October 18, 2024

NFL Week 7 Player Props + MNF Preview !!

1 hour

Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider break down NFL Week 7 player props. Key Quotes and Analyses

Munaf Manji (0:02 - 1:02):

Munaf kicks off the show with a recap of his 5-1 success in player props through Week 6, emphasizing how his Monday Night Football prop for Brees Hall went over 14.5 rush attempts. He highlights this win as part of his excellent record.

Analysis: Munaf focuses on how in-depth research into coaching decisions (Jets’ decision to focus on the run game) helped nail this bet. His consistent approach shows the importance of understanding team strategy shifts.

Steve Reider (1:03 - 1:49):

Steve recounts his viral Twitter moment, explaining how his son disguised a pumpkin as Knicks’ Jalen Brunson, leading to retweets from Josh Hart and ESPN’s interest.

Analysis: While a lighthearted personal moment, Steve’s story draws parallels to how unexpected moments, much like in betting, can lead to widespread recognition.

Munaf Manji (2:26 - 4:33):

Munaf transitions into discussing the trade of Davante Adams to the New York Jets. He predicts the reunion with Aaron Rodgers will spark the Jets' offense, although he expresses uncertainty about the trade's impact on the Jets’ Super Bowl aspirations.

Analysis: Munaf underscores that the trade might not immediately push the Jets into contention, but it could create synergy between Adams and Rodgers, potentially bolstering their playoff hopes.

Steve Reider (4:34 - 5:41):

Steve notes that while the Jets may not be Super Bowl contenders yet, they needed a major move like acquiring Adams. He suggests the team’s goal is more about maintaining face and playoff hopes rather than winning it all this season.

Analysis: Steve believes the Jets are pot-committed to short-term gains, even if Adams’ impact might not be fully felt immediately. The emphasis here is on momentum building within the organization.

Player and Team Statistics Analysis

Brees Hall:

Rush attempts in the last game: 16, over the 14.5 prop line.

Munaf’s take: Hall was integral to Jets’ success due to a shift in coaching strategy that emphasized running, a key insight that led to the successful bet.

Davante Adams Trade:

Moving to the Jets to pair with Aaron Rodgers.

Key Insight: While this may not make the Jets Super Bowl favorites, it does elevate their offensive potential, particularly with the familiarity between Adams and Rodgers.

Amari Cooper Trade:

Traded from the Browns to the Bills, filling the void left by Stefon Diggs.

Munaf’s take: This was a necessary move for the Bills, who needed a strong receiver, but Cooper’s lack of recent production raises questions about his immediate impact.

Monday Night Football Preview

Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

Munaf: Predicts a high-scoring game, especially after the Buccaneers’ offensive explosion last week (51 points against the Saints). He feels the Ravens are in prime position, having won four straight after a tough start.

Steve: Leaning toward the Buccaneers due to the +3.5 spread, but hesitates due to the Ravens' strong run defense and Lamar Jackson's ability to win NFC matchups.

Sleepy J: Sides with the Ravens, stating they may soon be recognized as the best team in the league.

Key Player Props for Week 7

Geno Smith:

Prop: Over 259 passing yards

Steve’s analysis: Geno has exceeded this number in five straight games, and with the Falcons’ weak pass rush, Smith should have a big game.

Drake May:

Prop: Over 204 passing yards

Sleepy J’s analysis: May is expected to have a breakout game against the Jaguars' struggling defense, which ranks near the bottom in the league.

Joe Mixon:

Prop: Over 62.5 rushing yards

Steve’s take: Mixon has been a key part of the Texans' offense since the trade, especially after recovering from injury. He expects a heavy workload due to the Packers’ defense.

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By Pregame.com

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