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On The Market episodes
- Real Estate Has Finally “Bottomed,” Says Top Investing Expert
Has real estate finally bottomed? Ben Miller, CEO of Fundrise (managing over $7B in real estate), says it’s so. And he’s not just talking about commercial real estate. If true, one particular type of real estate investment could do exceptionally well over the next year, but most people (even Dave!) are going in a different direction. Where could the next big real estate boom happen? We’re getting into it!
To continue this prediction season, Ben joins us to walk through a few crucial economic outlooks that could greatly affect the housing market. From AI stunting hiring to inflation actually going down (below 2%!), American wage trends changing dramatically, and the assets that will perform best, we’re getting his take as someone who manages billions of dollars in real estate.
Want mortgage rates to go down? We need lower inflation, and Ben says there’s good news on the horizon for stable prices. New technology adoption could lead to much lower inflation (even deflation in some cases). Could this be what reignites the housing market as mortgage rates react to a more stable economy? Ben gives his full take, with some surprises even Dave wasn’t prepared for.
In This Episode We Cover
The bottom for real estate prices? Why Ben thinks it’s here (or very close)
The end of runaway inflation: How AI could kill the concern over rising costs
More Americans making less, and what happens when AI takes tens of millions of jobs
The one type of residential real estate that is poised to perform best in 2026
A new AI tool that could be pivotal for rental property investing research
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Get Tickets to the Cash Flow Roadshow!
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1059 - 2025’s Massive Opportunity for Real Estate Investing (Before It’s Too Late) w/Ben Miller
RealAI
Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-386
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
33 min - The Most Encouraging Sign in 3 Years | Dec. 2025 Housing Market Update
This could be the most encouraging sign for the housing market in years. It’s the final month of 2025, and the housing market has flipped from this time last year. Real prices are down, mortgage rates are near a percent lower, inventory is stabilizing, and affordability…it’s actually improving. But hints at a wave of underwater mortgages are making people nervous. With the number rising, is this the “distress” signal many have been waiting for?
We’re getting into it all: home price, mortgage rate, and inventory updates, plus a new seller trend that is causing serious confusion, and could be the final nail in the “housing market crash” coffin. With sellers doing what nobody expects, next year could get interesting.
More homeowners are falling “underwater” on their mortgages. Is this a 2008 repeat or just a blip on the real estate radar? Some economists are worried about rising delinquencies, but a high-level view of the data could point to an entirely different conclusion.
In This Episode We Cover
Sellers do what nobody expects, and it’s killing the “crash” narrative
Underwater mortgages are surging, but are homeowners really in danger?
The best news we’ve had in three years? A massive win for housing affordability
Mortgage rate momentum and whether now is the right time to refinance
The key affordability improvements we’ve seen since the start of 2025
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Property Manager Finder
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1207 - 2026 Mortgage Rate Predictions: This “X Factor” Could Change Everything
Redfin Housing Market Data
Mortgage Monitor
MarketWatch: Nearly 900,000 homeowners are underwater on their mortgage
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-385
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
35 min - Bold 2026 Predictions: A New "Land Rush" and the Real Recession Hits
Is this the year the real recession finally hits? Could a new “land rush” spark a buying spree throughout the U.S. for coveted dirt that makes investors millions? And why is one type of rental property owner about to sell off their homes, ready to give you a sizable discount?
We’re still in the swing of prediction season, so this time, we’re giving you our boldest 2026 housing market predictions yet. We’re not talking mortgage rate predictions or home price predictions (we’ve already done that). This time, we’re sharing which real estate could take off or break down—and which could make savvy investors rich, if they’re able to buy the right deals. Some opportunities (like one we’re sharing today) only happen once in a decade, and we’re already getting the jump on them.
Henry shares his insider secrets, noting that one specific type of rental is starting to hit the market as once-optimistic owners give up, opting to sell their properties without making a profit. This could be a huge opportunity to pick up homes in great shape and in solid markets at a discount. Dave talks about why this may be the year we finally get a recession and offers some cautious words of wisdom to everyone out there, as “chaos” might be in store.
In This Episode We Cover
A new land rush? The “opportunity” that is making investors buy the best-located dirt they can
Airbnb owners give up: why your next rental property might be a failed short-term rental
The “common person’s recession” that will have a massive impact on the economy
New “Big Beautiful Bill” changes that could make some investors very rich
The best year for new investors? Why 2026 could be the easiest time in years to invest in rental properties
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-384
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
32 min - Money Printing 2.0? The Fed’s New Emergency Measure
The biggest announcement of last week’s Fed meeting had nothing to do with rate cuts. Instead, a quiet, mostly overlooked statement from the Federal Reserve could mean huge things for the economy, mortgage rates, and most importantly, the housing market. The mainstream seems to have missed it, focusing on the obvious news, but we’re breaking down the Fed’s new emergency tactic to stabilize the economy.
