Some interesting names appear later in the show as the guys chat about who lines up well for some favorable pitcher streams down the stretch.

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Timestamps:

2:13 - Should fantasy managers be able to add/drop players during a league's playoffs if they are no longer competing for a championship? Pete and Chad discuss.

14:18 - Pete and Chad agree that teams competing for a championship shouldn't be stressing about their keepers, especially fringe keepers

17:21 - Chad explains his approach in keeper leagues where he is out of contention at this point in the season. He uses Frank Schwindel as an example.

25:33 - Teams that are borderline contending have a difficult decision to make - to compete or not to compete? #Shakespeare. Acquiring elite keeper talent makes the decision quite easy!

34:16 - Chad explains why he thinks Marco Gonzalez is going to help teams win a championship down the stretch

38:54 - Pete suggests Jake Odorizzi as an arm to add not because he is a good pitcher but because his schedule is so favorable

41:40 - A pair of Rockies pitchers could actually help? Two of them?! Chad thinks Antonio Senzatela and Jon Gray might just help bring fantasy gold

46:16 - Pete really likes Steven Matz's schedule the rest of the way and he has been hot lately

48:50 - Below 50% rostered in Ottoneu, Chad suggests Vladimir Gutiérrez as one final option to pursue for some down-the-stretch quality innings

51:28 - Ottoneu Question of the Day: How much money does Chad like to have going into the auction if his team is a complete rebuild?

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