RJ Bell's Dream Preview

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RJ Bell's Dream Preview episodes

October 02, 2024 Sanderson Farms Championship Picks and Predictions
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Sanderson Farms Championship.
-Discussing top five favorites at CC of Jackson
-3 matchups -2 t10 -2 outrights -Sleeper -FRP, lineup, scoring -Best Bet
Introduction and Overview
Will Doctor introduces the Golf Preview Podcast with an energetic focus on the Sanderson Farms Championship, Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, and the Corn Fairy Tour Championship. This episode centers on providing expert picks and betting insights for the Sanderson Farms Championship held at the Country Club of Jackson.
Tournament BreakdownSanderson Farms Championship Overview
Will reflects on the recent Presidents Cup, where Team USA won 18.5 to 11.5, with some controversy involving Tom Kim. He then dives into player analysis for the Sanderson Farms Championship, assessing top players, their odds, and recent performances.
Player AnalysisKeith Mitchell
At 25-to-1 odds, Mitchell is questioned as a favorite due to missing the cut all four times at Jackson. Despite two recent top-12 finishes, his season has been underwhelming. Will advises against betting on him.
Seamus Power
Power is also 25-to-1 but fares slightly better due to his global experience. However, poor iron play in recent events diminishes his chances, making him a risky pick.
Maverick McNeely
Listed at 28-to-1, McNeely’s inconsistency and poor recent performances make him a risky choice. Will believes his odds should be higher.
Mackenzie Hughes
Despite winning this tournament two years ago, Hughes’ poor performance at the Presidents Cup makes Will pass on him at 28-to-1 odds, citing fatigue and inconsistent form.
Nick Dunlop
At 30-to-1, Dunlop is a promising young player with strong birdie conversion rates. Will sees potential in Dunlop but acknowledges the risks due to his inexperience.
Key Matchups and PredictionsNick Dunlop vs. Eric Cole
Will picks Dunlop over Cole at -140 odds, noting Cole’s poor driving and iron play compared to Dunlop’s consistency.
Henrik Norlander vs. Chandler Phillips
Norlander, with three top-four finishes at Jackson, is favored due to his course familiarity. Will backs Norlander at even money.
Rico Hoey vs. Sam Stevens
Hoey is favored at -105 over Stevens, given Hoey’s sharp iron play and Stevens’ struggles throughout the 2024 season.
Outright PicksPatrick Fishburne
At 35-to-1, Fishburne’s strong putting and consistent fairway play make him one of Will’s top picks for an outright win. His recent form has been impressive.
Grayson Sig
Priced at 90-to-1, Sig’s familiarity with Jackson and solid recent performances position him as a good value pick for an outright win.
Best Bet and Final ThoughtsMack Meisner
Will’s best bet is Mack Meisner to finish in the top 20 at +220 odds. Despite a missed cut at Napa, Meisner’s comfort on Bermuda greens and solid iron play make him a great pick.
Conclusion
Will concludes with final thoughts on the Sanderson Farms Championship, offering listeners sharp picks and teasing future episodes covering the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship and the Corn Fairy Tour Championship.

For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59

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33 min
October 01, 2024 NFL Week 4 Recap & Look Ahead Preview
Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL week 4 recap. They also discuss what to expect in NFL Week 5 betting.
Misleading Results (Atlanta vs. New Orleans)
Steve Fezzik discusses how the Atlanta-New Orleans game had fluky results due to two unusual touchdowns. He argues that New Orleans should have won easily despite the final score.
(1:23 - 2:14)
Jets' Offensive Woes
Scott Seidenberg and Steve Fezzik analyze the Jets’ offensive struggles, with Aaron Rodgers visibly frustrated over miscommunication with receivers. They criticize coach Robert Salah for poor adjustments during the game.
(5:02 - 6:09)
Justin Fields' Performance
Justin Fields of Pittsburgh had one of his best games with over 300 passing yards and 2 rushing touchdowns, but despite this, his team still lost. Fezzik kept Pittsburgh’s rating unchanged.
(23:45 - 23:59)
Minnesota Vikings Upgrade
The Vikings saw a five-point upgrade after their strong performance in Week 4. Sam Darnold's three-touchdown game solidified his position in MVP talks.