What many thought would be a standard 0.25% rate-cut meeting was anything but. A fractured Fed, now split on rate cuts more than in prior years, has adopted a new tactic. Could this strategy be a return to a dangerous past—the days of “quantitative easing” (AKA money printing)? Or, does the Fed know what it’s doing, taking a more cautious approach than last time?
We’ll break down the entire Fed story and share some crucial updates on housing inventory and affordability. Some markets are entering 2026 strong, with significantly lower inventory than pre-pandemic levels. Others could correct (or even crash) harder. Dave gives his opinion on which are which, sharing the markets that will thrive and the ones where home prices could dive.
In This Episode We Cover
The Fed’s new emergency measure designed to stabilize the economy and interest rates
Money printing 2.0: Are we on a path back to dangerous quantitative easing?
New rate cut forecast for 2026 and 2027 directly from the Fed
The riskiest (and seemingly safest) real estate markets going into 2026
The most affordable city in the U.S., and why it could thrive next year
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find Investor-Friendly Lenders
A New Fed Chairman is Coming Soon—Here’s What Their Potential Low-Rate Policy Will Mean For Investors
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-383
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
39 min - The Return of “Easy” Real Estate Deals? 2026 Could Get Even Better
This might be the easiest time to find real estate deals in years—and early signs suggest 2026 could be even better.
The year is almost over, so today, we’re reviewing our favorite trends, tactics, and real estate investing strategies of 2025. Plus, many of them will last well into 2026. These are the things that we’re focusing on next year, and there’s a lot of good news for investors. This is shaping up to be one of the easiest times in years to find profitable real estate deals. But we’re not just talking rentals—we share a “mailbox money” investment that’s still holding strong in 2025 (and could in 2026).
Plus, Dave details a “slow” strategy that builds wealth with way less stress—one that both he and James are going all-in on. Tired of sharing your profits with the tax man? A massive tax benefit that returned this year will last into 2026, and Kathy is ready to take full advantage of it.
In This Episode We Cover
Why 2026 could be one of the easiest times to find real estate deals in years
Dave’s “slow” investing strategy is making (patient) investors rich into 2026
Don’t buy rentals! Be the bank instead with this strategy (sizable passive income)
Best tax break ever? It’s back, and it’s here to stay through 2026
Good news for first-time homebuyers, investors, and the entire country!
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1172 - How to Do a “Slow BRRRR” in 2025 (Better Than BRRRR)
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
James' BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Henry’s Book, "Real Estate Deal Maker"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-382
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
29 min - Demand Springs Back for Winter Deals, But First-Time Homebuyers Vanish
We’re only a week away from winter, but the housing market is heating back up. Demand is rising as savvy buyers know that lower prices peak during the holiday season. But one crucial cohort is nowhere to be found…and it could have damaging consequences for the housing market as a whole.
We’re back with another headline episode, taking the biggest stories from the housing market and giving our takes so you can make the best investing decision possible. This winter is feeling warmer for housing as demand does what no one expects—increases during the seasonally slow period of the year. What’s causing it—lower rates, FOMO, or something else entirely?
Remember when people in their 20s used to buy houses? Well…not anymore. The new first-time homebuyer age reached a worrying new high, one that many of us couldn’t even believe. DSCR loan defaults are starting to tick up, doubling from this time last year. Is this a bigger deal than many think, and could it bring discounted investment properties to the table?
Finally, Dave shares a sneak peek at BiggerPockets’ newest investor survey, where investors share what they think is coming in 2026…and there’s a lot to be excited about.
In This Episode We Cover
The new median age of America’s first-time homebuyers (borderline alarming)
Why housing demand is going up during the (traditionally) slowest time of the year
Delinquencies rising for DSCR loans? Why investors are defaulting twice as much as last year
A year of optimism: surprising finds from BiggerPockets’ newest investor sentiment survey
The #1 best strategy investors are betting on for 2026
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find Investor-Friendly Lenders
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1210 - 2026 Home Price Predictions: The Correction Continues?
Articles from Today’s Episode:
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
James' BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab the Book "Real Estate by the Numbers"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-381
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
36 min - Redfin: The Great “Reset” Starts in 2026
Redfin just called it. The housing market will “reset” in 2026…or at least it’ll be the start of it.
Chen Zhao, head of economics research and a returning guest on the show, has 11 predictions she and her team have formulated for the 2026 housing market. A long, slow period of progress could be upon us, as buyers get what they’ve been asking for: better affordability, a more normal market, and the chance to own where there’s work.
But what does this really mean? Will mortgage rates fall? Will home prices drop? We’re going through each of the 11 predictions with Chen, discussing prices, rates, rents, refinances, transaction volume, and even how AI could become the “matchmaker” for Americans looking for their first or next property.
