OpenAI just announced o3 and smashed a bunch of benchmarks (ARC-AGI, SWE-bench, FrontierMath)!

A new Anthropic and Redwood Research paper says Claude is resisting its developers’ attempts to retrain its values!

What’s the upshot — what does it all mean for P(doom)?

00:00 Introduction

01:45 o3’s architecture and benchmarks

06:08 “Scaling is hitting a wall” 🤡

13:41 How many new architectural insights before AGI?

20:28 Negative update for interpretability

31:30 Intellidynamics — ***KEY CONCEPT***

33:20 Nuclear control rod analogy

36:54 Sam Altman's misguided perspective

42:40 Claude resisted retraining from good to evil

44:22 What is good corrigibility?

52:42 Claude’s incorrigibility doesn’t surprise me

55:00 Putting it all in perspective

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SHOW NOTES

Scott Alexander’s analysis of the Claude incorrigibility result: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/claude-fights-back and https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/why-worry-about-incorrigible-claude

Zvi Mowshowitz’s analysis of the Claude incorrigibility result: https://thezvi.wordpress.com/2024/12/24/ais-will-increasingly-fake-alignment/

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