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Digging into the AI Cycle with CFRA Research | LPL Market Signals by

In this week's Market Signals podcast, Chief Economist Dr. Jeffrey Roach is joined by Chief Market Strategist Chris Fasciano from Commonwealth Financial Network to discuss stronger-than-expected economic growth, rising Treasury yields, inflation pressures, and what could drive the Fed's next move.

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This week on LPL Market Signals, LPL Chief Fixed Income Strategist Lawrence Gillum is joined by Andrew Norelli of J.P. Morgan Asset Management to discuss the upcoming FOMC meeting. And while markets expect another pause, the bigger question is whether the Fed is preparing investors for more tightening ahead. As such, investors are focused on the path of interest rates, inflation risks, and what comes next for fixed income markets. Lawrence and Andrew share their expectations for the Fed meeting, debate whether markets are underpricing inflation, and highlight opportunities across rates, credit, and securitized sectors as investors navigate an uncertain macro environment. This isn't another discussion of consensus expectations. Instead, we focus on the non-consensus views and market outcomes investors may be overlooking.

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LPL's Chief Economist Dr. Jeffrey Roach highlights three key market impacts of new Federal Reserve leadership, from AI-driven productivity to dollar strength.

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Is the 60/40 portfolio dead? On this week's LPL Market Signals, Kristian Kerr sits down with Paul Ticu, Head of Asset Allocation and Client Solutions at Calamos Investments, to challenge some of the biggest assumptions in investing. The conversation explores diversification, downside protection, market concentration, geopolitics and the evolving role of alternatives in portfolio construction. Tune in for actionable insights on navigating uncertainty and building more resilient portfolios in a world where traditional asset allocation strategies may no longer be enough.

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On this week’s LPL Market Signals, LPL strategists highlight three themes investors should watch this earnings season: The outlook for AI capital investments by hyperscalers, the outlook for refiners amid volatile oil markets, and the setup for big bank earnings this week.

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LPL’s Chief Economist, Dr. Jeffrey Roach shares actionable insights on the global economy, underlying trends in the job market, and what the data tell us about the direction for inflation.

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In this special edition of market signals, LPL strategists share highlights from LPL Research’s Midyear Outlook 2026 publication released on July 7. They share key themes for stocks, bonds, and the economy that LPL Research believes will be determining factors of second half returns. For stocks, progress toward monetization of artificial intelligence (AI) will be a key factor in the second half. LPL Research expects gains for stocks on the back of strong earnings growth and, if the macro backdrop improves, a slight increase in valuations. AI disappointments, geopolitics, and midterm elections are among the primary risks. For bonds, LPL Research expects sticky inflation and resilient growth to keep the Federal Reserve on extended pause, leaving Treasury yields range-bound, with the 10-year likely finishing the year between 4.00% and 4.50% absent disinflation or clear economic weakening. Tight credit spreads likely to persist, though AI-driven borrowing by hyperscalers may pressure spreads modestly higher. Returns may be income-driven as Treasury yields stay rangebound and credit spreads remain tight. Finally, U.S. economic growth should moderate but remain positive in the second half, with strong business investment helping offset weakness in other sectors. Elevated household net worth will continue to provide an important buffer for consumers. Expect inflation to moderate toward 2.9% by the end of 2026 and for unemployment to edge higher but remain historically low.

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Will Thompson, Founder and Managing Partner of Massif Capital, joins the LPL Market Signals podcast to discuss the evolving dynamics across the broader commodities landscape. He shares his perspective on investing within the real asset universe, emphasizing how rising resource nationalism is reshaping the macro backdrop as governments take a more active role in securing and controlling critical resources. The conversation also explores recent developments in energy markets, including the essential role insurers play in facilitating oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, as well as the outlook for global oil supply and demand following the recent U.S.-Iran peace agreement.

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In this edition, Dr. Jeffrey Roach, LPL Financial’s Chief Economist explains why China is a factor behind volatility in oil prices and highlights the ongoing strength of the dollar and business capital spending.

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