December 17, 2024

NFL Recap NFL Week 15 + Week 16 Lookahead

1 hour 2 minutes

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 15 recap. The guys also talk some poker and much more.

Week 15 Overview: Boring Slate and Key Metrics

Scott Seidenberg laments the dullness of the early afternoon games, with few close contests, except the Jets-Jaguars matchup (1:55-2:45).

Mackenzie Rivers adds data: Winning teams averaged a 93.5% fourth-quarter win share, the highest in three years and third-highest in six years (3:14-3:44).

Notable Metrics:

Closest game: Jets vs. Jaguars.

49ers-Rams wasn’t close.

The NFL’s Poor Fundamentals

Steve Fezzik criticizes multiple teams for poor endgame decisions (4:03-4:55):

Example 1: Arizona failed to make a clear distinction between a 20- and 21-point lead.

Example 2: Atlanta gave the Raiders unnecessary time after an incompletion.

Quote Analysis (5:32-6:44):

Fezzik observes an “epidemic” of dropped passes. Puka Nacua, however, secures every catch because he “stares at the ball into his hands.”

Mackenzie Rivers attributes drops to receivers focusing on YAC (yards after catch), unlike older eras of “fundamentals.”

Game Analysis and Faulty Results

Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos

Steve Fezzik identifies this as a "faulty final" (7:25-7:37).

Turning Point: Jonathan Taylor fumbled with the Colts poised to lead 20-7, but Denver capitalized, outscoring Indianapolis 24-0 to win 31-13 (9:14-9:29).

Key Criticism: Denver’s poor sportsmanship and focus as a player unnecessarily celebrated a touchdown, risking a penalty (10:15-10:39).

Final Takeaway: Fezzik asserts both teams are fundamentally flawed and not playoff-worthy (10:54-11:04).

Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions

Scott Seidenberg argues the 48-42 final score is misleading, as Buffalo dominated (11:18-11:58).

Game Context: Detroit scored two late touchdowns; Buffalo maintained a 97% fourth-quarter win share.

Dan Campbell's controversial onside kick strategy reflects his lack of trust in Detroit's defense (12:20-12:28).

Team Insight:

Fezzik believes Detroit is the third-best team in the NFC North.

Injuries, including David Montgomery, diminish their playoff hopes (13:43-14:00).

Mackenzie predicts Minnesota wins the division (12:36-13:26).

Green Bay Packers Resurgence

Mackenzie Rivers praises Jordan Love’s improvement (14:30-14:51).

Jordan Love: Currently ranked 11th in PFF's QBR composite.

Scott Seidenberg adds context: Green Bay’s losses (Eagles, Vikings, Lions) are “respectable” (14:51-15:14).

Packers’ Super Bowl Odds: +1200; Mackenzie identifies eight realistic contenders, including the Packers and Ravens (15:37-15:52).

Best/Worst Performances

Best Performance (Bad Team): Dallas Cowboys (16:04-16:34).

Worst Performance: Carolina Panthers, who “reverted back” to their poor form.

Bryce Young’s turnovers and overall disarray highlighted why Carolina has been underdogs in 33 straight games (16:49-17:27).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Chargers

Tampa Bay Bucs dominated the Chargers 40-17.

Steve Fezzik highlights Baker Mayfield's road success: 13-4 ATS and 17-0 in six-point teasers (32:05-32:25).

Chargers’ Playoff Path: Seidenberg explores playoff machine scenarios but suggests losses in critical games will cost them (19:00-19:31).

Baltimore Ravens: Playoff Path and Stats

Lamar Jackson (26:06-26:37):

21/25 passing, 290 yards, 5 TDs against the Giants.

Fezzik highlights Baltimore’s yards-per-play differential of 1.5, making them “three times better” than Buffalo in this metric (26:06-26:29).

Playoff Path: Ravens must beat the Steelers and hope for a Steelers loss against Kansas City or Cincinnati (30:04-30:18).

Key Matchups and Line Discussions for Week 16

Buffalo Bills: 13.5-point favorites over New England (36:17-36:57).

Eagles vs. Commanders:

Line: Eagles -3; Fezzik believes it should be -4.5 based on power ratings (39:01-39:52).

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

...more

View all episodes

By Pregame.com

4.4

20212,021 ratings

December 17, 2024

NFL Recap NFL Week 15 + Week 16 Lookahead

1 hour 2 minutes

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 15 recap. The guys also talk some poker and much more.

Week 15 Overview: Boring Slate and Key Metrics

Scott Seidenberg laments the dullness of the early afternoon games, with few close contests, except the Jets-Jaguars matchup (1:55-2:45).

Mackenzie Rivers adds data: Winning teams averaged a 93.5% fourth-quarter win share, the highest in three years and third-highest in six years (3:14-3:44).

Notable Metrics:

Closest game: Jets vs. Jaguars.

49ers-Rams wasn’t close.

The NFL’s Poor Fundamentals

Steve Fezzik criticizes multiple teams for poor endgame decisions (4:03-4:55):

Example 1: Arizona failed to make a clear distinction between a 20- and 21-point lead.

Example 2: Atlanta gave the Raiders unnecessary time after an incompletion.

Quote Analysis (5:32-6:44):

Fezzik observes an “epidemic” of dropped passes. Puka Nacua, however, secures every catch because he “stares at the ball into his hands.”

