On this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, hosts Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss recent market trends and significant movements, focusing on AI stocks like Nvidia and their earnings impacts. They delve into the consumer landscape through the lens of major retailers like Walmart and the overall health of the consumer amidst rising delinquency rates. The conversation extends to macroeconomic indicators, including the CME Fed Watch tool and rate cut expectations, as well as insights from industry leaders like Harvey Schwartz of the Carlyle Group. The hosts also explore the implications for companies like Oracle, Intel, and Dell in the current economic climate.

Show Notes

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Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital. They discuss a range of topics including market volatility, AI investment trends, consumer spending patterns, and economic forecasts. Calvasina highlights the increasing nervousness among investors regarding high valuations and the potential impact of delayed Fed rate cuts. She notes the importance of monitoring CapEx and regulatory changes, especially as they pertain to AI and tech sectors. The conversation touches on geopolitical dynamics with China and the upcoming US midterm elections, emphasizing their potential market implications. The session is rich with insights into the current market climate, investor sentiment, and future economic expectations.

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Help Support CME Group's Charitable Efforts By Donating To St. Jude Children's Research Hospital

Guy Adami and Dan Nathan are joined by Terry Duffy, CEO and Chairman of CME Group, at the CME Group Tour Championship in Naples, Florida. They discuss a range of topics including Bitcoin, gold, equities, and market correlations, offering insights into the current financial landscape. The conversation highlights the role of CME’s initiatives in retail trading, emphasizing the company's efforts in prediction markets and partnerships with platforms like Robinhood and FanDuel. Other key points include the evolution of market structure, the significance of the ten-year bond, and the increasing relevance of gold and crypto assets. Additionally, Duffy reflects on his leadership style, institutional trust, and future challenges and opportunities in finance.

Terry's Story on SBF

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Guy Adami and Liz Thomas of SoFi discuss a range of topics including recent Japanese economic trends, the impact of a potential Japanese stimulus on global equities, and the weakening yen. They examine the relationships between various market indicators and their departures from expected norms. They touch on the volatility index and interpret recent movements in the stock market. Other key points include the influence of mortgage rates and housing affordability on the economy, the potential effects of upcoming non-farm payroll reports, and PMI services/manufacturing indices. The podcast also digs into consumer sentiment and Bitcoin's decoupling from gold and its strong correlation with Nasdaq. Additionally, Elizabeth shares insights about her conversation with Jenny Harrington on her own podcast, focusing on dividend investing and personal finance stories.

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In this RiskReversal podcast episode, Guy Adami and Peter Boockvar discuss recent market trends, including the shifts in AI dominance and financial stresses at Oracle. They analyze the stock market's reaction to Meta's spending and the implications for data center build-outs. The conversation covers the competitive landscape with AI and the potential overrates in hardware infrastructure. They also discuss the unusual dynamics in the US economy and the job market's deceleration, touching on Bitcoin's correlation with other assets. Finally, they explore the bullish outlook on energy stocks and the rebound in big-cap pharma amid regulatory clarity.

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform.

Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet:

Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not

In this episode of the Risk Reversal Podcast, hosts Guy Adami and Dan Nathan sit down with Jenny Just and Matt Hulsizer of PEAK6 at the Ascend Innovation Summit in Austin, Texas. The discussion explores their backgrounds in options trading at O'Connor and Associates, the evolution of retail trading, and the significance of democratizing finance. The conversation also touches on the role of technology in trading, the importance of culture in maintaining business integrity, and how PEAK6 leverages these elements in various ventures, including Apex Fintech Solutions. Additionally, the episode features a segment with Bill Capuzzi, CEO of Apex, who discusses the impact of fintech innovations and the convergence of traditional and decentralized finance.

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Dan Nathan and Gene Munster discuss upcoming earnings for Nvidia and the recent trends in the technology and AI domain for major companies including SoftBank's sell-off of Nvidia shares. They also wrap up Q3 earnings for the 'Mag Seven' tech giants such as Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Google, and Apple. They address key points about Microsoft's Azure growth, Meta's controversial spending on AI, Amazon's financials amidst AWS growth, Google's AI-driven search improvements, and Apple's forthcoming AI developments. The market's recent shift favoring AI-related stocks and the debate over Amazon's strategic investments without their own AI models are also covered. They conclude by emphasizing the significant role of Nvidia's next report and its effect on AI market sentiment.

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Dan Nathan and Deirdre Bosa, CNBC's Tech Check host, delve into key topics around AI technology and investments. They discuss the growing influence of Chinese open-source AI models and compare US and Chinese AI CapEx spending, drawing on insights from a Bloomberg tweet thread. The conversation highlights China's commoditization strategy in AI and its implications for US-China tech competition. They also scrutinize tech companies like Core Weave, Meta, and AMD, examining their financial strategies, AI ambitions, and market performance. The challenges of power constraints, valuation concerns, and investor sentiment shifts in the AI and tech sectors are thoroughly explored.

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Guy Adami is joined by Liz Thomas from SoFi to discuss the potential end of the government shutdown and its market implications. They explore how the market is reacting positively despite the shutdown's minimal sell-off impact. The discussion also covers the possibility of missing economic data due to the shutdown and its consequences on the market and Federal Reserve decisions. The duo debates the Federal Reserve's December rate cut outlook, inflation concerns, and the labor market's current state. They also touch on seasonality effects, gold and Bitcoin market movements, and anticipated year-end market behaviors. Liz hints at her upcoming 2026 outlook, focusing on growing tail risks in the market.

Dan Nathan and Deirdre Bosa discuss recent developments in the tech and AI sectors on the Risk Reversal podcast. Deirdre returns after a three-month maternity leave to a significantly changed market landscape, with the NASDAQ up 14% and the S&P 500 up 10%. The conversation focuses on the rapid growth and potential bubbles in the AI market, including emerging threats from Chinese AI models and the competition between leading tech companies like Nvidia, Google, AMD, and OpenAI. They also explore specific deals, such as Apple's new arrangement with Google to power Siri and Snap's collaboration with Perplexity. The episode touches on the economic impact of AI, the ongoing US-China AI race, and investor sentiments. The upcoming challenges and opportunities in the AI sector, both in the US and China, are considered in-depth, alongside broader market implications.

After the break, Dan and Guy are joined by Shannon Murphy, Head of Research at iConnections. Shannon shares her journey from academia to Wall Street, and eventually to iConnections, discussing her unique background in theology and its impact on her approach to behavioral finance. The conversation delves into the iConnections platform, which facilitates connections between asset allocators and capital seekers through innovative technologies, including AI. Shannon provides insights into the significant capital flows observed within the platform, driven by evolving market conditions and strategies. The episode also highlights the platform’s global reach and growing interest in diverse investment opportunities across various regions.

Show Notes