(9:48 - 11:10)
Betting Insights (Week 5)
Steve Fezzik provides betting strategies for Week 5, noting the Chiefs' and Vikings' favorable odds, particularly with Kansas City benefiting from an easier remaining schedule.
(37:00 - 37:04)
Kansas City Chiefs Analysis
The Chiefs have faced the fourth hardest schedule so far but are well-positioned for future success, given their easier upcoming games.
(33:50 - 34:19)
Survivor Contest Strategies
Fezzik discusses strategies for NFL Survivor pools, explaining how to make strategic plays for the upcoming weeks.
(56:00 - 56:28)
Strength of Schedule
The Kansas City Chiefs and Falcons are noted for having the easiest remaining schedules, setting them up for strong performances in the rest of the season.
(33:09 - 33:11)
Team Injuries and Future Matchups
Fezzik warns that teams like the Buccaneers and Eagles, despite performing well, may face injury concerns moving forward.
(23:01 - 23:08)

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1 hr 9 min
October 01, 2024Fezzik's Focus - NFL Week 4 Buy & Sell + Week 5 Quick Reactions
Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 4 rankings and much more. Week 5 is on the horizon and Fezzik talks teams to look at.
Analysis of Key Quotes
Munaf Manji (0:07 - 1:01): He highlights quarterback struggles, focusing on Miami's lack of depth behind Tua Tagovailoa.
Analysis: Miami’s failure to secure a competent backup QB has hurt them, reinforcing betting against their future wins.
Steve Fezzik (1:02 - 1:15): Predicts Miami will finish 6-11, betting under on season wins.
Analysis: With no quarterback stability, the Dolphins face a difficult road ahead, making this an attractive bet.
Munaf Manji (2:28 - 3:22): Miami's weak backup QB situation is discussed.
Analysis: The team’s reliance on Skylar Thompson or Tyler Huntley hinders its chances for success, impacting their season outlook.
Player Statistics and Analysis
Miami Dolphins: Struggling due to poor quarterback play, despite strong offensive weapons like Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle. Fezzik ranks them 30th, only ahead of Carolina and New England.
Minnesota Vikings: Fezzik boosts Minnesota to 7th place after three straight victories. Led by star player Justin Jefferson, their 28-0 win over Green Bay solidified their rise.
Baltimore Ravens: Tied for first in Fezzik’s rankings, alongside Kansas City and San Francisco. Despite a 2-2 record, their impressive offensive balance earns them top contender status.
Washington Commanders: Jaden Daniels’ performance has propelled Washington in Fezzik’s rankings, now a playoff contender after starting the season at -2.5 in power rankings.
Cincinnati Bengals: Cincinnati bounces back, now rated +1.5 after a poor start to the season.
Team Insights and Betting Implications
Phony Final Scores: Fezzik explains that the Jets should have won their Week 4 game but were victims of poor execution. Atlanta also had two fluke touchdowns, yet failed to cover, making them teams to bet cautiously on.
Kansas City Chiefs: Reliable as always, the Chiefs delivered despite fluctuating betting lines. Fezzik points out how early teasers benefited those who got better odds.
Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots: A critical matchup between two of the league’s worst teams. Fezzik has them at 30th and 31st in his power rankings, noting the importance of Miami's QB situation.
Betting Strategies and Contest
Fezzik’s Contest Performance: Fezzik is 19-9 in his contest, tied for first place after four weeks. He discusses the nuances of contest strategy, stressing attention to detail.
Season Wins Over Futures: Fezzik advises bettors to focus on season win totals rather than futures like Super Bowl bets, noting that season win bets offer more consistency.
Conclusion
The podcast emphasizes the importance of quarterback depth, as seen with the Miami Dolphins. Minnesota and Baltimore continue to rise, while Washington surprises with its solid performances. Fezzik’s strategic focus on season wins over risky futures provides bettors with actionable advice for Week 5 and beyond.

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31 min
September 30, 2024The Inside Pitch w/Josh Towers
Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk about the Mets/Braves DoubleHeader to determine the NL Wild Card and give out BEST BETS for the Postseason games coming up.
Quotes and Analysis
Josh Towers (0:32 - 2:50):
Quote: "The best players in any sport are able to take a step back and see it for what it's worth."
