Why is everyone ignoring this one severe housing market trend, what does a 2008 crash predictor think will happen in 2025, and why are homes starting to sit longer on the market, even with mortgage rates starting to fall? Are all the headlines pointing to housing market havoc or a return to normalization where homes aren’t flying off the market like they were just a few years ago? We’re getting into it all in this headlines episode as we touch on four of the top housing market stories from this week and give our opinions on whether they’re hype or not.

First, a market-shifting trend has substantial side effects on the housing market. We’ve talked about this before, but many homebuyers are overlooking it. This trend could push people out of once-popular housing markets and into underrated areas that boast far more future-proofed benefits. What’s the trend we’re talking about? Tune in to find out!

We’re also discussing the increase in average days on market (DOM), why homes are sitting for longer, and whether this is something to be concerned about. Think moving to Washington, Texas, or Florida will save you money due to no income taxes? Think again because there are some serious downsides to no-income-tax states most investors don’t think about. Finally, we’re analyzing a 2008 crash predictor’s 2025 forecast—could he be right again? 

In This Episode We Cover

The one housing market trend hiding in plain sight that could become a considerable issue soon

A 2008 crash predictor’s take on the 2025 housing market and whether home prices will decline

Why so many people are reversing on the “great reshuffling” and moving away from sunny states

A sizable bump in homes sitting on the market and why it’s taking longer to sell

The serious downsides of buying/investing in a no-income-tax state

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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BiggerPockets Real Estate 895 - BiggerNews: How Climate is Exploding Insurance, Building, and Investing Costs

A market-shifting real-estate trend is hiding in plain sight

 Nearly Two-Thirds of Home Listings Have Been Sitting on the Market Longer Than a Month As Buyers Grapple With High Costs

 U.S. States With No Income Tax Aren’t as Affordable as You Might Think

 Housing analyst who predicted the 2008 home price crash weighs in on the current market

Grab Henry’s New Book, “Real Estate Deal Maker”

Jump to topic:

(00:00) Intro

(02:01) A Market-Shifting Trend 

(08:40) Average Days on Market Expand

(18:12) Downsides of No Income Tax

(27:53) 2008 Predictor’s New Forecast

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One of the most reliable recession indicators, the “Sahm Rule,” just issued a “yellow flag” for the economy. Even now, with low unemployment, high spending, and overall economic growth, we aren’t protected from a recession or economic downturn. Will the US economy be able to dodge this recession, and will the Fed be fast enough to save us from falling into a state of high unemployment and meager economic growth?

The Washington Post’s Heather Long joins us to share the latest data on the labor market, unemployment rate, Fed rate cuts, and why this particular recession indicator is going off now. First, we talk about why there is so much positivity in the job market and why most people won’t notice the cracks starting to form. With tech jobs getting slashed and government jobs growing, are we moving in the right direction?

Heather also explains a strong recession indicator, the “Sahm Rule,” and why it’s throwing up a “yellow flag” warning even with the hot job market. Finally, we’ll touch on interest rates, whether the Fed will actually come through with a rate cut this year, and how fast future rate cuts could come after the first.

In This Episode We Cover

The unemployment-based recession indicator that’s throwing up “yellow flags”

Which industries are hiring and which are firing in 2024

What the “unemployment rate” really means, and why most people get this wrong

Immigration’s HUGE effect on unemployment and how it may be skewing the numbers

The Fed’s tricky decision to make and whether rate cuts could help this situation

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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On The Market 168 - How to Prepare for a Recession in 2024

Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator

Read More from Heather

Grab the Book, “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing”

Jump to topic:

(00:00) Intro

(01:06) Good Time to Get a Job?

(04:50) Unemployment Rate Explained 

(07:59) Who's Losing Their Job?

(10:21) Recession "Yellow Flags" Emerge 

(16:56) Immigration's Huge Effect 

(21:05) Spending Still Going Strong?

