RJ Bell's Dream Preview

By Pregame.com

Winning sports picks from Las Vegas. Everything you need for free on the biggest games each week from Pregame.com's Wiseguy Roundtable. Alongside your host RJ Bell, we have professional bettor Steve ... more

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February 06, 2025Super Bowl 59 Props & More !!
Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider talk Super Bowl 59 player props and much more.
Super Bowl 59 Props & Predictions: Transcript Summary📌 Overview:
The Super Bowl 59 Props & More podcast on RJ Bell’s Dream Preview was hosted by Munaf Manji with analysts Steve Reider and SleepyJ. The discussion revolved around Super Bowl 59 props, player performances, and final game predictions.
🎯 Key Takeaways:1️⃣ Player Prop Bets
The hosts provided in-depth analysis of various player performance bets, including receptions, yardage totals, and touchdown scorers.
🔹 Travis Kelce (Chiefs) – Under 6.5 Receptions
SleepyJ (3:01 - 4:22): Suggested betting the under due to Philadelphia’s strong tight-end defense.
Steve Reider (4:58 - 6:34): Agreed but preferred under Kelce’s total yardage over receptions.
Munaf Manji (4:23 - 4:58): Noted the Chiefs' numerous offensive weapons, which could limit Kelce's targets.
🔹 DeAndre Hopkins (Chiefs) – Under 1.5 Receptions
Steve Reider (4:58 - 6:34): Highlighted Hopkins' low usage (3 targets, 1 reception in playoffs).
Predicted public betting over, making under a smart contrarian play.
🔹 Samaje Perine (Chiefs) – Over 7.5 Receiving Yards
Munaf Manji (6:34 - 8:41): Perine exceeded this total in 14 of 17 regular-season games.
SleepyJ (8:42 - 10:56): Pointed out Andy Reid’s tendency to involve multiple players in Super Bowls.
🔹 Dallas Goedert (Eagles) – Over 52.5 Receiving Yards
Munaf Manji (12:35 - 13:43): Stated the Chiefs struggle against tight ends.
Steve Reider (13:44 - 14:58): Considered over 4.5 receptions as another good bet.
🔹 Saquon Barkley (Eagles) – Under 114.5 Rushing Yards
Steve Reider (13:44 - 14:58): Noted Chiefs' strong run defense and Spagnuolo’s game planning.
Munaf Manji (14:59 - 16:27): Expected Chiefs to force Jalen Hurts to win with his arm.
2️⃣ Touchdown Scorer Bets
The panel discussed the best bets for anytime touchdown scorers.
🔹 Jalen Hurts (Eagles) – Anytime TD (-110)
SleepyJ (16:28 - 18:02): 12 rushing TDs in 18 games. The “tush push” makes him a strong bet.
Steve Reider (18:29 - 19:36): Agreed, mentioning Hurts' 18 total rushing TDs.
🔹 Travis Kelce (Chiefs) – Anytime TD (+140)
Munaf Manji (19:36 - 21:18): Stressed Mahomes targets Kelce heavily in the red zone.3️⃣ Same Game Parlay (SGP)
Each host contributed one leg to a Super Bowl SGP bet:
SleepyJ (21:19 - 22:50): Eagles Over 5.5 Players to Record a Reception
Steve Reider (22:58 - 23:45): Dallas Goedert Over 4.5 Receptions
Munaf Manji (23:46 - 25:48): Over 2.5 Total Rushing Touchdowns
4️⃣ Best Bet: DeVonta Smith Over 51.5 Receiving Yards
SleepyJ (27:18 - 29:09): Pointed out Chiefs' blitz-heavy defense benefits Smith.
Munaf Manji (29:09 - 30:10): Smith had 122, 99, and 100 yards in past games vs. Chiefs.
Steve Reider (30:11 - 30:38): Expected Eagles to rely on passing more.
5️⃣ Super Bowl 59 Predictions
The hosts split on their final game picks:
SleepyJ (31:12 - 33:20) → Eagles Win 33-18
Chiefs have declined slightly.
Eagles dominate both sides of the ball.
Steve Reider (33:30 - 35:59) → Chiefs Win 27-24
Best QB & coach in Mahomes & Reid.
Chiefs have momentum and experience.
Munaf Manji (36:00 - 38:27) → Eagles Win 27-26
Expected Eagles' defensive line to control the game.
🏆 Final Thoughts
This episode provided detailed analysis of Super Bowl 59 player props, best bets, and game predictions. DeVonta Smith over 51.5 yards, Jalen Hurts anytime TD, and Dallas Goedert overs were among the standout plays.
💡 Will the Eagles' revenge storyline or the Chiefs' dynasty prevail? We’ll find out on Sunday! 🎉

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45min
February 05, 2025WM Phoenix Open picks!
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the WM Phoenix Open.