Analysis: Towers highlights the importance of composure and strategic thinking, a quality he attributes to elite athletes. He emphasizes how game management can determine success, as seen in the Mets' comeback against the Braves.
Quote: "Every pitch that we saw was just up over the middle of the plate and out over."
Analysis: This observation by Towers critiques the Braves' bullpen's poor performance in the late innings, noting that missed locations led to several critical hits by Mets players, like Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo.
Scott Sidenberg (4:10 - 4:29):
Quote: "The win probability was just off the charts."
Analysis: Sidenberg references how dramatic the game’s comeback was for the Mets, framing it as one of the wildest matches, especially given the Braves' earlier dominance in the game.
Player Statistics & Analysis
Francisco Lindor:
Lindor was pivotal in the Mets' victory, hitting a critical home run in the 9th inning, reflecting his recent hot streak at the plate. Josh Towers praises Lindor for his ability to handle key situations, like making contact on a first-pitch curveball that led to his game-winning hit.
Brandon Nimmo:
Nimmo, after falling behind 0-2 in his at-bat, capitalized on a poorly placed fastball to deliver a home run, showcasing his poise under pressure.
Braves' bullpen:
The Braves bullpen struggled in crucial moments, with Josh Towers pointing out that missed pitches over the plate allowed the Mets' hitters to dominate. Phil Matan and Edwin Diaz were particularly shaky, contributing to the Braves' collapse.
Team Statistics & Insights
Mets Performance:
The Mets demonstrated resilience by overcoming a 3-0 deficit late in the game. Lindor and Nimmo's homers, combined with strategic bullpen moves, highlight their capability to handle high-pressure situations. Their performance solidified their chance at securing a postseason spot.
Braves Breakdown:
Despite Swellenbach pitching seven shutout innings, the Braves' bullpen collapsed late in the game. Towers critiques how the Braves mismanaged their relief pitching, especially by continuing to pitch to Lindor when a strategic walk could have been considered.
Postseason Implications:
Scott and Josh discuss the postseason scenarios. If the Mets win Game 2, they will face the Padres. A loss sends them to face the Brewers. Josh argues the Mets should prefer Milwaukee over San Diego, noting the Padres' offensive strength despite their struggles.
Speaker and Timestamps
Scott Sidenberg (0:00 - 0:31): Introduces the podcast and sets the stage for the Mets-Braves doubleheader analysis.
Josh Towers (0:32 - 2:50): Breaks down the Mets' thrilling comeback and critiques the Braves' bullpen.
Timestamp: "The bullpen for the Braves just absolutely collapses"
Scott Sidenberg (4:10 - 4:29): Discusses the win probability and Braves' decisions.
Josh Towers (5:14 - 5:19): Analyzes the potential outcomes of the Mets' win in Game 2 and critiques their postseason strategy.
Conclusion
The podcast delves into the exciting, high-stakes Game 1 between the Mets and Braves, focusing on key player performances, bullpen collapses, and strategic mistakes. Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo stood out for the Mets, while the Braves' bullpen's inefficiency cost them the game. Towers and Sidenberg also explore postseason scenarios, favoring the Mets against the Brewers rather than the Padres due to perceived matchup advantages.

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1 hr 3 min
September 28, 2024Presidents Cup Saturday Morning Four-Ball Picks
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for Saturday morning four-ball picks at the Presidents Cup! For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedai59
In this episode of the Golf Preview Podcast on Pregame's Network, host Will Docter delves into Friday's disappointing results during the 15th Presidents Cup, providing in-depth analysis, player statistics, and insights into team performances. Below is a breakdown of the key moments:
Friday’s Recap & Player Analysis: [Will Docter] (0:39 - 13:30)
Will discusses the complete turnaround from Thursday’s domination by Team USA to Friday’s losses in the foursome sessions. Below are detailed match analyses:
Match 6: Hideki Matsuyama and Sungjae Im vs. Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele
Matsuyama and Im stunned Cantlay and Schauffele with seven consecutive birdies, finishing 7 and 6.
The Japanese-Korean duo, ranked low in strokes gained on Day 1, were in top five by the end of Friday.
Key Quote: "Seven straight birdies is flat-out impressive stuff in any format" (0:47).
Analysis: Matsuyama and Im displayed exceptional form, outperforming Cantlay and Schauffele in every aspect, particularly in putting.
