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By Steve Saretsky
5
77 ratings
The podcast currently has 259 episodes available.
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We are joined by chief economist Peter Berezin at BCA Research to discuss the intensifying trade wars, the AI Boom, and the sovereign debt bubble. Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings! For Mortgage Brokers: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour-brokers For Investors and Advisors: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour Check out Saily at https://www.saily.com/looniehour and use our promo code 'LOONIEHOUR' to get 15% off your first purchase! Schedule an exploration call with IceCap Asset Management: https://icecapassetmanagement.com/contact/ ✉️ Media & Real Estate Inquiries: [email protected] Stay up to date with our information - 📫 My Real Estate Substack: https://stevesaretsky.substack.com 📫 The Loonie Hour Substack: https://looniehour.substack.com/about 📊➡️ Loonie Hour Socials: https://linktr.ee/looniehour 🎙️ Listen to the Podcast on Your Preferred Platform: https://linktr.ee/looniehour Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 04:29 Canada-US Trade Deal Falls Apart 05:59 Carney Moves Closer to Europe 08:20 What Happens Without a Trade Deal? 11:13 Is This Really About Canada or China? 12:21 Peter Berezin Joins the Show 13:33 Economic Impact of the Canada-U.S. Trade War 15:20 Could Canada Actually Win? 17:09 Risk of Canada Losing Manufacturing 17:49 Could More Stimulus Be Coming? 19:36 Canada's Productivity Problem 22:22 How Canada Can Turn Things Around 24:05 How Transformational Will AI Really Be? 26:26 The Massive AI Spending Boom 27:37 AI's $10 Trillion Revenue Problem 30:26 Are Corporate Margins Sustainable? 33:40 AI Agents, Stablecoins & Crypto 35:06 Why Long-Term Bond Yields Keep Rising 37:50 The Growing Government Debt Problem 40:06 Fed Liquidity & Quantitative Easing 41:20 Stock Market Outlook 42:14 Peter's Portfolio 43:39 Inside Goldman Sachs During the 2008 Crisis 45:57 Current Investment Opportunities? 49:08 Final Thoughts on Peter Berezin 51:05 The Coming Food Inflation Problem 54:50 Are We Entering a Commodity Boom? 55:35 Could the Bank of Canada Cut Rates? 58:21 Final Thoughts Disclaimer: The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets. #LoonieHour #macroeconomics #tradewar

The U.S. Treasury is taking steps that could help suppress long-term interest rates as exploding government debt and interest costs put increasing pressure on the financial system. We break down what this shift means for bonds, the U.S. dollar, commodities, Canadian housing and global markets. We also touch on Canada-U.S. trade, the Churchill Falls energy deal, rising diesel prices, Argentina, various speculative assets like crypto and Bitcoin skyrocketing, and the worsening economic slowdown in China. Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings! For Mortgage Brokers: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour-brokers For Investors and Advisors: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour Check out Saily at https://www.saily.com/looniehour and use our promo code 'LOONIEHOUR' to get 15% off your first purchase! Schedule an exploration call with IceCap Asset Management: https://icecapassetmanagement.com/contact/ ✉️ Media & Real Estate Inquiries: [email protected] Stay up to date with our information - 📫 My Real Estate Substack: https://stevesaretsky.substack.com 📫 The Loonie Hour Substack: https://looniehour.substack.com/about 📊➡️ Loonie Hour Socials: https://linktr.ee/looniehour 🎙️ Listen to the Podcast on Your Preferred Platform: https://linktr.ee/looniehour Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 08:21 Canadian Housing Update 13:22 Mortgage Rates and Housing Risk 16:04 Canada-U.S. Trade Deal 17:48 Churchill Falls Energy Megadeal 26:53 The U.S. Bond Market Intervention 30:58 How the Treasury Is Suppressing Long Rates 35:53 America’s Exploding Interest Costs 40:36 Canada’s Debt Problem 46:37 What Higher Rates Would Do to Housing 50:48 Commodities vs Financial Repression 54:17 The Commodity Supercycle 56:50 Diesel Prices Are Surging 57:57 Argentina and the Currency Crisis 01:02:52 China’s Economy Is Getting Worse 01:07:25 Global Macro Trends Are Strengthening 01:08:03 Canada Inflation Update 01:08:45 Closing Thoughts Disclaimer: The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets. #LoonieHour #macroeconomics #globaldebt