-Top 6 names on odds board -1 matchup -1 t20 -2 outrights -Sleeper, FRP, 2 lineups, scoring
-Best bet For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59
Recap of Pebble Beach Pro-Am (0:39 - 32:26)Rory McIlroy’s Dominance
McIlroy secured his 27th PGA Tour win with a commanding performance.
He finished 5-under on the final nine holes, with birdies at 10, 12, and 15, and a momentum-shifting eagle on the 14th.
Led the field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and was top 10 in putting.
Averaged 336 yards per drive (leading the field), scaling back to irons strategically in the final round.
Will Doctor highlights McIlroy’s shift to a conservative approach in his final round, citing Jamie Kennedy (Golf Digest) for insightful questions on McIlroy's tactics.
Scottie Scheffler’s Performance
Finished T-9 despite high expectations.
Was above average in all statistical categories, with a final-round 67.
Second round (70) cost him ground, but overall solid performance.
Tom Kim’s Near Miss
Finished T-7, cashing a top-10 ticket.
Struggled on par-5s, a key reason for missing a podium finish.
Big mistake: bogey on the par-5 6th, where he hit into the Pacific Ocean.
His slow play is a concern heading into Phoenix Open, especially with rowdy fans at TPC Scottsdale.
WM Phoenix Open – Picks & PredictionsTop Contenders & Betting AnalysisScottie Scheffler (+305)
Back-to-back WM Phoenix Open winner (2022, 2023).
T-3 last year.
Improved putting over recent months.
Not betting outright but looking for a live number.
Justin Thomas (15:1)
Driving accuracy concerns.
Has played well in Phoenix but struggles to win due to tee-shot inconsistencies.
Passing on JT outright.
Hideki Matsuyama (17:1)
2-time Phoenix Open winner (2016, 2017).
Struggled with driving accuracy in recent events.
Third consecutive tournament, raising fatigue concerns.
Sungjae Im (22:1)
Has 2 top-10 finishes at Phoenix Open.
However, below-average iron play in 2 of last 3 starts.
Has not truly contended at this event.
Sam Burns (25:1)
Back-to-back top-10s at WM Phoenix Open.
Struggling with approach play in recent months.
Passing on Burns this week.
Tom Kim (33:1)
Slow play may be an issue in a loud environment.
T-17 last year, finished 11 shots back.
Not enough value at 33:1, so passing on Kim.
Best Bets & Sleeper PicksMatchup Bets
Rico Hoey over Thriston Lawrence (-106)
Hoey: Great total driver & putter on overseeded greens.
Lawrence: Poor driving accuracy & distance.
Hoey should outperform Lawrence in these conditions.
Top PicksKurt Kitayama
Win: 66:1
Top-20: +240
Strengths: Elite driver, strong recent putting.
Recent results at WM Phoenix Open:
T-23 in 2023.
T-8 in 2022.
Why bet? Improved driving accuracy recently, well-rested after missing Farmers.
Gary Woodland (Sleeper Pick)
Win: 115:1
Top-20: +350
Past Winner (2018).
Ball-striking back to form with coach Randy Smith.
Putting showed improvement at Pebble Beach.
Low risk, high reward pick.
Daily Fantasy Picks (DraftKings & PGA Tour Lineup)DraftKings Lineup ($50K Budget)
Kurt Kitayama ($8.9K)
Luke Clanton ($8.3K)
Si Woo Kim ($8K)
Matt Fitzpatrick ($7.7K)
Charlie Hoffman ($7.2K)
Gary Woodland ($7.1K)
PGA Tour Fantasy Lineup
Starters: Kitayama (Captain), Woodland, Clanton, Si Woo Kim.
Bench: Hoffman, Fitzpatrick.
Final Predictions
Winning Score: -18
Best Bet: Kurt Kitayama Top-20 (+240)
First-Round Leader Bet: Scottie Scheffler (Top-5 after Round 1) at +320.