Mackenzie Rivers attributes drops to receivers focusing on YAC (yards after catch), unlike older eras of “fundamentals.”

Game Analysis and Faulty Results

Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos

Steve Fezzik identifies this as a "faulty final" (7:25-7:37).

Turning Point: Jonathan Taylor fumbled with the Colts poised to lead 20-7, but Denver capitalized, outscoring Indianapolis 24-0 to win 31-13 (9:14-9:29).

Key Criticism: Denver’s poor sportsmanship and focus as a player unnecessarily celebrated a touchdown, risking a penalty (10:15-10:39).

Final Takeaway: Fezzik asserts both teams are fundamentally flawed and not playoff-worthy (10:54-11:04).

Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions

Scott Seidenberg argues the 48-42 final score is misleading, as Buffalo dominated (11:18-11:58).

Game Context: Detroit scored two late touchdowns; Buffalo maintained a 97% fourth-quarter win share.

Dan Campbell's controversial onside kick strategy reflects his lack of trust in Detroit's defense (12:20-12:28).

Team Insight:

Fezzik believes Detroit is the third-best team in the NFC North.

Injuries, including David Montgomery, diminish their playoff hopes (13:43-14:00).

Mackenzie predicts Minnesota wins the division (12:36-13:26).

Green Bay Packers Resurgence

Mackenzie Rivers praises Jordan Love’s improvement (14:30-14:51).

Jordan Love: Currently ranked 11th in PFF's QBR composite.

Scott Seidenberg adds context: Green Bay’s losses (Eagles, Vikings, Lions) are “respectable” (14:51-15:14).

Packers’ Super Bowl Odds: +1200; Mackenzie identifies eight realistic contenders, including the Packers and Ravens (15:37-15:52).

Best/Worst Performances

Best Performance (Bad Team): Dallas Cowboys (16:04-16:34).

Worst Performance: Carolina Panthers, who “reverted back” to their poor form.

Bryce Young’s turnovers and overall disarray highlighted why Carolina has been underdogs in 33 straight games (16:49-17:27).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Chargers

Tampa Bay Bucs dominated the Chargers 40-17.

Steve Fezzik highlights Baker Mayfield's road success: 13-4 ATS and 17-0 in six-point teasers (32:05-32:25).

Chargers’ Playoff Path: Seidenberg explores playoff machine scenarios but suggests losses in critical games will cost them (19:00-19:31).

Baltimore Ravens: Playoff Path and Stats

Lamar Jackson (26:06-26:37):

21/25 passing, 290 yards, 5 TDs against the Giants.

Fezzik highlights Baltimore’s yards-per-play differential of 1.5, making them “three times better” than Buffalo in this metric (26:06-26:29).

Playoff Path: Ravens must beat the Steelers and hope for a Steelers loss against Kansas City or Cincinnati (30:04-30:18).

Key Matchups and Line Discussions for Week 16

Buffalo Bills: 13.5-point favorites over New England (36:17-36:57).

Eagles vs. Commanders:

Line: Eagles -3; Fezzik believes it should be -4.5 based on power ratings (39:01-39:52).

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

...more

More shows like RJ Bell's Dream Preview

View all

Adam Carolla Show

37,020 Listeners

We're Alive

9,533 Listeners

Sports Gambling Podcast

1,513 Listeners

The Adam and Dr. Drew Show

8,698 Listeners

RHAP: We Know Big Brother

1,852 Listeners

Even Money: NFL Betting Podcast

659 Listeners

Beating The Book with Gill Alexander

461 Listeners

Bet The Board

1,834 Listeners

The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast

1,260 Listeners

LadyGang

11,177 Listeners

Court Junkie

8,577 Listeners

Off The Vine with Kaitlyn Bristowe

21,606 Listeners

Cold Case Files

8,713 Listeners

Deep Dive Gambling Podcast

409 Listeners

The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

1,416 Listeners

The Jordan Harbinger Show

11,979 Listeners

VSiN Best Bets

570 Listeners

The Charlie Kirk Show

49,321 Listeners

You Better You Bet

1,258 Listeners

The Betting Predators - Sports Betting Podcast

112 Listeners

The Early Edge: A Daily Sports Betting Podcast

780 Listeners

Big Bets On Campus

896 Listeners

VSiN College Football Betting Podcast

172 Listeners

Hit the Books

170 Listeners

Straight Outta Vegas AM

155 Listeners

Share NFL Recap NFL Week 15 + Week 16 Lookahead

Sign up to save your podcasts

NFL Recap NFL Week 15 + Week 16 Lookahead

NFL Recap NFL Week 15 + Week 16 Lookahead

More shows like RJ Bell's Dream Preview

Adam Carolla Show

We're Alive

Sports Gambling Podcast

The Adam and Dr. Drew Show

RHAP: We Know Big Brother

Even Money: NFL Betting Podcast

Beating The Book with Gill Alexander

Bet The Board

The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast

LadyGang

Court Junkie

Off The Vine with Kaitlyn Bristowe

Cold Case Files

Deep Dive Gambling Podcast

The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

The Jordan Harbinger Show

VSiN Best Bets

The Charlie Kirk Show

You Better You Bet

The Betting Predators - Sports Betting Podcast

The Early Edge: A Daily Sports Betting Podcast

Big Bets On Campus

VSiN College Football Betting Podcast

Hit the Books

Straight Outta Vegas AM