Street Smart Success

Danny Catan, Founder of PIA Residential, returns to share his insights on the current multifamily market. While many have lost money due to variable debt and oversupplied southern markets, Danny explains why disciplined investors are finding opportunities. He focuses on workforce housing in secondary and tertiary markets across the Southeast, looking for properties 30% cheaper than the 2022 peak. Danny details his rigorous due diligence process—going beyond the property to understand local demographics, jobs, and community plans—and how he aims for 7% cash-on-cash returns and 15% IRR (net to investor, with no financial engineering). He also reveals why PIA Residential chooses to be asset managers and not vertically integrated property managers in these diverse markets.

How much you pay, your debt, and staying power determines your success. From 2019-2022, too many people over payed for multifamily properties and utilized floating rate debt. Now many of these operators are under water and unable to hang on to their properties. Christopher Urso, Managing Partner at URS Capital Partners, saw that properties were overpriced at this time and made only one acquisition. He has made twelve acquisitions since January 2024. Over the past fifteen years, Chris has acquired over 5000 multifamily units and generated a 32.9% IRR and a 2.07% multiple. 

The ability to see what others don’t can be the necessary ingredient to achieving outsized returns in commercial real estate. Real Estate is a creative business that requires original thinking and an ability to identify compelling themes and recognize upcoming trends. Tom Shapiro, President, CIO and Founder of GTIS, has been a forward-thinking investor in several asset classes both domestically and internationally. Tom has been a successful value-add operator and developer of large multifamily projects, Industrial, Hospitality, and existing single family and build-to-rent portfolios. Tom operates on a large, institutional scale with blue chip partners and a track record of billions of dollars in successful projects in the U.S and Brazil.  

Although prices on multifamily have come down from their peak more than at any other time in recent history, they still have more to go before they present a good buying opportunity. Rents have not risen, interest rates have not been lowered as anticipated, and oversupply persists in many markets. Yet prices are not reflecting these headwinds. Senior living facilities, on the other hand, are generating 8% yield year one with significant upside. Brian Burke, President and CEO of Praxis Capital, has been a multifamily operator for decades and has expanded into senior living facilities over the past year with tremendous success.

When there’s a growing industry with a high demand for capital and few sources available, it creates an opportunity for solid risk adjusted returns. A current example is cannabis, one of the country’s fastest growing industries. For complex regulatory reasons, banks are not permitted to make loans in this industry. As a result, there’s a vacuum for private lenders to make loans to this category at 12-15% interest that can include further upside upon payoff. Chris Reece, Founder and CEO of MJ REIT, is a finance professional with over 29 years of experience, MJ REIT operates with a focus on state-legal cannabis markets, targeting industrial and retail commercial properties. 

Evan Polasky, Director of Capital Raising for Blackgate, reveals how his firm is achieving attractive 7-8% cap rates in suburban retail strip centers. Unlike the crowded multifamily market, Blackgate focuses on smaller community centers with necessity-based tenants like urgent care, dentists, quick-serve restaurants, and tutoring centers. With new construction at historic lows and high tenant demand, Evan explains why the retail leasing environment has "never been easier," offering stable, less competitive investment opportunities. 

While there’s still a lot of money chasing most quality real estate assets, great opportunities exist for those willing to take more risk with heavier value-add assets. One of the best examples is office buildings in rebounding markets that are selling at 10 to 20 cents on the dollar. Another example is well-located indoor malls that have rebounded and thriving since the pandemic. Travis King is Founder and CEO of REALM, an exclusive investment collective consisting of 100+ ultra-high-net-worth individuals, family offices, and foundations. REALM is dedicated to direct real estate investing including multifamily, Mobile Home Parks, office and malls. 

Donald Trump campaigned on reducing our national trade deficit. Despite this aim and increased tariffs over his first year in office, however, deficits have still persisted at their previous levels. The U.S government is investing aggressively in A.I. to become the world leader over China in this technology and remain the world’s preeminent super power.  Richard Duncan, author of “The Money Revolution, How to Finance the next American Century,” has a prescription for future growth and prosperity that entails investing in industries and technologies of the future that will cement U.S. geopolitical preeminence. Richard is also the publisher of Macro Watch, a video-newsletter that analyzes the forces driving the economy and the financial markets in the 21st Century.

Distress has emerged in the multifamily space. Lenders are taking projects back from sponsors and selling them for the debt or even taking losses in many cases. As a result, some great deals are being made by sponsors to capitalize on these situations and acquire solid workforce properties at a discount. David Lilley, Founder & CEO of Reap Capital, is acquiring 80’s vintage properties in Dallas and San Antonio at steep discounts. He’s also starting to consider expanding into Florida and Arizona. Reap capital is a vertically integrated multifamily operator based in Dallas.

Although many of the southern U.S. markets are oversupplied with new multifamily apartments and facing challenges, midwestern markets are seeing higher occupancy levels and growing rents. These markets have also experienced only moderate expense increases. Harrison Riley, Founder of Glass Beach Ventures, specializes in multifamily in Cleveland and Erie, PA. He buys older buildings from $40,000-$60,000 per unit and implements value-add business plans where he can raise rents up to 100%. He manages properties in-house in order to control all aspects of operations.