UK Property Market Weekly Update
In this week’s ‘UK Property Market Stats Update’ for week ending Sunday, 17th November 2024 (week 46), the main headlines are as follows…
· Listings (New properties coming on to the market) - 29k UK listings this week (week 46). YTD 2024, listings are 8% higher compared to 2023 YTD.
· % of Resi Sales Stock being reduced (Monthly): 13% of Resi sales stock was reduced in the last month. 14% last month and long term 5 year average 10.6%.
· Total Gross Sales - 24.2k UK homes sold stc this week (Week 46), slightly more than last week. 19.2% higher than the same standalone week (week 46) in 2023. Also, 8.5% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels & 14.9% higher than 2023 YTD levels.
· Sale Thru rate (Monthly): UK Estate Agents sold 16.11% of their Resi sales stock in Oct ’24. Sept ‘ 24 was 14.79%. 2024 average is 15.86% & the 7 year long term average is 17.9% per month - yet don’t forget that was only in mid/late 20%’s in the crazy years of 20/21/22).
· Sale fall-throughs - For the week 46, Sale Fall Thrus (as a % of Gross sales Agreed) dropped significantly to 25% (down from 28.8% last week). The 7 year Long Term weekly Average is 24.2% and it was 40%+ in the two months following the Truss Budget in the Autumn of 2022. Agents lost 5.8% of their sales pipeline in Oct’24 (up from 5.6% in Sept ‘ 24).
· Net Sales - 18.1k this week (17k last week). 18.2% higher than the same week 46 in 2023, 76% higher than the same week 46 in 2022 & still 17.3% higher YTD in 2024 compared to YTD 2023.
· % of Homes exchanging vs homes unsold - Of the 1,358,587 UK homes that left UK Estate Agents books since the 1st Jan 2024, 728,138 of them (53.6%) exchanged & completed contracts (meaning the homeowner moved and the estate agent got paid). The remaining 630,449 (46.4%) were withdrawn off the market, unsold. In essence you a flip of the coin chance of actually selling, homeowners moving and the estate agent getting paid.
· UK House Prices - As explained in the show, the £/sqft figure foretells and predicts the Land Registry 5 months in advance with an accuracy rating of 92%. Final October figures saw a slight jump in this important metric to £346/sq.ft. For comparison - Sept’s £339/sq.ft, August’s £338/sq.ft, and July at £341/sq.ft. This means house prices are slightly growing.
· Resi Sales Stock on the Market (Monthly Stat) : 725k at end of October (up from 724k at end of Sept). For comparison, Oct ’23 - 664k, Oct ’22 - 523k, Oct ’21 - 425k, Oct ’20 - 681k, Oct ’19 - 652k
· Resi Sales Sold STC Pipeline (Units) (Monthly Stat): 505k at end of October. For comparison, Oct ’23 - 401k, Oct ’22 - 483k, Oct ’21 - 528k, Oct ’20 - 548k, Oct ’19 - 372k
Local Focus - Guildford
Graphs - https://we.tl/t-wiNvgEwvt5
Kind regards
Christopher Watkin