Make no mistake, this is good news for many, and could be just the start of a cycle that finally puts average Americans in the position to purchase a home. But, for real estate investors and landlords, there could be another big benefit coming in 2026, one that has a direct impact on your cash flow.
In This Episode We Cover
Redfin’s 2026 housing market predictions (prices, mortgage rates, and more!)
The great “reset” that is coming for the housing market (it’s already begun)
Rent growth returns? Struggling landlords could get some relief next year
The best and worst real estate markets that Redfin is forecasting for 2026
The AI effect on real estate and why more buyers are using bots to find homes
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
Redfin’s 2026 Predictions: Welcome to The Great Housing Reset
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-380
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
40 min - The “K-Shaped” Economy: Why the Middle Class Is Getting Crushed
Stock prices are up, home prices are high, gold, silver, and bitcoin have all had major bull runs. But the average American is broke. This is the “K-shaped” economy.
If you feel like it’s harder to get by and the barrier to entry to invest is rising, you’re not going crazy. We’re in a new economy—a “K-shaped” economy—where those who own assets see their net worth soar as the middle class and average Americans watch their bank accounts shrink. This is not the place Americans want to be in right now, and the delicate balance that holds up our entire economy could fall apart sooner than we think.
Dave explains what a K-shaped economy is, how it could bleed into the housing market, and whether this feast-or-famine system can survive much longer. Plus, he’ll share a shocking statistic that shows just how hard things are for ordinary Americans, and how a tiny minority is holding up the entire economy.
In This Episode We Cover
A “K-shaped” economy explained, and why Americans feel broke as asset prices soar
A shocking statistic that shows just how unstable the American economy is
Housing market side effects and the surprising age of America’s first-time homebuyer
The widening wealth gap making investing harder for everyday people
The three things that are keeping the middle class struggling (and why it’s gotten worse)
Tough times ahead? Why America’s economy may be riding on billionaires and bubbles
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
On The Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Redfin Reports U.S. Luxury Home Prices Jump 5.5% in October, Triple the Pace of Non-Luxury Homes
Grab the Book, "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-379
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
38 min - The “Delisting” Wave Putting Years of Housing Market Gains at Risk
Years of housing market gains could be at risk, and it’s not because of mortgage rates, the Fed, or the US government…it’s because of sellers.
Since 2022, we’ve seen housing inventory rise, home prices stabilize (and fall in many major markets), and affordability slightly improve for buyers (thanks to higher supply and lower demand). But now, a new wave of “delistings” could put the future of the housing market in jeopardy. Sellers are refusing to settle, and they’re walking away at the fastest pace in eight years.
So, what’s next? A housing crash? A continued correction? If the delistings continue, one scenario could come to fruition, and it’s not what buyers want to hear. Dave walks through the new delistings data in this episode and shares some startling statistics on just how bad things are for young Americans. If the next generation can’t buy or rent a home…what happens to the economy?
In This Episode We Cover
The “delisting” wave hitting an eight-year high and putting years of affordability gains at risk
Correction or crash? Why sellers are far less desperate than most people think
Markets with the most delistings and where inventory could start to reverse first
Cracks in the US economy and the trouble that young Americans are in
Lower rent growth for longer? What happens when college graduates CAN’T get a job (or rent an apartment/house)?
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers”
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-378
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
33 min - The “Great Stall” Has Begun
The housing market is not going to crash tomorrow. It’s also not going to boom soon. We’re not in 2008, and we’re also not in 2020. We’re in a strange gray area, a zone that most Americans have never experienced before.
We’re entering the “Great Stall.” And this could last for years.
All data points to a new kind of housing market forming. But why, and why now? Is there any chance of a housing crash or home price explosion like before? Yes, but Dave is going to break down the odds of each scenario, plus what to do in the most likely scenario, while home prices stagnate and mortgage rates stay relatively high.
If you want to take advantage of the “Great Stall,” so that when home prices do go back up you’ll profit, there are four things you need to do. We’ll break down each step so you can prepare and pounce on the investment property that makes your future self wealthy.
The “Great Stall” is here, and when it’s over, millions of Americans will wish they had bought.
In This Episode We Cover
Crash, boom, or plateau? The most likely scenario for home prices over the next few years
How to prepare for the “Great Stall” and take advantage of frozen home prices
The “upsides” you must look for that could explode your wealth when appreciation returns
Why you need to start going “risk-off” in your investing to protect your wealth
What will finally cause home prices to rebound and Americans to get back into the market
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
On The Market 365 - This Housing Correction Could Last Years
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Build Your Investing Strategy BEFORE You Buy with "Start with Strategy"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-377
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
32 min
About On The Market
From the publisher's feed
Stay informed so you can invest with confidence. Join Dave Meyer, James Dainard, Kathy Fettke and Henry Washington for analysis of the news and economics driving today’s real estate market.
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