(24:16) The Fed's Rate Cut Plans

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A new nationwide rent control proposal could cap rent increases for any landlord with a certain amount of properties. But will it actually pass? How would landlords survive when rents can only marginally increase each year while expenses continue to see double-digit percentage price growth? We’re getting into this story and a few more hard-hitting housing market headlines on today’s episode!

First, we’re talking about the new rent cap proposal coming straight from The White House. This could significantly affect anyone who owns a large real estate portfolio or plans to in the future. Is this proposal merely a grab for votes, or could it actually come to fruition? Next, great news for homebuyers, as mortgage rates fall once again, all while completed homes see a sizable boost. Is this a sign that a healthier housing market is to come?

Why are international buyers fleeing the US housing market? Could this end up helping first-time homebuyers who have to fight off less competition? Finally, we talk about the twenty hottest housing markets that are seeing a BIG increase in home viewership. If you own a home in one of these markets, it might be time to consider selling.

In This Episode We Cover

The newest rent cap proposal that could stop landlords from raising rents higher than five percent each year

Mortgage rates drop again, but are more rate cuts coming this year?

Increased housing inventory and signs of a healthier housing market forming

Why international homebuyers have had a significant pullback from the US housing market

The hottest markets in America and whether homeowners here should consider selling

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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Biden Proposes Rent Increase Limits, With Penalties for Landlords Who Don’t Listen

White House Plan to Limit Rent Increases Nationwide Reignites Debate

 Housing Market Gets Back-to-Back Good News

 Here's why international buyers are pulling way back from the U.S. housing market

 If You Live in One of These 20 Housing Markets, Consider Selling While It’s Still Hot

Grab Henry’s Newest Book, “Real Estate Deal Maker”

Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-237

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For the past four years, everyone, and we mean everyone, has been doing some form of home improvement. All your friends are redoing their kitchens, your spouse keeps asking when you can renovate the bathrooms, and your best friend just built their dream home office with—don’t get too excited—recessed lighting. This was the home renovation boom of the decade, and now, we could be at the tail end of it.

With home improvement spending starting to dip, interest rates keeping homeowners from big projects, and labor costs still sky-high, what happens when enough demand leaves the market? Do material prices fall as manufacturers try to lure homeowners back in? Will labor costs soften with contractors waiting for work? We brought on The Wall Street Journal’s Ryan Dezember to get some answers.

In today’s show, we discuss the boom and bust of lumber prices, why home renovations are starting to stall, what impact this could have on materials, and whether or not the home improvement spree will pick back up as new construction starts decline. If you’re planning a home renovation, you'll want to hear this episode before you begin.

In This Episode We Cover

An update on the home renovation industry and why demand is shrinking 

Labor costs and the factory-building boom that’s taking away all the contractors

The surprisingly old age of most American homes and why so many renovations happened

High interest rates and their effects on home improvement project spending

Whether or not we’re already in the home renovation “slowdown” and what could happen next 

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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BiggerPockets Real Estate 514 - How Small Landlords Can Beat the Hedge Funds

This Could Be the Year the Home-Improvement Boom Fizzles Out. Here's Why.

Deck Maker’s $450 Million Bet on America’s Renovation Boom

Grab “The Book on Estimating Rehab Costs”

Jump to topic:

(00:00) Intro

(02:36) The Home Renovation Boom

(06:58) The Labor Shortage Explained 

(10:51) Which Costs Are Rising the Most?

(14:44) High Rates Curb Demand 

(20:20) More Supply, Lower Prices? 

(25:59) Home Renovation Predictions 

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Airbnb bans escalate, a “tsunami” could be coming for this real estate niche, and “sinking” cities lead to skyrocketing insurance prices. The housing market changes every week, so we’re here to break down the headlines and sift through the hype so you know what could impact YOU. Dave Meyer and the entire On the Market panel are here to discuss four of the top real estate-related news stories from this week.

