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Case detections are declining on a moving-average basis in Jakarta and, more recently, nationwide.  Jeff and Kevin discuss the trends and the restrictions outlook in light of a newly released study of antibody prevalence in Jakarta.  Also: findings from the Survey Institute (LSI) regarding President Widodo’s approval rating and public perceptions about vaccination.  Finally, CGM CIMB Securities Head of Indonesia Research Erwan Teguh joins the pod to assess economic conditions, shed light on the state of the banks and consider the impact of mobility curbs on the informal sector.

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Bob Herrera Lim, Southeast Asia risk analyst for the consultancy Teneo, places Indonesia’s precipitous, unabated case spike in a regional context.  With the most vaccinated people per capita in the region (save Singapore), Indonesia poses a test for how well Sinovac’s Coronavac vaccine fares against the now predominant Delta variant.  And while a public health crisis in Malaysia precipitated the downfall of a government, the same is hardly likely in Indonesia.  Plus: Jeff and Kevin discuss the hot topic of credit-card usage among Pertamina directors and the tenuous role of Basuki Purnama ('Ahok') as the state oil company’s president commissioner.

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With Java in the grip of a long-dreaded case spike fuelled by the Delta variant, the government is attempting to impose the strictest curbs applied to date.  Jeff and Kevin review the latest conditions and examine the implications.  Also: a round-up of political and justice issues including a test of free speech, charges for a former minister, the Omnibus’s first court test and the Chamber of Commerce undergoes change.

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Several countries have higher daily caseloads, but Indonesia has the sharpest spike underway.  Many delta-driven transmissions may be going undetected, especially with patients queuing for beds in hospitals on Java.  Tighter restrictions take effect on 2 June, but should the president do more?  Jeff and Kevin discuss the pandemic with the University of Indonesia Professor of Epidemiology Dr. Pandu Riono.  He critiques cabinet decision-making and discusses the manning of makeshift emergency hospitals.  Also: what case trends among fully vaccinated healthcare workers reveal about the ‘delta resilience’ of Coronavac.

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Simon Flint, The 1,000 Days Fund Co-Founder explains the causes and effects of below-par growth in under-fives – something that affects nearly one in three Indonesian children.  He explores the role for NGOs in supporting the Widodo Administration’s high-profile anti-stunting campaign.  Also: Jeff and Kevin discuss the case spike, the government’s assorted handling efforts, and implications for the economy – as well as the latest presidential poll data from Saiful Mujani Research (SMRC).

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Charlie McCann, The Economist’s regional correspondent covering Myanmar, illuminates conditions endured by the Burmese, prospects for change and the role played to date by neighbors including Indonesia.  She details economic deterioration, civil disobedience, and trends in the conflict between a People’s Defense Force (PDF) and Gen Hlaing’s Tatmadaw.  Certain distinctive traits of the military are key drivers of the grim dynamics. 

Also: Jeff and Kevin discuss havoc in PDI Perjuangan’s leadership, mixed proposals on civil liberties, yet more amendment noise, and the emergence of the long-dreaded post-holiday Covid uptick.

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The province that arguably constitutes Indonesia's political heartland gave rise to the current president as well as a potential successor: Gov Ganjar Pranowo, who joins the podcast to delve into the management of his giant region - including the pandemic, welfare, investment, the environment, and governance. Also: Kevin and Jeff examine a failed waste-to-energy project and a grandiose defense procurement proposal.

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Our exclusive interview with the renowned anti-corruption investigator examines conditions within the independent commission and considers what might lie in store.  Jeff and Kevin discuss President Widodo’s positioning on the dismantling of the KPK and how it affects operating conditions for investors.  Also: a welcome Tax Amnesty clarification from the finance minister; energy planners embrace renewables, and surging trade trends bode well for growth.

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Robert Blake, the former US ambassador, enumerates factors that are slowing deforestation and examines prospects for US-Indonesia engagement on climate change.  Also: Jeff and Kevin assess a portentous Ganjar-Puan rift, a bold tax initiative and an exceedingly complex gas-to-chemicals project.

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Heroic investigators handed non-jobs in personnel winnowing.  Also: With nominating decisions just two years away, top provincial heads are clearly striving to elevate their nationwide profiles and boost their poll rankings.  At stake is the fundamental direction of Indonesia's democratization.  Also: healthcare preparations for anticipated post-holiday transmissions.

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