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37min
February 04, 2025CBB Tues/Wed Preview + Best Bets !!
Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball betting for early this week. The guys are gearing up for the meat of the season. Best bets as always. Subscribe to the podcast.
CBB Tues/Wed Preview Best Bets – Podcast SummaryPodcast: Need for Seeds College Basketball Podcast
Hosts: Griffin Warner & Big East Ben
Week of February 4th
Game Recaps & Betting Insights
Wisconsin vs. Northwestern (1:17 - 2:01)
Wisconsin trailed by 7 at halftime before Carter Gilmore (15 pts) led the comeback.
Bet result: Wisconsin covered.
Pittsburgh vs. Wake Forest (2:01 - 3:58)
Wake hit a miracle three to cover late.
Griffin’s record dropped to 10-4.
Marquette vs. St. John’s (6:55 - 13:27)
Marquette forced 25 UConn turnovers and lost—historic anomaly.
St. John’s shoots just 24% from three in Big East play.
Bets: Ben: Marquette ML | Griffin: St. John’s -2.5
Ole Miss vs. Kentucky (13:32 - 17:45)
Kentucky’s volatility (win at Tenn, 3 losses in 4).
Ole Miss defensive decline in SEC play.
Both bet: Over 157 points.
UCLA vs. Michigan State (17:45 - 22:04)
Michigan State’s 17.4% turnover rate is a liability.
UCLA’s strong home defense (8-4 ATS).
Both bet: UCLA -2.5.
Tennessee vs. Missouri (24:03 - 29:54)
Missouri went from 0-18 in SEC last year to 6-2 this season.
Tennessee’s Zakai Zeigler is questionable.
Both bet: Missouri +6.
Michigan vs. Oregon (29:56 - 33:34)
Oregon struggles inside (156th in 2-pt defense).
Michigan is 6th in 2-pt shooting (60%).
Both bet: Michigan -9.
Best Bets (19-10 YTD, 66%)
Big East Ben: Northwestern -1.5 vs. USC
Griffin Warner: UCLA -2.5 vs. Michigan State
Promo Code: "HOOPS20" for 20% off picks at Pregame.com.
Next Episode: Friday’s preview for Saturday games.

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42min
February 01, 2025 CBB Weekend Preview + Best Bets !!
Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball weekend betting. The guys also give out best bets.