First, we discuss the commercial real estate credit crunch that could cause a “tsunami” in the office investing space. Next, one major European city will ban Airbnb by 2028 in an effort to give locals a better chance at buying their first home. Will it work, or is it just a move to get more votes? With the dust of the NAR settlement settling, homebuyers could face thousands in fees to work with an agent, but will this stop homebuying?

Before we go over our last headline, make sure you’re standing on solid ground because “sinking” cities are becoming the new norm. Is your home slowly sliding off a cliff? If so, your insurance costs could be rising even higher. We’ll get into this story and the rest of the relevant real estate news on this episode!

In This Episode We Cover

A world without Airbnb and whether the newest ban could actually help homebuyers

Another “tsunami” coming for real estate and whether there’s truth behind the hype

Private equity’s new plan to gobble up even more real estate as one niche suffers

More fees for homebuyers as agent commissions change, but will this have to be paid out of pocket?

“Sinking” cities causing rising insurance costs and sliding home values

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

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On The Market 201 - Breaking: NAR Settles for $418M, Buying and Selling Homes Could Change Forever

The commercial real estate credit crunch: ‘There’s a tsunami coming’

 What does a world without Airbnb look like?

 First-Time Homebuyers Could Face Thousands in New Costs Following NAR Settlement

 U.S. cities are sinking. Here’s what that means for homeowners

Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy”

Jump to topic:

(00:00) Intro

(01:47) A “Tsunami” Coming?

(12:47) The Airbnb Bans Begin 

(21:22) New Fees for Homebuyers? 

(28:20) Cities Are Sinking

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We might have just found the most under-the-radar real estate market of 2024. It’s got jobs, appreciation potential, and affordable homes, and it’s growing…fast! The best part? We’re not sure anyone has ever talked about this specific market, so we’re going to be the first. But you had better be fast; most investors might start looking up homes for sale in this market after this episode! Which market are we talking about, and why are we so excited? We’ll share all the details in today’s show!

We’ve asked the entire On the Market panel to each bring “under-the-radar” real estate markets to share on today’s show. Many of these markets are small(er) towns but boast some HUGE investing benefits you won’t find in big cities or the already-hyped areas. From Midwest cash flow to Southern healthcare hotspots and one town that our panel gets VERY excited about, any of these markets could help you build wealth WITHOUT having to fight off competition from other buyers.

If you’re still looking for an investing market, check out our new tool, Market Finder! Dave and his team designed this tool to help you easily identify your next market to invest in! Once you’ve found a market, check out properties with our Deal Finder tool!

In This Episode We Cover

Four of our favorite “under-the-radar” real estate markets nobody is talking about

The TINY town that could see massive growth as one huge employer makes big moves

The cash-flowing Midwest city with rock-bottom unemployment and strong rent growth AND appreciation

The small town in Texas that Kathy personally picked for her new build-to-rent investments

Why medium-term rentals and assisted living facilities could see BIG returns in this healthcare hotspot 

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Find Your Next Investing Market with BiggerPockets Market Finder

Get Your Next Deal Faster with BiggerPockets Deal Finder

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8 “Under the Radar” Housing Markets With Low Prices and High Cash Flow

Buy Henry’s Newest Book, “Real Estate Deal Maker”

Jump to topic:

(00:00) Intro

(03:03) 1. Underrated Midwest Market 

(09:33) 2. Small Town Texas Investing 

(18:50) 3. Southern Healthcare Hotspot 

(27:47) 4. Best Market Ever?

(36:22) Our Favorite Markets

Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-234  

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The housing market is “stuck” and may stay that way for the next two years. With low inventory, high mortgage rates, stunted demand, and high rents, it seems like there’s nowhere to go. If you’re a homeowner, this could mean good news, as price stability keeps your property value high. But, if you’re looking to buy a home or work in a real estate-related industry, this isn’t what you want to hear. What happens after 2026, and what changes will come to the housing market over the next two years? We’re breaking it all down in today’s headlines show!

