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In this edition of the podcast, we update our latest views on sectors and key takeaways from our October RBC analyst outlook survey. Three big things you need to know: First, in our latest survey, taken in early October 2022, our analysts had a slightly positive tilt in their outlooks for performance over the next 6-12 months, with a modestly positive view on valuations and a slightly positive tilt on the state of demand. The most constructive performance outlooks were found in Energy and Health Care, followed by REITs, then Financials, Tech, and Utilities which offset more pessimistic outlooks for Consumer Staples and Consumer Discretionary. There were some interesting shifts in some of these rankings. Second, our analysts don’t seem particularly focused on the mid-term elections, with most seeing the possibility of a split or Republican-led Congress as a neutral event for their industries. To the extent they see it as a relevant event, a good showing for Republicans is seen as the better outcome for their industries. Third, our analysts’ latest sector views support our own, ongoing US Equity Strategy overweights on Energy, Financials, Health Care, and Technology and our underweight on Consumer Staples. Our analysts’ views also support our decision – which we implemented on Monday – to upgrade Communication Services from underweight to market weight and to downgrade Consumer Discretionary from market weight to underweight.
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In this edition of the podcast, we update our latest views on sectors and key takeaways from our October RBC analyst outlook survey. Three big things you need to know: First, in our latest survey, taken in early October 2022, our analysts had a slightly positive tilt in their outlooks for performance over the next 6-12 months, with a modestly positive view on valuations and a slightly positive tilt on the state of demand. The most constructive performance outlooks were found in Energy and Health Care, followed by REITs, then Financials, Tech, and Utilities which offset more pessimistic outlooks for Consumer Staples and Consumer Discretionary. There were some interesting shifts in some of these rankings. Second, our analysts don’t seem particularly focused on the mid-term elections, with most seeing the possibility of a split or Republican-led Congress as a neutral event for their industries. To the extent they see it as a relevant event, a good showing for Republicans is seen as the better outcome for their industries. Third, our analysts’ latest sector views support our own, ongoing US Equity Strategy overweights on Energy, Financials, Health Care, and Technology and our underweight on Consumer Staples. Our analysts’ views also support our decision – which we implemented on Monday – to upgrade Communication Services from underweight to market weight and to downgrade Consumer Discretionary from market weight to underweight.
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