Match 7: Adam Scott and Taylor Pendrith vs. Sahith Theegala and Collin Morikawa
Pendrith continued his solid performance, paired with Scott who had a fantastic day on the greens.
Theegala struggled, having the second-worst day on the course.
Analysis: Theegala’s weak putting, combined with Morikawa’s subpar form, left them outmatched despite Morikawa’s solid ball striking.
Match 8: Christiaan Bezuidenhout and Jason Day vs. Max Homa and Brian Harman
Homa had a strong day with his driving, but Harman’s poor showing left the pair vulnerable.
Team USA Analysis: Homa and Harman couldn’t recover, losing 1-up in a closely contested match. Day and Bezuidenhout capitalized on their putting despite not playing their best.
Match 9: Corey Conners and Mackenzie Hughes vs. Wyndham Clark and Tony Finau
The Canadians made seven birdies, ending the match on 13, while Clark and Finau could not make their putts.
Key Stat: Both Finau and Clark had negative strokes gained with their irons.
Analysis: The home crowd support for Conners and Hughes gave them a needed boost as Team USA faltered.
Match 10: Si Woo Kim and Byeong Hun An vs. Scottie Scheffler and Russell Henley
Si Woo Kim excelled with birdies on 12, 13, and 15, and a clutch par putt to close the match.
Scheffler admitted that Henley rolled the ball well but couldn’t capitalize on his chances.
Analysis: Si Woo’s ability to thrive in high-pressure situations made the difference, showcasing his incredible match-play abilities.
Saturday Picks & Predictions: [Will Docter] (13:30 - 17:00)
Match 11: Scottie Scheffler and Collin Morikawa vs. Adam Scott and Taylor Pendrith
Favorite: Scheffler and Morikawa (-205).
Prediction: Despite Morikawa’s shaky putting, Will leans toward Team USA based on Scheffler’s solid ball striking and world number one ranking.
Match 12: Tony Finau and Xander Schauffele vs. Corey Conners and Mackenzie Hughes
Underdog: Conners and Hughes (+141).
Prediction: Will favors the Canadians, citing their recent form and Finau’s ongoing struggles with the greens.
Match 13: Si Woo Kim and Tom Kim vs. Keegan Bradley and Wyndham Clark
Favorite: Si Woo and Tom Kim (-117).
Prediction: Will is confident in the chemistry between the Kims, emphasizing Si Woo’s clutch performance on Friday.
Match 14: Patrick Cantlay and Sam Burns vs. Hideki Matsuyama and Sungjae Im
Even Money: Will predicts the Internationals will continue their momentum, doubting Cantlay and Burns’ ability to perform under pressure.Closing Remarks: [Will Docter] (17:00 - End)
Will concludes by discussing his plan for Saturday's afternoon session, hinting at potential picks for Sunday singles based on Saturday’s results.

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17 min
September 27, 2024NFL Week 4 Player Props + MNF Preview !!
Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider talk NFL player Props for Sunday. The guys also preview two MNF games and offer up a best bet prop.
Introduction
Munaf Manji (0:12 - 0:51) opens the discussion for Week 4 NFL player props, focusing on key positions: quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end. He is joined by Steve Reeder and SleepyJ.
Quarterback Props
SleepyJ (4:01 - 4:51) kicks off by suggesting a prop for Justin Fields to go over 40.5 rushing yards. He highlights the Colts' weak rushing defense, pointing to past games against Malik Willis and Joe Mixon.
Steve Reeder (5:42 - 8:05) suggests fading Jordan Love, citing his injury concerns and the tough defense he'll face. Steve predicts that Love won’t be at full strength and is up against a Vikings defense that recently limited opponents like CJ Stroud.
Munaf Manji (8:55 - 10:30) focuses on Kyler Murray, suggesting over 1.5 passing touchdowns against the Washington Commanders. He notes how the Commanders’ defense has allowed two passing touchdowns per game to every opponent so far this season.
Running Back Props
SleepyJ (10:50 - 12:09) proposes a prop for Choba Hubbard to score a touchdown at even money, emphasizing his heavy volume of touches (26) in the previous game. Hubbard's matchup against a vulnerable Bengals defense makes him a solid pick.