First, we’re discussing why economists think the housing market will remain “stuck” until 2026 and what happens to housing prices along the way. Next, if you’re looking for deals, you’re in luck! We’re showcasing some of the “coldest” markets in the US that are seeing prices start to fall already. Is your home insurance bill killing your cash flow? We’re diving into a recent survey on the insurance “shock” hitting landlords and what investors MUST do now to account for rising prices. Speaking of rising prices, are rent prices crossing the affordability threshold for most renters? We’re getting into it all in this episode!

In This Episode We Cover

Why the housing market may stay “stuck” until 2026, and what happens after

Home price appreciation predictions and whether we’ll continue to see values increase

The “cold” real estate markets seeing price cuts and stagnant listings

How new and experienced investors can prepare for the insurance “shocks” that keep coming

Affordability updates and why rent prices may be peaking as tenants struggle to afford housing

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Grab Your Tickets to BPCon2024 in Cancún, Mexico

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On The Market 218 - These “Subtle Risks” Could Have Astronomical Impacts on Real Estate Expenses w/John Sheffield

The housing market is ‘stuck’ until at least 2026, Bank of America warns

 Want To Snag a Real Estate Deal? These 20 ‘Cold’ Markets May Be a Buyer’s Best Shot at a Bargain

 The home insurance shock hitting the housing market has landlords concerned, too

Renters Must Earn $66,120 to Afford the Typical U.S. Apartment. The Typical Renter Makes $11,000 Less Than That.

Jump to topic:

(00:00) Intro

(03:51) Housing Market “Stuck” Until 2026

(13:59) Markets Seeing Price Cuts

(19:49) Insurance “Shock” Hits Landlords 

(25:41) The Rent is Too High!

Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-233 

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The mortgage industry has just been through one of its biggest booms and busts, but some tech-first, cost-saving innovations could improve things for borrowers after this current cycle. During the low-interest rate environment, transactions were at record highs as borrowers rushed to refinance or buy homes at rock-bottom rates. But, once interest rates shot up, the volume stopped, and those in the mortgage industry saw their incomes plummet. Many had to raise prices to keep the lights on, making originating a mortgage even more expensive for borrowers. But things are changing—for the better.

Faith Schwartz from Housing Finance Strategies is here to unveil some of the groundbreaking changes the mortgage industry is making and how it could make getting a mortgage more accessible and cheaper for first-time homebuyers and investors. Faith even shares some new loan products we didn’t know about, from mortgages that help low-money-down borrowers to products that allow access to equity without refinancing or using a HELOC (home equity line of credit).

With mortgage origination costs around a whopping $13,000, Faith walks through the new technology that could dramatically reduce this high price for borrowers and lenders. Plus, an AI and high-tech push from the government could completely flip this often archaic system. If you invest in real estate, want to invest, or work in a real estate-related service, this will seriously impact you!

In This Episode We Cover

Tech-first solutions that could make originating mortgages cheaper and faster

The massive boom and subsequent bust that led to today’s struggling mortgage industry 

Why originating a loan is SO expensive, and the fees that could be eliminated in the future

How the Federal government is creating new policies that help struggling buyers

New loan products that can assist first-time homebuyers and those with untapped home equity

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Find a Lender

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On The Market 220 - Top Lenders Share “Good News” for Mortgage Rates + Trending Investor Loans

Connect with Faith on LinkedIn

Jump to topic:

(00:00) Intro

(01:39) The "Perfect Storm" Mortgage Industry 

(06:45) Mortgage Businesses Going Under?

(08:55) The True Cost of a Loan

(12:49) Government-Fueled Innovation 

(17:33) Saving Homeowners During the Pandemic 

(23:04) Tech-First Mortgages Are Coming

(25:54) New Loan Products to Know About

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Zillow’s latest housing market forecast shows a decline in home prices over the next year after a very slow spring homebuying season. While spring is traditionally the hottest time of the housing market, with more sellers and buyers hitting the market at once, this year was stunted significantly. Will this trend continue as housing inventory remains at rock-bottom levels, or are things gradually improving, with a return to normalcy in sight? We’ve got Dr. Skylar Olsen, Chief Economist at Zillow, on to share the latest forecast and which markets could be in trouble.

