Reformasi Dispatch

Justices demanded corrections to the Omnibus Law on Job Creation - but Jeff and Kevin discuss how this may actually be a win for President Widodo and conditions for investment in manufacturing.  Also: preparations for the inevitable arrival of the Omicron variant.  And Murdoch University's Ian Wilson joins the pod to assess the state of the paramilitary-style gang Pemuda Pancasila in the wake of a violent altercation with police.

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This episode of the Reformasi Dispatch Podcast honors the departed Jakarta-based journalist Joe Cochrane, who covered Indonesia with inimitable style for over 20 years.  Also: will fisheries reform flounder?  And a roundup of key cabinet‑reshuffle scenarios and the energy minister’s latest pronouncements about transition from coal. 

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Gecko Project investigators Margareth Aritonang and Tom Johnson join Reformasi Dispatch to detail Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto’s policy to clear forest for cassava plantations in Gunung Mas District, Central Kalimantan.  The team examines the corporate structure, commercial aspects, potential conflicts of interest, and risks posed for Indonesia’s credibility on resource management.  Also: Kevin and Jeff discuss a small step towards a Prabowo Puan ticket and the wealth disclosure form of newly designated Military Chief Gen Andika Perkasa.'

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Also, check out Gecko Project's investigation here: https://thegeckoproject.org/politically-connected-firm-seeks-to-profit-as-indonesian-government-cuts-down-orangutan-habitat-ab7b5a398c17

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Former Solo Mayor FX Hadi Rudyatmo, a confidante of the president, brazenly defied PDI¬-Perjuangan Chair Megawati and openly endorsed Central Java Gov Ganjar Pranowo for president.  Will this finally bring the internal PDI-P impasse to an end and give impetus to nominating maneuvers?  In any event, circumstances confer an advantage on Ganjar.  Plus: the implications of state funding for the Indonesia-China Fast Train (KCIC) linking Jakarta and Bandung and Lt Gen (ret) Agus Widjojo prompts renewed discussion of the military’s proper role in civil life.

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CrossAsean equity analyst Angus Mackintosh rejoins Reformasi Dispatch to review Grab's IPO preparations, machinations among tech giants and digital trends in the Indonesian market (including an e-grocery boom).  Jeff and Kevin have a look at three abrupt developments with positive implications: a continued dwindling of Covid case detections, a swiftly passed tax law, and poll momentum for Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo, who achieved a virtual tie with the Defense Minister.

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Strategic rivalry finally engulfs ASEAN and Jakarta's policymakers must examine their choices.  Joining the pod is the National University of Singapore scholar Evan Laksmana.  Also: Jeff and Kevin discuss developments in three politically significant corruption cases, prospects for re-opening Bali, and acrimony between the administration and mainstream NGOs.

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Policymakers seem exceedingly slow to embrace the mounting advantages of photo-voltaic technology for Indonesia's pressing energy needs.  The head of the Institute for Essential Services Reform (IESR) details the compelling logic for supplanting coal with solar power.  Also: the Aukus pact directly benefits Indonesia by helping ward off one-power hegemony. Plus: prospects for a limited cabinet reshuffle and a landmark verdict on air pollution control.

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The head of Indonesia’s premier institute on infectious disease joins the pod to explain the Merah Putih Vaccine program and discuss prospects for subsequent waves of infections.  Covid related topics include clinical trials, boosters, genome sequencing work, and new variants.  Also:  Amnesty amnesia?  Prone to confusion, new tax compliance initiatives could go awry.  Jeff and Kevin also discuss the KPK’s latest litmus test and two legal system calamities: the penitentiary fire in Tangerang and the abuse of Ahmadiyah in Sintang.  And finally, the Constitutional amendment initiative's denouement.

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HSBC’s regional economist for Asean joins the pod to look at how Indonesia can preserve confidence and restore fiscal prudence despite having extended its extraordinary debt financing through 2022.  Apropos the matter, Jeff and Kevin review developments in parliament’s 2007 General Tax Law revision, which business interests are resisting.  Also discussed: what the acquittal of the coal tycoon Samin Tan reveals about the state of anti-corruption efforts and the unprecedented machete attack on an Army outpost in the Bird’s Head Peninsula, just weeks prior to national games in Jayapura.

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.Also: Prof Noor Ismail on domestic terror networks.  Also discussed: PAN joins Widodo's alliance and the first of a two-part segment on extraordinary debt financing or 'burden sharing'.

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