Steve Reeder (13:05 - 14:52) backs Bijan Robinson over 69.5 rushing yards, despite concerns over his shoulder injury. He praises the Falcons’ improved offense and highlights their upcoming matchup against a Saints defense that has struggled against elite running backs like Saquon Barkley.
Munaf Manji (14:53 - 16:39) suggests Aaron Jones over 21.5 receiving yards against the Packers. Jones has been a consistent performer in the passing game and could shine again against his former team.
Wide Receiver Props
SleepyJ (17:34 - 18:51) recommends Kyron Williams over 16.5 receiving yards. Williams is becoming more involved in the Rams' passing game due to injuries to other key players.
Steve Reeder (19:54 - 21:44) focuses on Josh Downs over 34 receiving yards. Reeder highlights his strong connection with quarterback Anthony Richardson, believing that the Colts will rely on Downs more heavily in the passing game.
Munaf Manji (23:59 - 24:55) suggests Dalton Kincaid over 37.5 receiving yards, citing the Ravens' vulnerability against tight ends this season.
Tight End Props
SleepyJ (24:56 - 27:17) backs Travis Kelsey over 4.5 catches, noting that he will likely bounce back after a disappointing start to the season. Kelsey has consistently performed well against the Chargers, making this a solid play.
Steve Reeder (28:32 - 29:58) takes an under prop for Kyle Pitts under 36.5 receiving yards, arguing that Pitts has not been a major part of the Falcons' offense this season.
Monday Night Football Preview
Munaf Manji (34:57 - 36:17) begins by previewing the Titans vs Dolphins game. With quarterback concerns for Miami and a struggling Titans offense, he and the co-hosts suggest a low-scoring game.
Steve Reeder (38:32 - 40:09) believes the game will be dominated by conservative play, focusing on limiting turnovers and relying on the ground game.
SleepyJ (36:18 - 38:27) leans toward the Titans but admits the game could go either way due to Miami’s unpredictability.
The second Monday Night Football game between the Seahawks and Lions is discussed next.
Steve Reeder (41:46 - 43:20) backs the Lions, despite the market moving against them, citing their stronger overall team and home-field advantage.
Munaf Manji (43:21 - 45:01) agrees with Steve but highlights the injuries to the Lions’ offensive line and key players like Sam Laporta.
Best Bet
The group concludes with their best player prop: Jackson Smith-Njigba over 48.5 receiving yards. Munaf points out that slot receivers have consistently performed well against the Lions this season.

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56 min
September 27, 2024Presidents Cup Friday Foursome Picks
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest picks for the Friday foursomes matches for Day 2 at the Presidents Cup! For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59
The Golf Preview Podcast hosted by Will Docter offers detailed insights into the latest PGA Tour events, specifically focusing on the President's Cup matches. Here's a comprehensive summary of key moments and expert analysis from the podcast:
Introduction (0:15 - 0:28)
Will Docter welcomes listeners, expressing his enthusiasm for the upcoming PGA Tour picks, particularly focusing on the President’s Cup matches.
Day One Recap and Analysis (0:36 - 14:40)
The podcast dives into the dominant performance by the USA team during the first day of four-ball matches, where they swept all five matches. This sweep marks the first such occurrence in the President’s Cup since 1994.
Match 1: Xander Schauffele and Tony Finau vs. Jason Day and Byung-Hun Ahn
Outcome: Schauffele and Finau won.
Key Points: Despite losing the lead midway, the American duo managed a brilliant comeback, securing their victory. Docter highlights their role as favorites with a betting line of -180.
Match 2: Collin Morikawa and Sahith Tagala vs. Adam Scott and Min Woo Lee
Outcome: Morikawa and Tagala won by one stroke.
Key Points: Morikawa carried the team, making significant birdies, while Tagala sealed the match with a clutch birdie on the 18th.
Match 3: Scottie Scheffler and Russell Henley vs. Sungjae Im and Tom Kim
Outcome: Scheffler and Henley won.
Key Points: Sungjae Im’s inability to make any birdies was detrimental to his team. Tom Kim was the only bright spot for the international team, but it wasn’t enough to overcome the American duo.
Match 4: Wyndham Clark and Keegan Bradley vs. Taylor Pendrith and Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Outcome: Clark and Bradley won by one.