With mortgage rates still hovering around seven percent, homebuyers and sellers are stuck. Sellers don’t want to trade into a more expensive mortgage payment, and buyers can’t afford today’s median home price. As a result, some under-the-radar, affordable real estate markets are seeing home and rent prices increase, while some traditionally hot markets are already seeing price corrections.

Where will the next correction hit, and which markets will have the most opportunity for real estate investors? Skylar explains it all, plus why Zillow updated their recent home price forecast to show a DROP in home values over the next year.

In This Episode We Cover

Zillow’s updated housing market forecast and why they’re predicting prices to drop

The spring homebuying season’s “extra slowdown” and why buying/selling is so stunted

Skylar’s 2025 housing market and mortgage rate predictions

What happens when mortgage rates get cut, and whether this could fire up the housing market again

The real estate markets seeing the most price corrections, plus hot markets Zillow is keeping an eye on

Markets with the strongest rent growth (for single-family AND multifamily investors)

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Find a Lender

Join BiggerPockets for FREE

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Episode Show Notes

Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel

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See Dave at BPCON2024 in Cancun!

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Dave's Instagram

Property Manager Finder

BiggerPockets Real Estate 959 - BiggerNews: 2024 Housing Market Update and Why Prices Are Still Rising

Access Zillow’s Free Housing Data

Jump to topic:

(00:00) Intro

(01:41) Homebuying Sees “Extra Slowdown”

(06:56) Homes Sitting Longer 

(08:39) More Inventory On the Way?

(13:42) Zillow Updates Forecast 

(18:17) Markets Seeing Price Corrections 

(21:35) Hot Markets 

(23:00) Where Rents Are Growing 

(27:10) Investors, Watch THIS

(29:53) 2025 Predictions 

Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-231

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“Super cities” are seeing a massive comeback in demand—one that most investors thought was impossible. With work-from-home being scaled back by many major companies, returning to downtown is a no-brainer for high-paid employees. With more amenities than the suburbs, younger workers are being enticed back into the office. And who’s winning with all this boomeranging demand? You guessed it—office investors. We brought CBRE’s Richard Barkham back to give us the latest update on how cities and office investors are faring.

Office investing has been heavily criticized over the past few years as vacancies exploded and tenant turnover became increasingly common. Office space was an easy target as remote work became the new norm. However, trends change, and Richard sees a massive investing opportunity in certain office space sectors. But which cities are worth investing in and around? What type of office investments are faring the best? And will we continue to see downtown demand rebound?

We’ll get into it all in this episode of On the Market. Plus, stick around to hear Richard’s predictions on interest rate cuts, whether or not we’ll achieve a “soft landing,” and what investors must be looking at NOW to make significant gains over the next few years.

In This Episode We Cover

The cities seeing the biggest influx in demand and why Americans are moving back to downtown

Why the “doom loop” scenario never came true, even though so many forecasters predicted it

The one type of office investing that could see a massive surge in demand over the next two years

Richard’s “number one investment strategy” of 2024-2025 that investors MUST look into

How residential real estate investors can take advantage of the rising demand for downtown housing

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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On The Market

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Hear Our Past Episodes with Richard:

On the Market 141 - The “Doom Loop” That Could Crash Commercial Real Estate

On the Market 179 - A “Year of Opportunity” to Come for Multifamily, Says CBRE’s Richard Barkham

Read CBRE’s Latest Reports:

Analysis of US Prime Office Buildings

Shaping Tomorrow’s Cities

Jump to topic:

(00:00) Intro

(01:24) Cities See Returning Demand 

(05:41) The "Doom Loop" Scenario 

(07:16) Offices Are Filling Up Fast

(11:24) #1 Investment Nobody is Thinking About

(15:37) Investing In and Around Cities 

(22:31) Rate Cuts and Economic Predictions 

(26:06) Investors MUST Do This

Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-230

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