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39min
January 30, 2025Dream Podcast - NFL Super Bowl Talk + Best Bets !!
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk NFL Super Bowl 59. The guys also discuss the NBA and give out some best bets.
NFL Super Bowl Talk & Best Bets – Dream Podcast SummaryMarket & Betting Analysis (4:41 - 6:22)Kansas City Chiefs Favored Slightly
Market Movement: The initial betting line moved in favor of the Kansas City Chiefs, increasing from -1 to -1.5.
Betting Exchanges: Sharp bettors use betting exchanges that offer minimal vigorish (fees), leading to highly efficient lines.
Coin Flip Betting Psychology: RJ Bell discusses the odds manipulation of coin flip bets, where sportsbooks adjust the vig (commission) to influence betting behavior.
Super Bowl Betting Trends
Overs & Unders: Books tend to post overs early, delaying under bets until late in the week.
Prop Betting Manipulation: Fezzik and Seidenberg highlight how books heavily promote overs while limiting under bets, creating inefficiencies.
Same-Game Parlays: Vegas books historically lagged behind but are now competing with online books like DraftKings.
Game Recap & Player Analysis (8:13 - 12:17)Jalen Hurts & Eagles' Offense
Best Performance of the Season? Analysts praise Jalen Hurts’ game, citing his highest Pro Football Focus (PFF) grade in two years.
AJ Brown’s Impact: Brown is fully healthy, making the Eagles' passing game more dangerous.
Eagles’ Passing Strategy: The team focuses targets on a few key players, increasing bet value for AJ Brown and Dallas Goedert props.
Kansas City Chiefs' Super Bowl Experience
Winning Close Games: The Chiefs are lauded for consistently outperforming expectations in high-pressure moments.
Injury Updates: Travis Kelce appears compromised, reducing his betting value.
Mahomes’ Running Trend: His rushing yardage prop increased significantly, but Fezzik believes it's inflated and expects regression.
Team & Player Betting Insights (26:08 - 32:23)Super Bowl Matchup: Eagles vs. Chiefs
Philly's Strengths: The Eagles have dominated, finishing 13-0 in their last games before the playoffs.
Kansas City's Statistical Anomaly: Chiefs' net yards per play is negative, yet they keep winning.
Experience Factor: Analysts believe Philly’s playoff experience makes them a better bet at +1.5 compared to Detroit at the same spread.
Impact of 4th Down Conversions
NFL Teams Are Going for It More: The rise in successful fourth-down conversions is changing how betting markets evaluate games.
Coaches & Analytics Debate: Some argue that aggressive decisions backfire under playoff pressure.
Injury Reports & Team Performance (59:25 - 1:02:39)Healthiest Teams Performed the Best
The top 11 least-injured teams (Kansas City, Minnesota, Philly, etc.) exceeded win totals by 20+ games.
The bottom 10 most-injured teams (Dallas, San Francisco, Cleveland, etc.) underperformed by 21+ games.
Super Bowl Finalists: All four final teams (Philly, Kansas City, Buffalo, and Baltimore) ranked among the least injured.
Prop Bets & Final Betting Advice (54:06 - 58:10)Best Bets
AJ Brown Over 71.5 Receiving Yards (Fezzik): Fully healthy and the Eagles' primary receiver.
Dallas Goedert Over 4.5 Receptions (Seidenberg): Chiefs struggle against tight ends, making this a valuable bet.
Super Bowl Betting Strategy
Track Early Odds: Sharp bettors shape lines by mid-week, with public money inflating player props.
Wait for the Best Unders: Books post overs early but hold off on unders, making it valuable to wait.
Final Thoughts
Super Bowl Betting: The Eagles are undervalued despite strong metrics.
Prop Strategy: Play AJ Brown and Dallas Goedert overs now before public money moves lines.
NBA Insights: Ride the Clippers and fade the Warriors in upcoming games.

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1h 40min
January 29, 2025 NBA Dream Pod Wednesday + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Wednesday betting. Mack and Munaf unveil a new segment for the podcast and give out best bets.

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43min
January 29, 2025AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 2025 Pebble
Beach Pro-Am. -Discussing top 7 on odds board at Pebble -2 matchups -1 t10 -3 outrights -Sleeper, 2 lineups, scoring prediction, and best bet
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks Summary
Host: Will Doctor (0:15 - 0:28)
Preview of the PGA Tour’s Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
Event Overview (0:37 - 12:16)
80 players, 45 of the top 50. Scotty Scheffler returns, Rory McIlroy debuts in 2025.
Pebble Beach & Spyglass Hills: Short courses, precision approach play key.
No cut; all four rounds played at Pebble.
Past Winners
2020: Nick Taylor (-19), 2021: Daniel Berger (-18), 2022: Tom Hoagie (-19), 2023: Justin Rose (-18), 2024: Wyndham Clark (-12, 54-hole event).Farmers Insurance Open Review (-5.3 units)
Wins: Shane Lowry over J.J. Spaun, K.H. Lee over Wesley Bryan.
Losses: Ludwig Aberg (win, top 10, over Sungjae Im all failed), Justin Rose missed cut, Daniel Berger top 20 loss.
Wesley Bryan & YouTube Golf Controversy (12:16 - 15:56)
Bet K.H. Lee over Bryan, citing poor ball striking & focus on YouTube.
Bryan responded: "Hopefully the few dollars was worth the disparagement of the YouTube community."
Doctor dismissed YouTube golf as irrelevant, doubling down on support for traditional pro golf.
Key Player Picks & Odds
🏆 Scotty Scheffler (+525) – Elite approach play, strong Pebble history (Bet to win).
❌ Rory McIlroy (+1200) – Poor putting at Pebble (Pass).
💡 Justin Thomas (+1600) – Improved putting, strong iron play (Top 5 bet).
❌ Colin Morikawa (+1600) – Recent illness, limited Pebble experience (Pass).
❌ Ludwig Aberg (+1800) – Putting concerns (Pass).
❌ Hideki Matsuyama (+2200) – Struggles at Pebble (Pass).
❌ Sungjae Im (+2800) – Trending up, but weak Pebble history (Pass).
Best Bets & Matchups
✅ Shane Lowry over Tony Finau (-120) – Lowry solid, Finau missed cuts & just had a baby.
✅ Rasmus Højgaard over Tony Finau (-112) – Elite DP World Tour talent.
✅ Tom Kim top 10 (+450) – Excellent approach stats, new putter confidence.
🏆 Gary Woodland to win (+17500) – Past U.S. Open champ at Pebble.
Fantasy & DFS Lineups
DraftKings: Justin Thomas, McNealy, Kim, MacIntyre, Bhatia, Woodland.
PGA Tour Fantasy: Scheffler, Kim, Woodland, MacIntyre, Bhatia, McNealy.
Final Predictions
Winning Score: -16
Best Bet: Scotty Scheffler Top 5 (+125)
Next Week: Phoenix Open Preview.