Key Points: Bezuidenhout’s struggles on the greens were a major factor, with Docter critical of his performance. Clark’s early birdies and Bradley’s clutch putt on 18 secured the win.
Match 5: Patrick Cantlay and Sam Burns vs. Hideki Matsuyama and Corey Conners
Outcome: Cantlay and Burns won by two strokes.
Key Points: Cantlay’s dominance in team play and Burns' contributions with key birdies sealed the victory. Matsuyama and Conners struggled to sink putts, leading to their defeat.
Day Two Match Preview (14:40 - 32:45)
Will provides a breakdown of Friday’s alternate shot matchups, offering betting advice and in-depth player analysis.
Match 6: Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele vs. Hideki Matsuyama and Sungjae Im
Analysis: Docter favors Cantlay and Schauffele (-145), citing Cantlay’s outstanding form and Schauffele’s recent clutch play. Sungjae Im’s poor showing on Thursday is highlighted as a concern, making this a lopsided match.
Match 7: Collin Morikawa and Sahith Tagala vs. Adam Scott and Taylor Pendrith
Analysis: With Morikawa carrying the team and Tagala making key birdies, Docter sees the Americans as favorites (-140). Pendrith’s strong day-one performance is noted, but Scott’s lackluster play could be a factor.
Match 8: Max Homa and Brian Harman vs. Christiaan Bezuidenhout and Jason Day
Analysis: Docter criticizes international captain Mike Weir for sending Bezuidenhout back out despite his struggles. Homa and Harman (-105) are the favored duo.
Match 9: Wyndham Clark and Tony Finau vs. Corey Conners and Mackenzie Hughes
Analysis: Clark’s flawless play and Finau’s pivotal birdies make the American team (-115) a strong contender. Docter questions Weir’s decision-making in waiting until match four to send Conners and Hughes out.
Match 10: Scottie Scheffler and Russell Henley vs. Si Woo Kim and Byung-Hun Ahn
Analysis: Scheffler and Henley (-195) are heavily favored. Docter believes Weir made a critical error by not pairing Tom Kim with Si Woo Kim, missing an opportunity to challenge Scheffler.

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19 min
September 26, 2024Dream Podcast - NFL Week 4 THE PICKS !!
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg give out NFL Week 4 Picks. The guys deep dive into some of the leagues best and worst teams. Dave Essler also chimes in with his Week 4 best bet.
Introduction (RJ Bell: 0:16 - 1:38)
The podcast opens with RJ Bell commending the insights shared, specifically Steve Fezzik convincing him to back a game he was initially unsure about. The team then dives into a promotion for "Weekender" packages for sports betting enthusiasts, offering access to picks across multiple sports for $10, down from the usual $89.
Analysis and Key Team TrendsJacksonville Jaguars (+6.5) vs. Buffalo Bills (Steve Fezzik: 13:24 - 16:59)
Fezzik's top pick for Week 4 is the Jacksonville Jaguars at +6.5 against the Buffalo Bills. He critiques the significant shift in odds after Jacksonville’s poor performance on Monday Night Football. Fezzik believes the line overreacts to recency bias, citing how Jacksonville’s spread moved from +4.5 last week to +6.5 against a Bills team that is only a few points better than Houston. He argues that the number is too generous and sees value in backing the Jaguars.
Quote (Steve Fezzik: 14:57 - 15:12): “It's the situational spot...you got a three and Buffalo team that just played Monday night...and you got a Baltimore team 1-2 needing the game like blood.”Ravens vs. Bills (Steve Fezzik: 6:10 - 6:30)
Fezzik also notes an interesting trend where big dogs (teams receiving more than 5 points) are performing well this season, covering the spread at 14-2. On the flip side, small dogs (teams receiving 5 points or less) are 11-19-1. Fezzik highlights that his power ratings show no team being significantly better than others this year, with only a 5-point spread between the top and bottom teams in the league.
Player Insights and StatisticsTrevor Lawrence (Scott Seidenberg: 21:03 - 21:23)
Scott Seidenberg notes Trevor Lawrence's struggles, pointing out his 0-8 record straight up in his last eight games. However, Seidenberg finds value in the Jaguars’ ability to cover the spread as a significant underdog, referencing a historical trend of teams who lose by 30 or more points and then cover as dogs the following week.
