Stephen expands on his contribution to our Expert Insights publication, with Andrew offering findings from his report ‘Rethinking our global future’.

Chair
Graeme Roy, Fraser of Allander Institute

Guests
Mairi Spowage, Fraser of Allander Institute
Stephen Boyle, Fraser of Allander Institute
Professor Andrew Goudie, University of Strathclyde

Timestamps
(1:03) Oversight and key points from ‘Rethinking our Global Future’, Andrew
(12:20) The short term and long term implications and issues for the global economy, Stephen
(18:25) What are your concerns for the Euro Area? Stephen
(21:08) What is the importance of resilience? Andrew
(28:20) What do you see as the outlook for monetary policy internationally and in the UK? Stephen
(30:34) What are your expectations for future public finances and public services? Andrew
(38:31) What are your reflections on the outlook for public spending? Stephen
(43:02) Where should the attention be focussed in the next few years? Andrew
(48:45) What should the priority be within the policy landscape of Scotland? Stephen
(55:57) How do you turn ideas within a strategy into reality? Stephen & Andrew

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Chair
Graeme Roy, Fraser of Allander Institute

Guests
Mairi Spowage, Fraser of Allander Institute
Steve Williams, Deloitte

Timestamps
(0:40) – Brief overview of publications and week ahead, Graeme
(9:00) – Overview of the upcoming economic commentary analysis and forecasts, Mairi
(15:45) – Considerations of businesses beyond the crisis, Steve

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Chair
Graeme Roy, Fraser of Allander Institute

Guests
Calum Paterson, Scottish Equity Partners

Timestamps
(0:45) What are your current thoughts on the economic and business environment?
(7:45) What are the views within the business community for change in the face of the crisis?
(15:10) What do you think could and should change in the new ‘normal’ for businesses?
(21:10) How might policy change in the future to continue to support business?
(27:00) What are your views on how the economy might restart?
(29:10) What is the long term role of the state?

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Chair
Emma Congreve, Fraser of Allander Institute

Guest
Alan Thornburrow, Scotland Director, Business in the Community

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This podcast builds on the themes covered in this report by Jenifer Johnston, one of our participants: https://reformscotland.com/2020/05/scotland-needs-a-virtual-school-jenifer-johnston/

Chair
Stuart McIntyre, Head of Research, FAI

Speakers
Emma Congreve, Knowledge Exchange Fellow, FAI
Jenifer Johnston, Public Affairs Expert
Tanya Wilson, Lecturer in Economics, University of Glasgow

Timestamps
(1:41) Overview of the report (Jenifer)
(3:34) Pre-crisis labour market inequalities and attainment gap and emerging picture (Tanya, Emma)
(11:48) Are there people falling between the cracks? (Jenifer)
(13:20) Discussion around potential for increased inequality (Tanya, Emma)
(21:33) Possible delivery model for education in next few months and implications (Jenifer)
(27:49) Looking ahead: risks, opportunities and policy (Jenifer, Tanya, Emma)
(39:10) Particular issues facing low income families (Emma)
(42:06) Wrap-up and what are the priorities that need addressing (Jenifer, Tanya)

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Chair
Mairi Spowage, Deputy Director, FAI

Speakers
David Eiser, Head of Fiscal Analysis, FAI
Guto Ifan, Research Associate, Wales Governance Centre – Cardiff University
David Phillips, Associate Director, Institute For Fiscal Studies
Dr Ed Poole, Senior Lecturer, Wales Governance Centre – Cardiff University

Timestamps
(01:01) How has the outlook for the budget evolved since the crisis?
(03:12) In terms of the risk that the budget has been exposed to, how has this changed since the budget was set and what is likely to happen next in setting the supplementary budget?
(05:20) In terms of the Scottish budget, how has the outlook evolved and what additional risks is the budget exposed to?
(08:44) What extent has the crisis changed perspectives about the strengths and limitations of fiscal frameworks that exist?(14:30) The Scottish Government and other commentators in Scotland have called for extra flexibilities, how feasible are these flexibilities and how might they be arranged by the Scottish and UK Government?
(17:57) In terms of the additional flexibility that the Welsh Government has been calling for, how well do you think negotiations between the Welsh and UK Government will go regarding these flexibilities?
(20:13) To what extent would you say the policy response has diverged in Scotland compared to England?
(23:59) Has the experience been similar in Wales?
(25:57) Do you have any reflections on the different ways parts of the UK will come out of lockdown and what impact this may have on the Welsh economy and the Welsh budget?
(27:45) What impact may this have on the Scottish economy and its budget?
(33:14) In terms of the policy responses on the funding side, do you think this reflects the constraints of the fiscal framework?
(38:48) What implications will this crisis have on the distribution of devolved spending more generally and the way public services are funded?
(43:16) How do you think the fiscal framework will evolve in the longer term in Wales?
(46:35) How does this crisis allow the Welsh Government to pursue their own fiscal strategy?
(48:59) How do you think the fiscal framework will evolve in the longer term in Scotland?
(53:26) Given the fiscal frameworks in place during this crisis, how do you think this might impact the fiscal frameworks of the future?