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55min
January 29, 2025CBB Wednesday Preview + Best Bets !!
Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball betting for Wednesday. The guys preview the 5 biggest games and give out best bets.
The podcast boasts a 65% win rate on best bets (17-9 record), with both hosts discussing five key matchups, statistics, and betting strategies.
Game Analysis & Best Bets
1. Alabama at Mississippi State (3:30 - 7:05)
Mississippi State is a one-point favorite. Total set at 166.
Key analysis:
Alabama is coming off strong wins against Kentucky, Vanderbilt, and LSU.
Mississippi State plays a more controlled tempo (77th in offensive possession length, 176th in tempo).
Big East Ben’s play: Under 166 total points. Mississippi State will slow the pace and force Alabama into contested threes.
Griffin Warner's play: Mississippi State -1 due to their depth and physicality.
2. Wisconsin at Maryland (7:07 - 12:07)
Maryland is favored by 4 points. Total at 154.
Key analysis:
Wisconsin excels at getting to the foul line (85% free-throw shooting, best in the country).
Maryland ranks 32nd nationally in avoiding fouls, making it difficult for Wisconsin to exploit this strength.
Both analysts agree: Maryland -4.
Griffin Warner also leans under 154, citing Maryland's defensive pressure.
3. Xavier at Creighton (12:09 - 16:11)
Creighton is favored by 6 points. Total at 142.
Key analysis:
Xavier is relying on 3-pointers (38% shooting), but Creighton is elite at limiting foul shots and running teams off the 3-point line.
Creighton has won five straight, but the schedule hasn’t been difficult.
Big East Ben’s play: Creighton -6 because of their defensive ability.
Griffin Warner agrees: Creighton -6, noting Xavier might struggle in Omaha.
4. St. Mary’s at Santa Clara (16:13 - 21:55)
St. Mary’s is a 4-point favorite. Total at 139.5.
Key analysis:
Santa Clara has strong wins over Gonzaga and Washington State.
St. Mary’s is 8-0 in conference play but hasn’t faced tough competition yet.
Both analysts favor Santa Clara:
Big East Ben: Santa Clara +4, citing their defensive size to disrupt St. Mary’s.
Griffin Warner agrees, arguing St. Mary’s hasn’t been tested.
5. Texas at Mississippi (Ole Miss) (21:57 - 31:04)
Ole Miss is favored by 6.5 points. Total at 140.5.
Key analysis:
Texas is coming off a dramatic comeback win over Texas A&M but looked shaky throughout.
Ole Miss has lost three straight and is in desperation mode.
Big East Ben’s play: Under 140.5 due to strong Ole Miss defense.
Griffin Warner’s play: Ole Miss -6.5, noting Chris Beard’s revenge angle after being fired by Texas.
Best Bets Recap
Big East Ben’s Best Bet (31:07 - 32:07):
West Virginia +7.5 vs. Houston
WVU thrives at home against top-ranked teams.
Griffin Warner’s Best Bet (32:07 - 33:18):
Furman +1 vs. Samford
Furman’s new arena, shooting ability, and home-court advantage give them the edge.
Final Thoughts
The hosts emphasize sticking to betting principles and avoiding recency bias.
A promo code "KEY30" is offered for discounts on betting packages.
Next podcast episode: A deep dive into Saturday’s college basketball slate.
Key Takeaways
🏀 Alabama vs. Mississippi State:
Mississippi State's defense will slow Alabama, leading to an under play (166 total points).
🏀 Wisconsin vs. Maryland:
Maryland’s home advantage and discipline will be the difference (-4 pick).
🏀 Xavier vs. Creighton:
Creighton’s defense on the perimeter makes them the right pick at -6.
🏀 St. Mary’s vs. Santa Clara:
Santa Clara’s underrated defense and home edge justify a bet on +4.
🏀 Texas vs. Ole Miss:
Ole Miss’ strong defense and Texas' recent struggles lead to an under play (140.5 total points).
🔥 Best Bets:
✅ West Virginia +7.5 vs. Houston (Big East Ben)
✅ Furman +1 vs. Samford (Griffin Warner)