Quote (Scott Seidenberg: 21:06): "I do think there's value baked into this line...I think that the public saw Jacksonville get absolutely destroyed, but they’re better than that.”Team and Player StatisticsFavorite Trends
RJ Bell provides macro trends on favorites this season, noting that favorites have gone 20-5-1, but larger underdogs (over 5 points) are outperforming smaller ones. This discrepancy highlights the unpredictable nature of NFL betting so far this season.
Power Rankings Insights (Steve Fezzik: 6:10 - 6:44)
Fezzik reveals that his NFL power rankings are tighter than ever. No team is rated more than 5 points higher than an average team, with New England being the worst team at -5.5 points. This compressed ranking suggests no elite team dominance, making the NFL season more competitive.
Conclusion
The podcast emphasizes sharp betting strategies, advocating for value picks based on contrarian analysis. Fezzik’s insights into power rankings show a very balanced NFL season, while historical betting trends favor significant underdogs. The group urges caution, particularly with betting favorites, and encourages listeners to look beyond recency bias.

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1 hr 55 min
September 25, 2024 Presidents Cup Thursday Fourball Picks and Predictions
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for all five Thursday Fourball matches for the Presidents Cup. Follow Doc on X @drmedia59 for more on the world of golf
Introduction and Overview
In the podcast's introduction, Will Doctor sets the stage by bringing his sharpest predictions for the PGA Tour event, the Presidents Cup (0:15–0:42). His energy and focus immediately engage listeners, promising a detailed breakdown of Thursday’s Fourball matches. The matchups feature top golfers from both the USA and international teams, with Doctor providing his take on the betting odds and insights.
Match 1: Xander Schauffele & Tony Finau vs. Jason Day & Byung-hun Ahn (0:42–14:57)
Doctor starts with the first match, where Schauffele and Finau are favorites at -180 on DraftKings. He questions U.S. captain Jim Furyk's decision to split Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay, who have a strong history together, but he supports the flexibility of pairing Schauffele with Finau. Despite Finau’s driving accuracy issues earlier in the season, Doctor believes Finau has improved and will excel on the greens at Royal Montreal.
For the opposition, Jason Day's recent struggles—finishing 33rd at the BMW Championship and failing to qualify for the Tour Championship—are highlighted. Doctor is not confident in Day's current form, pointing out his ongoing issues with driving accuracy. Ben Onn, too, has limited success in the Presidents Cup, which makes Doctor strongly favor Schauffele and Finau.
Statistical Insight: Day has underperformed in the Presidents Cup, and his driving accuracy has been problematic in 7 of his last 11 events. Schauffele and Finau, on the other hand, are in good form with Finau showing late-season improvement.
Prediction: Schauffele & Finau to win.
Match 2: Collin Morikawa & Sahith Theegala vs. Adam Scott & Min Woo Lee (14:57–24:30)
Morikawa and Theegala are slight favorites at -135. Doctor praises Theegala’s performance in the 2024 FedEx Cup and Morikawa’s solo second place at the Tour Championship. Morikawa’s consistency, with 8 top-ten finishes in 2024, makes him one of the top players in the world. Doctor, however, acknowledges Adam Scott’s determination to improve his Presidents Cup record, which currently stands at a disappointing 18-25-6.
Statistical Insight: Despite Scott’s veteran status, his poor Presidents Cup record weighs heavily, while Morikawa’s consistent high-level play positions him as a key player. Theegala’s form in recent events further strengthens their chances.
Prediction: Morikawa & Theegala to win.
Match 3: Scottie Scheffler & Russell Henley vs. Sungjae Im & Tom Kim (24:30–32:00)
Scheffler and Henley are -142 favorites. Doctor supports Furyk’s decision to pair Henley with Scheffler, noting Henley’s stellar driving accuracy (5th on the PGA Tour) and top performances in major events. On the other hand, Tom Kim's form is questioned, as his recent performances have been underwhelming, finishing 52nd in the FedEx Cup standings.
Statistical Insight: Scheffler, ranked number one in the world, paired with Henley’s accuracy, makes them formidable. Conversely, Tom Kim’s struggles this season raise doubts about his ability to perform at Royal Montreal.
Prediction: Scheffler & Henley to win.
