Poll Hub

With the deadline to file the questionnaire for the 2020 U.S. Census imminent, the Department of Commerce’s decision to include a question about citizenship is drawing ire.

In this episode of Poll Hub, the team gets at the heart of the controversy, discusses the stakes for including the question, and clears up the confusion about the history of the U.S. Census.

Then, it’s opening day for Major League Baseball. Poll Hub shares the latest Marist Poll numbers about baseball fans and a proposed rule change which would begin extra innings with a man on second base. Plus, a report from on the ground at spring training from special correspondent John Sparks. Let’s play ball!

This spring Dr. Lee Miringoff, Director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, is bringing four distinguished guests to the Marist College campus in Poughkeepsie, New York for public conversations about 1968. We’ll talk about the war, civil rights, political upheaval and other issues that framed 1968 and how it relates to our current political climate. Our first guest was E.J. Dionne who is a syndicated columnist at The Washington Post and a Senior Fellow at The Brookings Institution. E.J. has been an insightful voice into cultural and political issues over the past several decades and is the author of numerous books including his most recent, “One Nation After Trump” written with Norman Ornstein and Thomas Mann. Our discussion took place in the Hancock Center here at Marist in front of an audience that included students, alumni, faculty and staff. This is a portion of the conversation.

The entire event was streamed live on Facebook as will future conversations with Bob Herbert, Lynn Novick and Jeff Greenfield. You can watch at our Facebook Page and if you follow us there, you’ll be notified when our next session goes live.

Tomorrow marks one month since the horrific school shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida. To remember those lost and to protest gun violence, students across the country are expected to walk out of their classrooms for 17 minutes.

In this episode of Poll Hub, the team uses the latest Marist Poll data to contextualize the scheduled protest. Do Americans think students who participate in the walkout should be punished by their schools? Do residents believe the Parkland students who are speaking out against gun violence will have an impact on the debate over guns, and are Americans more likely to support companies that dissociate themselves from the National Rifle Association?

The latest Marist Poll has President Donald Trump’s approval rating at 42%, his highest approval rating since taking office. In this week’s edition of Poll Hub, the crew provides an in-depth look at the factors driving the president’s improved standing and responds to the critiques of the poll’s methodology. Plus, Americans have spoken on the question of taxing steel and aluminum imports. Where do they stand? Poll Hub shares the latest findings.

Then, CNN’s Harry Enten argues that President Trump may be unpopular, but his support is actually on the rise. Why there is a small flaw in our dear friend’s logic.

A recent Washington Post analysis by Philip Bump asserts Democrats are more likely to say they approve of President Donald Trump’s job performance when they respond to a poll conducted online or via IVR than by telephone. In turn, Bump argues, the president’s job approval rating is higher in polls conducted online rather by phone.

In this episode, the Poll Hub team debunks Bump’s analysis through an in-depth discussion of social desirability, mode effects, and a study from the Pew Research Center and explains why omitting house effects from the analysis of survey research is dangerous.