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38min
January 24, 2025CBB Weekend Preview + Best Bets !!
Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CBB vetting for this weekend. They guys cover the 5 biggest games and give out best bets.
🕒 Timeline Breakdown and Analysis
0:14 - 1:40 | Introduction
Griffin welcomes listeners, humorously highlights Big East Ben’s wardrobe choices, and updates the audience on the hosts’ betting records:
Griffin: 8-4
Ben: 7-5
Combined success rate: 62.5% (15-9).
Announces plans to preview five games for January 25th and promises best bets at the end.
1:42 - 2:54 | Kansas vs. Houston
Ben reflects on his recent successful bet on Kansas unders.
Kansas projected as a rare home underdog (+1.5) against Houston.
Key Statistics:
Houston: Offensive efficiency drops on the road (3rd to 84th nationally); 3-point shooting declines from 43% to 30%.
Kansas: Improves at home, offensive efficiency jumps from 174th to 27th.
Ben recommends under 129 points, emphasizing Kansas' consistent unders (15-2 this season).
7:57 - 12:23 | Tennessee vs. Auburn
Injury news: J’Nai Broome of Auburn is a game-time decision. His absence would significantly impact Auburn's chances.
Discussion of Tennessee's struggles:
0-3 ATS in SEC road games.
Strong defense but susceptible to high-performing shooters like Todd Bedford.
Predictions:
Ben favors Auburn at home.
Griffin leans towards unders, citing Tennessee’s defensive focus and potential blowout dynamics.
14:04 - 19:19 | Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt’s home performance highlighted (win over Tennessee), but concerns about inconsistency arise.
Griffin: Observes Kentucky’s reliance on 3-point shooting and struggles in unconventional venues like Vanderbilt's gym.
Ben backs Kentucky -3.5, while Griffin cautiously leans Vanderbilt, anticipating crowd challenges for Kentucky.
19:21 - 24:24 | UConn vs. Xavier
Xavier as a 1-point favorite with a total of 145 points.
UConn’s recent decline without key player Liam McNeely (1-4 ATS).
Griffin and Ben jointly back Xavier, citing momentum and strong home support.
24:29 - 26:45 | Providence vs. Georgetown
Providence favored by 1.5 points against struggling Georgetown.
Ben critiques Georgetown’s recent six-game losing streak and backs Providence, expecting a decisive home win fueled by fan enthusiasm.
🎯 Key Player and Team Insights
Kansas: Stellar defensive consistency at home; unders are a reliable bet.
Houston: Vulnerable on the road, significant drop in offensive efficiency.
Auburn: Success heavily tied to J’Nai Broome’s availability.
Tennessee: Elite 3-point defense but struggles on the road in SEC play.
Xavier: Home-court advantage and momentum make them strong contenders.
Providence: Hosts a demoralized Georgetown team; significant fan support expected.
📊 Player & Team Statistics
Kansas Unders: 15-2 this season.
Houston Away Performance:
3rd to 84th offensive efficiency.
3-point shooting: 43% → 30%.
Vanderbilt ATS: 1-4 in their last five games.
UConn Without McNeely: 1-4 ATS in recent games.
💡 Key Quotes and Context
Griffin Warner: "Kansas unders dominate this season. It’s hard to go against a 15-2 trend." (2:09)
Analysis: Highlights Kansas’ defensive consistency, making unders a staple.
Big East Ben: "Tennessee’s 3-point defense is great, but the jungle at Auburn is relentless." (11:06)
Insight: Points to Auburn’s dominant home atmosphere as a decisive factor.
Dan Hurley (quoted by Griffin): "Don’t turn your back on me. I’m the best fing coach in this whole fing sport." (20:10)
Commentary: Adds drama to UConn’s current struggles and the coach’s bold statements.
✅ Best Bets
Kansas Under 129.
Xavier -1 (Double best bet from both hosts).