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Chair
Graeme Roy, Director, FAI

Speakers
Mairi Spowage, Deputy Director, FAI
Emma Congreve, Knowledge Exchange Fellow, FAI
Stuart McIntyre, Head of Research, FAI

Timestamps
(7:00) Mairi Spowage: What we know so far
(17:40) Emma Congreve: The impact on individuals and households
(25:45) Stuart McIntyre: The recovery and the long term challenges
(33:10) Q&A
(33:50) How will the fiscal framework be affected?
(43:35) What does the crisis mean for households, child poverty and universal basic income?
(52:15) What is the outlook for businesses in Scotland and what are the unemployment effects?
(56:30) What are the local and regional effects of the crisis and what is the outlook for local government?
(1:01:32) How will the crisis affect universities and colleges?
(1:07:50) What opportunities will there be for the economy and how can we support them?
(1:16:25) What are the implications for the construction sector and future house building?
(1:19:42) What are the long term implications for the care profession?
(1:22:29) How can companies be supported to support recovery?
(1:25:40) What does the current situation mean for Brexit?

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Chair
Mairi Spowage, Deputy Director, FAI

Guests
Ian Bruce, GCVS
Jenny Paterson, Breakthrough

Timestamps
(00:50) Impact of the crisis on the voluntary sector, and how it has had to adapt
(08:30) Resilience of the voluntary sector going into the crisis
(14:39) Discussion of policy measures provided by Government
(23:27) How the sector has supported each other
(26:20) Long term impacts on the economy and society, and the role for the voluntary sector in the recovery

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Chair
Ben Cooper, Knowledge Exchange Assistant, FAI

Guests
Mairi Spowage, Deputy Director, FAI
Aodhán Connolly, Director of the Northern Ireland Retail Consortium

Timestamps
(0.30) Overview of the Northern Ireland Sector and how it compares to the rest of the UK
(4.10) How has the sector been impacted by CoVid-19 and how has it had to adapt?
(11.09) How has the impact to sector been different to what has been experienced in the rest of the UK?
(15.14) How have the NI government policy interventions helped?
(18:11) Has there been a large uptake of UK government measures and how will that continue into the future?
(20.17) How will Brexit now have an impact on the sector given the current economic situation?
(25.43) Will the UK government be more flexible now in their approach to Brexit?
(27.01) What is your vision of the long term impact on the sector?
(31.45) What are you views on the future of business rates?

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Chair
Graeme Roy, Director, Fraser of Allander Institute.

Guests
Cara Pacitti, Researcher, Resolution Foundation
Richard Hughes, Research Associate, Resolution Foundation
Mairi Spowage, Fraser of Allander Institute
David Eiser, Fraser of Allander Institute

Timestamps
(2:44) Cara Pacitti: Findings from recent publication ‘Implications of Coronavirus for the UK Economy and Public Finances’
(10:45) Richard Hughes: The policy response successes and challenges so far and thoughts for improvements.
(19:45) Mairi Spowage: The implications for the Scottish economy, and the policy divergences that exist in Scotland. David Eiser will cover the implications for the Scottish fiscal framework and the Scottish Budget.
(30:41) David Eiser: Implications for the Scottish Budget
(43:11) Q&A
(43:55) The Outlook for the Minimum Wage?
(46:25) The outlook for poverty and inequality?
(50:00) The economic implications of exiting lockdown
(52:10) How might Scotland differ from the rest of the UK?
(56:09) How might Quantitative Easing be utilised?
(59:50) How might the Scottish Government use bonds to support the recovery?
(01:02:20) What are the intergenerational implications of higher debt?
(01:05:20) What sectors are likely to help more in aiding recovery?
(01:08:40) What the future might look like.

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