Match 4: Wyndham Clark & Keegan Bradley vs. Taylor Pendrith & Christiaan Bezuidenhout (32:00–38:30)
Clark and Bradley are favored at -112. Doctor criticizes Mike Weir’s decision to pair Pendrith with Bezuidenhout, citing Bezuidenhout’s poor form in recent tournaments. He points to Bezuidenhout’s struggles with his driver and short game, which make the pairing less competitive against the sharp form of Clark and Bradley.
Statistical Insight: Bezuidenhout’s loss of shots in four consecutive starts is a red flag. Clark and Bradley’s more consistent recent performances make them the stronger pairing.
Prediction: Clark & Bradley to win.

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19 min
September 25, 2024CFB Week 5 Preview + Best Bets !!
Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college football week 5 betting. Griffin and Ben are ready to cash some best bets this week. They cover this weeks biggest games and more.
Opening Thoughts (0:06 - 0:31)
Speaker 3 delivers a motivational message emphasizing teamwork and tenacity: "Outblock them, outtackle them, outhit them, outhustle them...Leave no doubt tonight." This quote sets the tone for the podcast, signaling a focus on outworking the opponent in both football and sports betting, where preparation and focus are key.Best Bets Review (0:52 - 2:40)
Griffin Warner and Big East Ben recap their Week 4 bets, reflecting on losses like Maryland failing to cover against Villanova. They inject humor, with Warner making a light jab about AI: "Ben looks very intelligent today, and we’re going to bring you some intelligent picks."
Big East Ben humorously criticizes Maryland for losing focus in the second half, referencing their past basketball glory led by Juan Dixon and Steve Blake. This serves as a reminder that discipline and consistency are crucial, both in sports and betting.
Game 1: Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State (3:47 - 7:03)
Kansas State is favored by five points against Oklahoma State, a game influenced by Kansas State’s performance in Provo, where BYU scored multiple touchdowns via special teams and defense.
Ollie Gordon's struggles are highlighted as Ben points out that a player with Heisman potential has been disappointing: "He has been garbage. I don't know why... Some journalist tweeted out he had syphilis." Though debunked, this illustrates how rumors can swirl around underperforming players, impacting perception.
Game 2: Louisville vs. Notre Dame (7:03 - 8:16)
Notre Dame is a six-point favorite, facing a Louisville team led by a quarterback with 830 passing yards in three games. Ben anticipates a high-scoring game due to Louisville’s offensive firepower and recommends betting the over (46.5 points).
Warner notes that Notre Dame's earlier loss to Northern Illinois was a “black mark,” yet he believes they will recover, laying the six points on Notre Dame.
Game 3: Georgia vs. Alabama (8:55 - 10:43)
Georgia is a 2.5-point favorite over Alabama in what’s described as a potential “game of the season.” Ben anticipates a tight contest between two elite quarterbacks and suggests betting the over, predicting a high-scoring game.
Warner, however, picks Alabama as a home underdog: "It’s scary to be against Georgia, but... I think Alabama passes that test."
Game 4: Illinois vs. Penn State (10:45 - 12:45)
Illinois is an 18-point underdog against Penn State, a team coming off a bye. Despite this, Ben backs Illinois, referencing Penn State’s mediocre record against the spread in whiteout games: "Penn State is 8-7 historically... 4-2 under James Franklin."
Warner agrees, suggesting the game could stay low-scoring and backing the under (47.5 points).
Game 5: Arizona vs. Utah (12:45 - 15:23)
Utah is favored by 11.5 points against Arizona. Ben is wary of Arizona’s poor form, specifically their loss to Kansas State, but believes they can stay within the number.
Both Ben and Warner recommend betting the under (48.5 points), highlighting Utah’s defense and the challenges Arizona will face playing at high altitude.
Best Bets and Conclusion (17:40 - 19:32)
Ben’s Best Bet is Kansas State minus five, taking aim at Oklahoma State, a team he describes as "broken." He calls for the end of Mike Gundy’s reign: "Chop off that mullet Mike Gundy. You are done this year."
Warner sticks with Alabama plus 2.5, pointing out that the new 12-team playoff format reduces the need for undefeated seasons, making road games more manageable.

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25 min

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Winning sports picks from Las Vegas. Everything you need for free on the biggest games each week from Pregame.com's Wiseguy Roundtable. Alongside your host RJ Bell, we have professional bettor Steve…