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32min
January 24, 2025AFC/NFC Championship Player Props !!
Munaf Manji, Steve Reider and SleepyJ talk AFC and NFC Championship player props. The guys give out a bunch of plays for both games to consider.
Summary: AFC NFC Championship Player Props!!
This transcript is a detailed discussion about player props and predictions for the AFC and NFC Championship games. Hosted by Munaf Manji, joined by Steve Reider and SleepyJ, it features analyses of key player performances, betting strategies, and team dynamics for the upcoming football weekend. The session includes statistical insights, specific betting picks, and light-hearted moments that reflect the camaraderie between the speakers.
Conclusion
This podcast focuses on player props and betting predictions for the conference championships. The hosts provided statistical analyses for individual players like Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, and Austin Ekeler, along with team-based dynamics. Their top picks involve Mahomes’ reduced passing attempts due to Buffalo’s time-of-possession control, Jalen Hurts’ limited passing and rushing due to injuries, and insights into sneaky plays like Austin Ekeler's combined yardage. With touchdown scorers, parlays, and best bets, they aimed to maximize betting success. The hosts also emphasized disciplined betting despite high stakes, rounding off with personal anecdotes and encouragement for basketball as NFL teams conclude their seasons.
Key Points
🎯 Patrick Mahomes Under 36.5 Passing Attempts: Discussed as a strategic move due to Buffalo's time-of-possession control and Kansas City's potential shift to running the ball.
📉 Jalen Hurts Under 24.5 Passing Attempts: Due to injuries and a team reliance on the run game led by Saquon Barkley.
🏃 Jalen Hurts Under 33.5 Rushing Yards: Highlighted as a result of his physical limitations and a strategy focusing on other offensive players.
🏈 Austin Ekeler Over 47.5 Rushing/Receiving Yards: A creative pick anticipating Ekeler's overlooked role as a dual-threat player for Washington.
⛔ Isaiah Pacheco Under 41.5 Rushing/Receiving Yards: Based on Kansas City's reliance on Kareem Hunt.
🎯 AJ Brown Over 60.5 Receiving Yards: Predicted to shine due to his dominance against man coverage and being Jalen Hurts' go-to receiver.
🚫 DeAndre Hopkins Under 2.5 Receptions: Discussed as a reflection of his reduced role in the Chiefs' offense.
📊 Khalil Shakir Over 55.5 Receiving Yards: Josh Allen's favorite postseason target, especially in clutch moments.
⚡ Josh Allen Over 9.5 Rush Attempts: Highlighted as a high-leverage play based on Allen's historical playoff performances against Kansas City.
💥 Parlay Picks:
Dyami Brown Anytime TD (+330)
Josh Allen 60+ Rushing Yards (+145)
Longest FG Under 47.5 Yards
Summary
Opening Remarks: Munaf Manji (0:00-0:48): Introduced the format and scope, highlighting added picks and collaborative insights.
Patrick Mahomes' Passing: SleepyJ (3:13-5:10): Suggested under 36.5 attempts, citing Buffalo's control strategy and Kansas City's potential run focus.
Jalen Hurts' Limitations: Steve Reider (6:30-7:51): Predicted Hurts' struggles in passing (under 24.5) due to injuries.
Austin Ekeler’s Versatility: SleepyJ (10:37-12:41): Combined yards bet due to his sneaky potential.
DeAndre Hopkins' Decline: Steve Reider (19:12-21:13): Noted diminished involvement in the Chiefs' offense.
Khalil Shakir's Role: Munaf Manji (22:34-24:23): Allen's reliable target, expected to perform under pressure.
Josh Allen’s Mobility: Munaf Manji (35:14-38:21): His rushing potential could be the key to Buffalo’s success.
Touchdown and Parlay Bets: Longshot props including Austin Ekeler 2+ TDs, Dyami Brown Anytime TD, and a field goal under bet.
Best Bet: Josh Allen Over 9.5 Rush Attempts (38:22-39:32): A statistically backed, high-leverage prop.
Closing Notes: The team reflected on their success this season and shifted focus to basketball and March Madness after the NFL playoffs.

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49min

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