Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down the MLB Thursday betting card.

📉 Mets' Road Struggles: They're 1–7 in David Peterson's road starts this season.

🔥 Charlie Morton's Rebound: After early struggles, Morton is pitching strongly for the Orioles, providing a live home dog edge.

🏡 Twins at Home: With a 26–18 home record, they're a profitable target against inconsistent away teams like the Cubs.

⚾ Stroman Yankee Overs: 13 of his last 14 home starts went over the total, making Yankees over bets a hot trend.

🧱 Cubs Overvalued: Public perception often overrates the Cubs, skewing lines in their favor even when performance dips.

⚔️ Eduardo Rodriguez Road Woes: A 7.03 ERA in night games and inflated road ERA makes him a fade against Padres at home.

💥 JP Sears Vulnerability: High HR rate and weak park factors make Sears risky against Atlanta, even if Braves are overpriced.

📈 Red Sox Scoring Surge: They've scored double digits in 4 of their last 6 wins, with Alex Cora calling it “the deepest lineup we've had in a while”.

🛑 Logan Allen Fading: Cleveland has lost Allen’s last three starts; he’s showing severe road splits (4.23 ERA on the road).

🐟 Marlins Rising: Quiet but impactful improvement through rookie call-ups; Cal Quantrill’s vulnerability at Great American Ballpark offers betting value.

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