We sit down with Jim Thorne, Chief Market Strategist at Wellington-Altus Private Wealth, where he believes that we are setting up for a Secular Bull Market coming up. We go through the global debt problem, and why AI could fuel a massive new investment cycle. Lastly, we'll touch on falling rates, explosive earnings growth, Bitcoin’s generational opportunity, and whether today’s technology boom ultimately ends like the dot-com bubble. We also discuss Canada’s economic challenges, a country deserving to be one of wealthiest in the world, yet decades of poor policy and underinvestment have left us falling behind. Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings! For Mortgage Brokers: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour-brokers For Investors and Advisors: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour Check out Saily at https://www.saily.com/looniehour and use our promo code 'LOONIEHOUR' to get 15% off your first purchase! Schedule an exploration call with IceCap Asset Management: https://icecapassetmanagement.com/contact/ ✉️ Media & Real Estate Inquiries: [email protected] Stay up to date with our information - 📫 My Real Estate Substack: https://stevesaretsky.substack.com 📫 The Loonie Hour Substack: https://looniehour.substack.com/about 📊➡️ Loonie Hour Socials: https://linktr.ee/looniehour 🎙️ Listen to the Podcast on Your Preferred Platform: https://linktr.ee/looniehour Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 04:41 Introducing Jim Thorne 10:39 What Went Wrong With Canadian Finance? 13:45 Why Canada Is Falling Behind 16:04 Canada’s Natural Resource Problem 22:41 The Global Debt Problem 24:36 Canada Enters Secular Stagnation 29:01 The AI CAPEX Supercycle 33:15 What Happens to Canada and Europe? 34:43 Trump’s Economic Strategy 36:17 Carney Understands the Global Pivot? 38:37 The Problem With Canadian Banks 39:24 Canada’s Coming Structural Adjustment 44:21 Why Higher Rates Can Increase Inflation 45:19 The Fed’s Next Move 49:36 AI, Growth, and the Stock Market 50:19 Why Jim Thinks Bond Yields Fall 56:09 Trump, Crypto, and Tokenization 57:31 The Great Bond Debate 58:07 The Bitcoin Debasement Trade 58:31 “Bitcoin Is a Generational Opportunity” 01:00:40 Post-Interview Reaction 01:02:47 The End of the Keynesian Supercycle 01:05:08 America’s Exploding Interest Bill 01:06:00 Gold, Bitcoin, and Debasement 01:09:35 Can AI Solve the Demographic Problem? 01:11:24 America Is Sucking Capital From the World 01:12:31 The AI Agent Economy 01:13:51 Another Dot-Com Bubble? 01:15:27 Outro Disclaimer: The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets. #LoonieHour #macroeconomics #bullmarket

Global bond markets are flashing warning signs as long-term yields surge across Japan, the UK, France, and other major economies, raising new concerns about government debt, inflation, and financial stability. Meanwhile, Canada’s housing market remains under pressure, Vancouver records its slowest August sales since 2012, and rising energy prices could complicate the outlook for inflation and interest rates within the country. Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings! For Mortgage Brokers: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour-brokers For Investors and Advisors: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour Schedule an exploration call with IceCap Asset Management: https://icecapassetmanagement.com/contact/ ✉️ Media & Real Estate Inquiries: [email protected] Stay up to date with our information - 📫 My Real Estate Substack: https://stevesaretsky.substack.com 📫 The Loonie Hour Substack: https://looniehour.substack.com/about 📊➡️ Loonie Hour Socials: https://linktr.ee/looniehour 🎙️ Listen to the Podcast on Your Preferred Platform: https://linktr.ee/looniehour Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 05:14 Vancouver Housing Sales Hit 2012 Lows 09:48 Builders Get Aggressive on Prices 14:56 Rent Controls & Canada’s Housing Supply 22:46 Why Rent Controls Don’t Work 27:50 Bank of Canada & Interest Rates 30:36 Central Banks Talk Tough on Inflation 38:01 Global Bond Yields Are Surging 41:39 Is a Sovereign Debt Crisis Coming? 43:15 The Ultimate Bond Market Bear Trap 45:38 Canada’s GDP Gets Revised Higher 47:55 Could the Bank of Canada Raise Rates? 51:15 The Overlooked Energy Trade 52:55 Russia-Ukraine Energy Infrastructure Attacks 56:32 Global Oil & Natural Gas Supply Tightens 59:38 The Bull Case for Commodities 01:01:50 Energy Prices Are Spiking 01:04:36 The Opportunity in Higher Oil Prices Disclaimer: The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets. #LoonieHour #macroeconomics #bondmarket

Ben Rabidoux joins the show to break down the latest housing data, rising mortgage rates, record mortgage renewals, the ongoing shifting in economic alliances, and why delinquencies could continue climbing through 2027 and beyond. We also discuss the escalating Canada–U.S. trade dispute, inflation risks, rising global bond yields, weakness across several provincial housing markets, and how Canada’s booming energy sector might be helping keep government finances and mortgage rates under control. Join Us For The Loonie Hour Investor Series - With Ben Rabidoux, Live In Ottawa on October 13th! Get Your Tickets Here: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-loonie-hour-investor-series-with-ben-rabidoux-october-13th-tickets-2000313438341 Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings! For Mortgage Brokers: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour-brokers For Investors and Advisors: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour Subscribe to Ben Rabidoux's Edge Analytics and Save $10/month forever! https://www.edgeanalytics.ca/lh39 Check Out True North Mortgage's 40-Year Amortization Plan: Visit https://www.truenorthmortgage.ca/ today! Schedule an exploration call with IceCap Asset Management: https://icecapassetmanagement.com/contact/ ✉️ Media & Real Estate Inquiries: [email protected] Stay up to date with our information - 📫 My Real Estate Substack: https://stevesaretsky.substack.com 📫 The Loonie Hour Substack: https://looniehour.substack.com/about 📊➡️ Loonie Hour Socials: https://linktr.ee/looniehour 🎙️ Listen to the Podcast on Your Preferred Platform: https://linktr.ee/looniehour Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 08:12 Is Canada’s Housing Market Bottoming? 11:27 Mortgage Rates Are Moving Higher 16:05 When Will Bonds Become Attractive Again? 18:19 Bank of Canada Rate Hikes Are Coming 20:04 Inflation Expectations Matter 23:35 Europe Is Raising Rates Again 25:22 The Next Wave of Inflation 30:02 Canada’s Regional Housing Markets 31:40 Canada’s Rental Market Will Stay Weak 32:54 Canada-U.S. Trade War Escalates 35:01 Mortgage Delinquencies Hit Record Highs 37:16 The Mortgage Renewal Wave Is Here 40:16 Canada’s Economy Faces More Pressure 41:44 The Risk To Canadian Banks 44:58 Canada’s Money Laundering Problem 49:40 How Iranian Capital Can Enter Canada 53:09 Good News For Canada 53:31 Foreign Investors Are Buying Canadian Bonds 54:28 Oil & Gas Is Helping Balance Canada’s Budget 56:08 Is Canada Becoming More Pro-Energy? 58:35 Canada’s Politically Charged Environment 01:02:38 Bank of Canada Rate Predictions Disclaimer: The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets. #LoonieHour #macroeconomics #bondmarket
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